Technical2026-10-02Options2026-10-02delayedFlowTrades/Quotes not entitled
Daily run 2026-10-02 · completeWatchlist 0

APH

Industrials · Electrical Equipment
86.96
+1.51% · 2026-10-02
Buy now
Trade priority
#1 · 80.9
Data coverage
100%
Setup
no setup · 2026-10-02
News
positive
Next catalyst
Earnings in 17 sessions

Trade plan

PRE_BREAKOUT_SWING_V1_1 · valid until close of 2026-10-05, a material event, or strategy invalidation · shared by every portfolio profile
Action
BUY NOWvalid until close of 2026-10-05, a material event, or strategy invalidation
Trigger
86.36close above resistance confirmed · close 0.7% / 0.22 ATR above the trigger
Entry zone
86.22–87.61reference 86.96
Initial stop
83.454.0% · risk 3.51/sh
Target 1
94.54+8.7% · R:R 2.16 (acceptable)
Target 2
100.08+15.1% · R:R 3.74
Risk per share
3.51strategy-owned; the portfolio panel sizes it per profile
Invalidation
83.45a close below 1 ATR under the level invalidates the setup before entry

Level 86.22 (resistance of the PRE_BREAKOUT on 2026-10-01); ATR14 2.77 on 2026-10-02. Stop: 1 ATR below the breakout level 86.22. Targets: ATR projections 3 / 5 ATR above the level. R:R quality acceptable to T1 (hard minimum 2.0; 3R would be 97.49, T2 supports 3.74R). Targets are structural and are never moved to reach an R multiple.

Record the fill after you enter: add position. The strategy then manages the stop, targets and the next action.

Your portfolio · San

profile-specific: quantity, risk budget, exposure, cash impact
Profile
Sanequity 2,000.00 USD · whole shares
Current holding
noneno open position in this profile
Recommended quantity
2 sh173.92 · 8.7% of portfolio · bound by risk budget
Risk budget
10.000.5% of 2,000.00 · planned risk 7.02
Portfolio risk
0.00 openremaining 40.00 → 32.98 after
Exposure
0 / 3 positionsIndustrials: 0 / 2 · 0.00 of 1,000.00 cap
Cash impact
2,000.00 → 1,826.08derived from the ledger
Eligibility
BUY NOWsame as the strategy view

Entry, stop, targets and R:R are strategy-owned and identical for every profile; only this portfolio's quantity, risk, exposure and cash differ. Manage profiles · record a fill

Quality gates

hard entry gates of the strategy · PASS / FAIL / UNKNOWN
GateVerdictDetail
Data freshnessPASS0 completed session(s) behind the calendar
PricePASSclose 86.96 at or above the 10 floor
Market capPASSmarket cap 211.26B (finnhub, 2026-10-02)
LiquidityPASSADV20 1005.4M (STRONG_LIQUIDITY)
SectorPASSsector Industrials (finnhub_industry)
RegimePASSregime RISK_ON
EarningsPASSearnings in 17 sessions (2026-10-28)
News / event riskPASSnews context POSITIVE
Chase protectionPASS1.55 ATR above EMA20, session move 0.47 ATR
R:RPASSreward/risk 2.16 to target 1 (acceptable), 3.74 to target 2
Portfolio capacityPASS2 shares (174), bound by risk budget
Data qualityPASScurrent session data, valid technical snapshot, trigger and ATR; critical facts known

Why this action

Technical

  • breakout confirmed: close 86.96 above resistance 86.22 on 2026-10-02; entry reference is the last close (next open is the execution assumption)
  • stop 83.45: 1 ATR below the breakout level 86.22
  • RS20 vs SPY 6.4%, vs QQQ 1.5%

Options

  • volume 2.52× the 20D baseline (activity_fading) · selected contracts only, delayed

News and events

  • news context positive (22 canonical items in window)
  • earnings 2026-10-28 (17 sessions, finnhub); event risk low
  • earnings · high · unknown: Amphenol Setting Earnings Records, Shares Near All-Time Highs
  • earnings · medium · positive: Will Amphenol (APH) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
  • other · low · positive: Amphenol Rides on Communications Growth: Can AI Sustain Momentum?
  • macro · medium · negative: Dow Jones Futures: Stocks Rise Off Support As Yields Tumble, Micron, Meta In Focus; Tesla,

Market and risk

  • regime RISK ON: SPY: trend UP, volatility NORMAL; QQQ: trend UP, volatility NORMAL

Chart

252 sessions · EMA20 / SMA50 / SMA150 / SMA200 default · strategy levels drawn when a plan exists
2026-10-02O 86.82H 88.02L 85.72C 86.96 +1.51%Vol 10,765,273RVOL20 0.88SMA50 81.15SMA150 74.90SMA200 74.14EMA20 82.67RSI14 64.2MACD 1.378 / 0.746 / 0.631ATR14 2.77RS20 SPY 6.4% · QQQ 1.5%

Indicator history is derived from the stored bars with the accepted M3 functions (WORKSTATION_SERIES_V1); the scanner’s persisted values remain authoritative. Reconciliation at the scan session: 8 match.

Trade priority

operational attention ranking, not a forecast

Rank #1 · priority 80.9 / 100 · coverage 100%

  • technical readiness23/30
  • structure quality6/10
  • relative strength14/15
  • participation10/10
  • risk reward8/15
  • news context10/10
  • event risk5/5
  • urgency5/5

operational attention priority not a return forecast. Missing inputs lower coverage, never the score.

Setup evidence · PRE_BREAKOUT_V1

Setup state
NO_SETUP
Resistance
86.22
Distance
-0.86%
Close
86.96
SMA50
81.15
SMA150 / SMA200
74.9 / 74.14
RSI14
64.2
EMA20 extension
1.55 ATR
RS20 vs SPY
+6.4%
RS20 vs QQQ
+1.5%

Hard requirements · 6/8 passed

  • PASS
    Confirmed resistance
    resistance=86.22 exists eligible=true
  • FAIL
    Distance to resistance
    distance_pct=-0.8583 · resistance=86.22 · close=86.96 inclusive_between min=0 · max=3
  • PASS
    Close above SMA50
    close=86.96 · sma50=81.149 > right_operand=sma50
  • PASS
    SMA150 ≥ SMA200
    sma150=74.8961 · sma200=74.1414 >= right_operand=sma200
  • PASS
    RSI14 band
    rsi14=64.1508 inclusive_between min=50 · max=70
  • FAIL
    EMA20 extension (ATR)
    extension_atr=1.547 · close=86.96 · ema20=82.6716 · atr14=2.772 <= max=1.5
  • PASS
    RS20 vs SPY or QQQ
    SPY=0.0641 · QQQ=0.0151 OR > SPY=0 · QQQ=0
  • PASS
    Resistance quality
    distinct_touches=2 policy_and_minimum_touches min=2

Supporting evidence · 4/6 passed

  • PASS
    ATR compression
    current_atr_pct=0.0319 · median_previous_60_atr_pct=0.0406 · ratio=0.786 < right_operand=median_previous_60_atr_pct
  • FAIL
    Volume contraction
    recent_volume=12,611,353.0993 · baseline_volume=12,065,632.1507 · ratio=1.0452 < max=0.85
  • FAIL
    Higher lows
    low_1=75.75 · low_2=77.705 · low_3=76.74 low_3 > low_2 > low_1 required_pivots=3
  • PASS
    Full MA alignment
    sma50=81.149 · sma150=74.8961 · sma200=74.1414 sma50 > sma150 > sma200
  • PASS
    RS20 vs SPY positive
    SPY=0.0641 > min=0
  • PASS
    RS20 vs QQQ positive
    QQQ=0.0151 > min=0

PRE_BREAKOUT_V1 · scan run 410 · session 2026-10-02 · evaluated as of 2026-10-04T13:22:30.123326Z. Supporting evidence never changes the trigger; UNKNOWN is never collapsed into false.

Intelligence timeline

22 canonical of 22 items in window · duplicates collapsed

canonical items of the last 10 sessions; analyst/industry/macro commentary and social sources excluded from the direction tally; gating uses tier 1-3 HIGH items within 3 (negative) / 2 (unknown direction) sessions

Catalysts and filings

EventDateInMaterialitySource
Earnings2026-10-2817 sessionshighfinnhub · Tier 3 · provider

Options activity

AVAILABLE_DELAYED · session 2026-10-01 · selected contracts, delayed
Session volume
6,074
5D baseline
1,853
20D baseline
2,412
Volume / 20D
2.52x
Call / put volume
5,283 / 791
Call / put ratio
6.68
Top-3 contract share
86%
Top expiration
2026-10-16 100%

Activity trend · last 26 sessions

2026-08-17: 42026-08-18: 22026-08-19: 92026-08-20: 12026-09-01: 32026-09-02: 12026-09-03: 1,4752026-09-04: 8842026-09-08: 1,4732026-09-09: 1,9222026-09-10: 5,3812026-09-11: 2,2442026-09-14: 2,0202026-09-15: 3,7712026-09-16: 1,3122026-09-17: 7862026-09-18: 5,5122026-09-21: 5,0392026-09-22: 4,5342026-09-23: 2,6202026-09-24: 1,1482026-09-25: 1,9692026-09-28: 2,7532026-09-29: 1,9722026-09-30: 1,4212026-10-01: 6,07408-1709-1510-016,074 · line: 20D baseline
SessionVolume5D20D/ 20D
2026-09-251,9693,7712,0070.98x
2026-09-282,7533,0622,1051.31x
2026-09-291,9722,6052,2420.88x
2026-09-301,4212,0922,3410.61x
2026-10-016,0741,8532,4122.52x

Call vs put volume

2026-08-17: 0 / 42026-08-18: 0 / 22026-08-19: 0 / 92026-08-20: 1 / 02026-09-01: 3 / 02026-09-02: 0 / 12026-09-03: 533 / 9422026-09-04: 631 / 2532026-09-08: 553 / 9202026-09-09: 392 / 1,5302026-09-10: 2,740 / 2,6412026-09-11: 1,337 / 9072026-09-14: 1,396 / 6242026-09-15: 2,827 / 9442026-09-16: 785 / 5272026-09-17: 394 / 3922026-09-18: 4,532 / 9802026-09-21: 4,152 / 8872026-09-22: 3,706 / 8282026-09-23: 1,753 / 8672026-09-24: 747 / 4012026-09-25: 1,364 / 6052026-09-28: 1,256 / 1,4972026-09-29: 1,429 / 5432026-09-30: 830 / 5912026-10-01: 5,283 / 79108-1709-1510-016,074
calls 87%puts 13%

Expiration concentration

  • 2026-10-166,074 · 100%

Contract concentration

  • O:APH261016C000850004,147 · 68%
  • O:APH261016C00090000591 · 10%
  • O:APH261016P00075000474 · 8%
  • O:APH261016C00082500281 · 5%
  • O:APH261016C00087500121 · 2%
  • remaining contracts14% outside top 3

Top contracts · session 2026-10-01

ContractTypeStrikeExpirationDTEVolume5D avg20D avg/ 20DReturnMoneyness
O:APH261016C00085000CALL852026-10-16154,147324insufficient historyinsufficient history53.2%ITM (0.8%)
O:APH261016C00090000CALL902026-10-16155914863961.49x33.0%OTM (-4.8%)
O:APH261016P00075000PUT752026-10-161547482insufficient historyinsufficient history-38.2%OTM (14.2%)
O:APH261016C00082500CALL82.52026-10-161528169insufficient historyinsufficient history18.6%ITM (3.8%)
O:APH261016C00087500CALL87.52026-10-161512168insufficient historyinsufficient history37.0%OTM (-2.1%)
O:APH261016P00080000PUT802026-10-1615120205insufficient historyinsufficient history-38.0%OTM (7.1%)
O:APH261016P00087500PUT87.52026-10-16156015insufficient historyinsufficient history-15.0%ITM (-2.1%)
O:APH261016C00095000CALL952026-10-16155423insufficient historyinsufficient history33.3%OTM (-9.8%)
O:APH261016P00082500PUT82.52026-10-16154661insufficient historyinsufficient history-29.4%OTM (3.8%)
O:APH261016P00085000PUT852026-10-161546175insufficient historyinsufficient history-15.1%OTM (0.8%)
O:APH261016P00077500PUT77.52026-10-161545128insufficient historyinsufficient history-37.5%OTM (10.5%)
O:APH261016C00080000CALL802026-10-161538301920.20x10.6%ITM (7.1%)
O:APH261016C00092500CALL92.52026-10-161523101insufficient historyinsufficient history73.9%OTM (-7.4%)
O:APH261016C00077500CALL77.52026-10-16151618insufficient historyinsufficient history17.9%ITM (10.5%)
O:APH261016C00097500CALL97.52026-10-161596insufficient historyinsufficient history10.0%OTM (-12.1%)

OPTIONS_SELECTION_M9_V1 selected contracts only · provider capability DELAYED · delayed · Top 15 selected contracts by session volume; 5D/20D averages use strictly prior sessions (M10), INSUFFICIENT_HISTORY is shown, never zero.

M13 observations for this session
  • Technical setup present (PRE_BREAKOUT_V1): FALSE
  • Technical and options context share a session: FALSE
  • Activity above its own 20-session baseline: TRUE
  • Activity below its own 20-session baseline: FALSE
  • Recent 5-session baseline above 20-session baseline: FALSE
  • Recent 5-session baseline below 20-session baseline: TRUE
  • Volume concentrated in top 3 contracts: TRUE
  • Volume concentrated in one expiration: TRUE
  • Calls carry most session volume: TRUE
  • Puts carry most session volume: FALSE
  • Call and put volume roughly balanced: FALSE
  • Enrichment data (snapshot/OI/IV/Greeks) available: FALSE
  • Enrichment data unavailable: TRUE
  • Real flow data unavailable: TRUE
  • Flow events present in replay window: NOT_EVALUABLE

Flow

Flow events—
Clusters—
Sweep candidates—
Block candidates—
Aggressor candidates—
Premium coverage—

Flow engine is ready. Trades and Quotes are not available with the current provider capabilities; this area populates automatically from the same M11 engine when real persisted facts exist. Synthetic fixture flow is never shown.

Evidence alerts

5 · ALERT_POLICY_V1
CategoryAlertPreviousCurrentSessionsWorkflowActions
DisappearedTechnical setup disappearedyesno2026-10-01 → 2026-10-02New
ChangedDistance to resistance narrowed0.64-0.862026-10-01 → 2026-10-02New
ChangedOptions activity vs 20D baseline rose0.612.522026-09-30 → 2026-10-01New
ChangedTop-3 contract concentration increased0.70.862026-09-30 → 2026-10-01New
ChangedCall / put volume mix changed0.580.872026-09-30 → 2026-10-01New

Decision trace

PRE_BREAKOUT_SWING_V1_1 · generated 2026-10-04 16:39 UTC · strategy 073b221a9cd0…
  1. setup_eligiblePASSPRE_BREAKOUT on 2026-10-01; close above its resistance 86.22 on 2026-10-02
  2. trigger_statePASSTRIGGERED: close 86.96 above 86.22 inside the entry zone, 1.55 ATR from EMA20close=86.96 · entry_zone_high=87.61 · extension_atr=1.55 | threshold breakout_max_extension_atr=2
  3. data_freshnessPASS0 completed session(s) behind the calendarsessions_behind=0 | threshold max_sessions_behind=1
  4. price_gatePASSclose 86.96 at or above the 10 floorclose=86.96 | threshold min_price=10
  5. market_cap_gatePASSmarket cap 211.26B (finnhub, 2026-10-02)market_cap_usd=211259404051.49 | threshold min_market_cap_usd=1000000000
  6. liquidity_gatePASSADV20 1005.4M (STRONG_LIQUIDITY)adv_dollar=1005385962.36 · strong_liquidity=true | threshold min_adv_dollar=25000000, strong_adv_dollar=50000000
  7. sector_gatePASSsector Industrials (finnhub_industry)
  8. market_regime_gatePASSregime RISK_ONregime=RISK_ON · risk_multiplier=1
  9. event_risk_gatePASSearnings in 17 sessions (2026-10-28)earnings_sessions_away=17 | threshold earnings_block_sessions=5
  10. news_gatePASSnews context POSITIVE
  11. chase_gatePASS1.55 ATR above EMA20, session move 0.47 ATRextension_atr=1.55 | threshold breakout_max_extension_atr=2
  12. risk_rewardPASSreward/risk 2.16 to target 1 (acceptable), 3.74 to target 2reward_risk_1=2.16 · reward_risk_2=3.74 | threshold min_reward_risk_1=2
  13. portfolio_gatePASS2 shares (174), bound by risk budgetshares=2 · risk_amount=7.02 · regime_multiplier=1 · share_increment=1
  14. data_qualityPASScurrent session data, valid technical snapshot, trigger and ATR; critical facts known
  15. finalPASSBUY_NOW

Snapshot history: 2026-10-02 BUY_NOW · 2026-10-01 BUY_ON_TRIGGER · 2026-09-30 BUY_ON_TRIGGER

Actions are generated from the configured trading strategy and current available market/intelligence data. They are not guarantees of future performance.