Technical2026-10-02Options2026-10-02delayedFlowTrades/Quotes not entitled
Daily run 2026-10-02 · completeWatchlist 0

XOM

Energy · Energy
164.01
+0.12% · 2026-10-02
Buy on trigger
Trade priority
#4 · 78.5
Data coverage
100%
Setup
pre breakout · 2026-10-02
News
positive w/ risks
Next catalyst
Earnings in 14 sessions

Trade plan

PRE_BREAKOUT_SWING_V1_1 · valid until close of 2026-10-05, a material event, or strategy invalidation · shared by every portfolio profile
Action
BUY ON TRIGGERvalid until close of 2026-10-05, a material event, or strategy invalidation
Trigger
165.46break above resistance · 0.9% / 0.41 ATR away
Entry zone
165.46–167.22reference 165.46
Initial stop
161.752.2% · risk 3.71/sh
Target 1
175.86+6.3% · R:R 2.80 (strong)
Target 2
182.92+10.6% · R:R 4.71
Risk per share
3.71strategy-owned; the portfolio panel sizes it per profile
Invalidation
161.75a close below 1 ATR under the level invalidates the setup before entry

Level 165.28 (PRE_BREAKOUT_V1 selected resistance); ATR14 3.53 on 2026-10-02. Stop: 1 ATR below the breakout level 165.28. Targets: ATR projections 3 / 5 ATR above the level. R:R quality strong to T1 (hard minimum 2.0; 3R would be 176.59, T2 supports 4.71R). Targets are structural and are never moved to reach an R multiple.

Record the fill after you enter: add position. The strategy then manages the stop, targets and the next action.

Your portfolio · San

profile-specific: quantity, risk budget, exposure, cash impact
Profile
Sanequity 2,000.00 USD · whole shares
Current holding
noneno open position in this profile
Recommended quantity
2 sh330.92 · 16.6% of portfolio · bound by risk budget
Risk budget
10.000.5% of 2,000.00 · planned risk 7.42
Portfolio risk
0.00 openremaining 40.00 → 32.58 after
Exposure
0 / 3 positionsEnergy: 0 / 2 · 0.00 of 1,000.00 cap
Cash impact
2,000.00 → 1,669.08derived from the ledger
Eligibility
BUY ON TRIGGERsame as the strategy view

Entry, stop, targets and R:R are strategy-owned and identical for every profile; only this portfolio's quantity, risk, exposure and cash differ. Manage profiles · record a fill

Quality gates

hard entry gates of the strategy · PASS / FAIL / UNKNOWN
GateVerdictDetail
Data freshnessPASS0 completed session(s) behind the calendar
PricePASSclose 164.01 at or above the 10 floor
Market capPASSmarket cap 650.63B (finnhub, 2026-10-02)
LiquidityPASSADV20 2298.2M (STRONG_LIQUIDITY)
SectorPASSsector Energy (finnhub_industry)
RegimePASSregime RISK_ON
EarningsPASSearnings in 14 sessions (2026-10-23)
News / event riskPASSnews context POSITIVE_WITH_RISKS
Chase protectionPASS0.49 ATR above EMA20, session move 0.05 ATR
R:RPASSreward/risk 2.80 to target 1 (strong), 4.71 to target 2
Portfolio capacityPASS2 shares (331), bound by risk budget
Data qualityPASScurrent session data, valid technical snapshot, trigger and ATR; critical facts known

Why this action

Technical

  • 0.9% below the trigger 165.46 (resistance 165.28)
  • RS20 positive vs one benchmark (+1.6% / -3.3%)
  • EMA20 extension 0.49 ATR
  • RSI14 55.0 inside the 50-70 band
  • stop 161.75: 1 ATR below the breakout level 165.28
  • RS20 vs SPY 1.6%, vs QQQ -3.3%

Options

  • volume 3.53× the 20D baseline (activity_accelerating) · selected contracts only, delayed

News and events

  • news context positive w/ risks (80 canonical items in window)
  • earnings 2026-10-23 (14 sessions, finnhub); event risk low
  • earnings · high · positive: Exxon, Chevron Head Into Earnings With Venezuela, LNG and Higher Oil Prices in Focus
  • earnings · high · positive: Strong Refining Will Drive Chevron, ExxonMobil Q3 Results: Analyst
  • geopolitical · medium · positive: ExxonMobil: Set For Record Highs As War Profits Boom
  • other · low · negative: The G-7 Oil Bailout Is Surprisingly Good News for Energy Stocks

Market and risk

  • regime RISK ON: SPY: trend UP, volatility NORMAL; QQQ: trend UP, volatility NORMAL
  • news context positive with risks

Chart

252 sessions · EMA20 / SMA50 / SMA150 / SMA200 default · strategy levels drawn when a plan exists
2026-10-02O 161.55H 164.61L 161.55C 164.01 +0.12%Vol 11,292,312RVOL20 0.79SMA50 160.54SMA150 153.94SMA200 149.10EMA20 162.27RSI14 55.0MACD 0.690 / 0.796 / -0.105ATR14 3.53RS20 SPY 1.6% · QQQ -3.3%

Indicator history is derived from the stored bars with the accepted M3 functions (WORKSTATION_SERIES_V1); the scanner’s persisted values remain authoritative. Reconciliation at the scan session: 8 match.

Trade priority

operational attention ranking, not a forecast

Rank #4 · priority 78.5 / 100 · coverage 100%

  • technical readiness28/30
  • structure quality6/10
  • relative strength7/15
  • participation10/10
  • risk reward11/15
  • news context6/10
  • event risk5/5
  • urgency5/5

operational attention priority not a return forecast. Missing inputs lower coverage, never the score.

Setup evidence · PRE_BREAKOUT_V1

Setup state
PRE_BREAKOUT
Resistance
165.28
Distance
0.77%
Close
164.01
SMA50
160.54
SMA150 / SMA200
153.94 / 149.1
RSI14
55
EMA20 extension
0.49 ATR
RS20 vs SPY
+1.6%
RS20 vs QQQ
-3.3%

Hard requirements · 8/8 passed

  • PASS
    Confirmed resistance
    resistance=165.2799 exists eligible=true
  • PASS
    Distance to resistance
    distance_pct=0.7684 · resistance=165.2799 · close=164.01 inclusive_between min=0 · max=3
  • PASS
    Close above SMA50
    close=164.01 · sma50=160.5392 > right_operand=sma50
  • PASS
    SMA150 ≥ SMA200
    sma150=153.9371 · sma200=149.0958 >= right_operand=sma200
  • PASS
    RSI14 band
    rsi14=54.9637 inclusive_between min=50 · max=70
  • PASS
    EMA20 extension (ATR)
    extension_atr=0.4923 · close=164.01 · ema20=162.2734 · atr14=3.5277 <= max=1.5
  • PASS
    RS20 vs SPY or QQQ
    SPY=0.0157 · QQQ=-0.0334 OR > SPY=0 · QQQ=0
  • PASS
    Resistance quality
    distinct_touches=2 policy_and_minimum_touches min=2

Supporting evidence · 4/6 passed

  • PASS
    ATR compression
    current_atr_pct=0.0215 · median_previous_60_atr_pct=0.0226 · ratio=0.9527 < right_operand=median_previous_60_atr_pct
  • PASS
    Volume contraction
    recent_volume=11,614,841.1399 · baseline_volume=14,523,466.8015 · ratio=0.7997 < max=0.85
  • FAIL
    Higher lows
    low_1=158.75 · low_2=155.85 · low_3=159.27 low_3 > low_2 > low_1 required_pivots=3
  • PASS
    Full MA alignment
    sma50=160.5392 · sma150=153.9371 · sma200=149.0958 sma50 > sma150 > sma200
  • PASS
    RS20 vs SPY positive
    SPY=0.0157 > min=0
  • FAIL
    RS20 vs QQQ positive
    QQQ=-0.0334 > min=0

PRE_BREAKOUT_V1 · scan run 417 · session 2026-10-02 · evaluated as of 2026-10-04T13:23:16.862423Z. Supporting evidence never changes the trigger; UNKNOWN is never collapsed into false.

Intelligence timeline

80 canonical of 84 items in window · duplicates collapsed

canonical items of the last 10 sessions; analyst/industry/macro commentary and social sources excluded from the direction tally; gating uses tier 1-3 HIGH items within 3 (negative) / 2 (unknown direction) sessions

Catalysts and filings

EventDateInMaterialitySource
Earnings2026-10-2314 sessionshighfinnhub · Tier 3 · provider

Options activity

AVAILABLE_DELAYED · session 2026-10-02 · selected contracts, delayed
Session volume
26.2K
5D baseline
11.6K
20D baseline
7,421
Volume / 20D
3.53x
Call / put volume
23.1K / 3,020
Call / put ratio
7.67
Top-3 contract share
61%
Top expiration
2026-10-09 84%

Activity trend · last 34 sessions

2026-08-17: 2,1442026-08-18: 2,7302026-08-19: 2,4282026-08-20: 9502026-08-21: 2,2822026-08-24: 1,4002026-08-25: 1,1272026-08-26: 1,4352026-08-27: 2,2062026-08-28: 2,4792026-08-31: 4,2282026-09-01: 1,9802026-09-02: 1,2182026-09-03: 3,0182026-09-04: 3,1132026-09-08: 3,4592026-09-09: 3,0082026-09-10: 4,5392026-09-11: 3,8312026-09-14: 9,0542026-09-15: 10,2642026-09-16: 4,3302026-09-17: 3,7372026-09-18: 6,1992026-09-21: 7,6712026-09-22: 6,7192026-09-23: 8,7512026-09-24: 12,5582026-09-25: 7,7952026-09-28: 25,5032026-09-29: 5,7092026-09-30: 7,9662026-10-01: 11,1962026-10-02: 26,16908-1709-1010-0226,169 · line: 20D baseline
SessionVolume5D20D/ 20D
2026-09-2825.5K8,6995,3984.72x
2026-09-295,70912.3K6,5490.87x
2026-09-307,96612.1K6,6231.20x
2026-10-0111.2K11.9K6,9221.62x
2026-10-0226.2K11.6K7,4213.53x

Call vs put volume

2026-08-17: 1,270 / 8742026-08-18: 1,556 / 1,1742026-08-19: 1,006 / 1,4222026-08-20: 642 / 3082026-08-21: 1,830 / 4522026-08-24: 1,150 / 2502026-08-25: 853 / 2742026-08-26: 1,142 / 2932026-08-27: 1,471 / 7352026-08-28: 1,628 / 8512026-08-31: 3,329 / 8992026-09-01: 1,462 / 5182026-09-02: 926 / 2922026-09-03: 2,280 / 7382026-09-04: 2,580 / 5332026-09-08: 3,044 / 4152026-09-09: 1,776 / 1,2322026-09-10: 3,939 / 6002026-09-11: 1,743 / 2,0882026-09-14: 7,101 / 1,9532026-09-15: 8,450 / 1,8142026-09-16: 2,935 / 1,3952026-09-17: 2,528 / 1,2092026-09-18: 5,448 / 7512026-09-21: 5,487 / 2,1842026-09-22: 4,566 / 2,1532026-09-23: 6,557 / 2,1942026-09-24: 9,634 / 2,9242026-09-25: 5,315 / 2,4802026-09-28: 22,924 / 2,5792026-09-29: 4,189 / 1,5202026-09-30: 4,891 / 3,0752026-10-01: 8,415 / 2,7812026-10-02: 23,149 / 3,02008-1709-1010-0226,169
calls 88%puts 12%

Expiration concentration

  • 2026-10-0922.0K · 84%
  • 2026-10-164,162 · 16%

Contract concentration

  • O:XOM261009C0017500010.7K · 41%
  • O:XOM261009C001700002,850 · 11%
  • O:XOM261009C001650002,315 · 9%
  • O:XOM261009C001675002,125 · 8%
  • O:XOM261009C001725001,688 · 6%
  • remaining contracts39% outside top 3

Top contracts · session 2026-10-02

ContractTypeStrikeExpirationDTEVolume5D avg20D avg/ 20DReturnMoneyness
O:XOM261009C00175000CALL1752026-10-09710.7K38615767.97x41.7%OTM (-6.3%)
O:XOM261009C00170000CALL1702026-10-0972,85043518515.39x61.1%OTM (-3.5%)
O:XOM261009C00165000CALL1652026-10-0972,3155322818.24x51.2%OTM (-0.6%)
O:XOM261009C00167500CALL167.52026-10-0972,12531319910.66x40.5%OTM (-2.1%)
O:XOM261009C00172500CALL172.52026-10-0971,6882059517.77x-13.9%OTM (-4.9%)
O:XOM261016C00170000CALL1702026-10-16148764,4091,6580.53x27.5%OTM (-3.5%)
O:XOM261016C00155000CALL1552026-10-16146959859080.77x18.8%ITM (5.8%)
O:XOM261009P00162500PUT162.52026-10-097575159insufficient historyinsufficient history-37.5%OTM (0.9%)
O:XOM261016P00157500PUT157.52026-10-1614386117insufficient historyinsufficient history-31.4%OTM (4.1%)
O:XOM261016C00165000CALL1652026-10-16143783375320.71x36.2%OTM (-0.6%)
O:XOM261016P00155000PUT1552026-10-16143742713121.20x-6.7%OTM (5.8%)
O:XOM261009P00160000PUT1602026-10-0973063421492.05x-43.4%OTM (2.5%)
O:XOM261009P00157500PUT157.52026-10-0973054051741.76x-50.0%OTM (4.1%)
O:XOM261016C00167500CALL167.52026-10-1614296129insufficient historyinsufficient history30.1%OTM (-2.1%)
O:XOM261009C00155000CALL1552026-10-09726110insufficient historyinsufficient history8.1%ITM (5.8%)

OPTIONS_SELECTION_M9_V1 selected contracts only · provider capability DELAYED · delayed · Top 15 selected contracts by session volume; 5D/20D averages use strictly prior sessions (M10), INSUFFICIENT_HISTORY is shown, never zero.

M13 observations for this session
  • Technical setup present (PRE_BREAKOUT_V1): TRUE
  • Technical and options context share a session: TRUE
  • Activity above its own 20-session baseline: TRUE
  • Activity below its own 20-session baseline: FALSE
  • Recent 5-session baseline above 20-session baseline: TRUE
  • Recent 5-session baseline below 20-session baseline: FALSE
  • Volume concentrated in top 3 contracts: TRUE
  • Volume concentrated in one expiration: TRUE
  • Calls carry most session volume: TRUE
  • Puts carry most session volume: FALSE
  • Call and put volume roughly balanced: FALSE
  • Enrichment data (snapshot/OI/IV/Greeks) available: FALSE
  • Enrichment data unavailable: TRUE
  • Real flow data unavailable: TRUE
  • Flow events present in replay window: NOT_EVALUABLE

Flow

Flow events—
Clusters—
Sweep candidates—
Block candidates—
Aggressor candidates—
Premium coverage—

Flow engine is ready. Trades and Quotes are not available with the current provider capabilities; this area populates automatically from the same M11 engine when real persisted facts exist. Synthetic fixture flow is never shown.

Evidence alerts

4 · ALERT_POLICY_V1
CategoryAlertPreviousCurrentSessionsWorkflowActions
NewNew technical setup (PRE_BREAKOUT_V1 appeared)noyes2026-10-01 → 2026-10-02New
ChangedOptions activity vs 20D baseline rose1.623.532026-10-01 → 2026-10-02New
ChangedTop expiration concentration increased0.640.842026-10-01 → 2026-10-02New
ChangedCall / put volume mix changed0.750.882026-10-01 → 2026-10-02New

Decision trace

PRE_BREAKOUT_SWING_V1_1 · generated 2026-10-04 15:56 UTC · strategy 073b221a9cd0…
  1. setup_eligiblePASSPRE_BREAKOUT_V1 on 2026-10-02: all 8 hard conditions passresistance=165.27994999999999 · close=164.01 · distance_pct=0.76836301075841
  2. trigger_statePASSNOT_TRIGGERED; trigger 165.46 is 0.41 ATR above the close (within 1 ATR)trigger_price=165.46 · distance_to_trigger_atr=0.41 | threshold near_trigger_atr=1
  3. data_freshnessPASS0 completed session(s) behind the calendarsessions_behind=0 | threshold max_sessions_behind=1
  4. price_gatePASSclose 164.01 at or above the 10 floorclose=164.01 | threshold min_price=10
  5. market_cap_gatePASSmarket cap 650.63B (finnhub, 2026-10-02)market_cap_usd=650632360000 | threshold min_market_cap_usd=1000000000
  6. liquidity_gatePASSADV20 2298.2M (STRONG_LIQUIDITY)adv_dollar=2298189183.64 · strong_liquidity=true | threshold min_adv_dollar=25000000, strong_adv_dollar=50000000
  7. sector_gatePASSsector Energy (finnhub_industry)
  8. market_regime_gatePASSregime RISK_ONregime=RISK_ON · risk_multiplier=1
  9. event_risk_gatePASSearnings in 14 sessions (2026-10-23)earnings_sessions_away=14 | threshold earnings_block_sessions=5
  10. news_gatePASSnews context POSITIVE_WITH_RISKS
  11. chase_gatePASS0.49 ATR above EMA20, session move 0.05 ATRextension_atr=0.49 | threshold breakout_max_extension_atr=2
  12. risk_rewardPASSreward/risk 2.80 to target 1 (strong), 4.71 to target 2reward_risk_1=2.8 · reward_risk_2=4.71 | threshold min_reward_risk_1=2
  13. portfolio_gatePASS2 shares (331), bound by risk budgetshares=2 · risk_amount=7.42 · regime_multiplier=1 · share_increment=1
  14. data_qualityPASScurrent session data, valid technical snapshot, trigger and ATR; critical facts known
  15. finalPASSBUY_ON_TRIGGER

Snapshot history: 2026-10-02 BUY_ON_TRIGGER

Actions are generated from the configured trading strategy and current available market/intelligence data. They are not guarantees of future performance.