Technical2026-10-02Options2026-10-02delayedFlowTrades/Quotes not entitled
Daily run 2026-10-02 · completeWatchlist 0

NVDA

Technology · Semiconductors
233.95
+1.34% · 2026-10-02
Buy now
Trade priority
#2 · 68.9
Data coverage
100%
Setup
no setup · 2026-10-02
News
mixed
Next catalyst
Earnings in 31 sessions

Trade plan

PRE_BREAKOUT_SWING_V1_1 · valid until close of 2026-10-05, a material event, or strategy invalidation · shared by every portfolio profile
Action
BUY NOWvalid until close of 2026-10-05, a material event, or strategy invalidation
Trigger
233.04close above resistance confirmed · close 0.4% / 0.15 ATR above the trigger
Entry zone
232.75–235.70reference 233.95
Initial stop
226.833.0% · risk 7.12/sh
Target 1
250.48+7.1% · R:R 2.32 (acceptable)
Target 2
262.30+12.1% · R:R 3.98
Risk per share
7.12strategy-owned; the portfolio panel sizes it per profile
Invalidation
226.83a close below 1 ATR under the level invalidates the setup before entry

Level 232.75 (resistance of the PRE_BREAKOUT on 2026-10-01); ATR14 5.91 on 2026-10-02. Stop: 1 ATR below the breakout level 232.75. Targets: ATR projections 3 / 5 ATR above the level. R:R quality acceptable to T1 (hard minimum 2.0; 3R would be 255.31, T2 supports 3.98R). Targets are structural and are never moved to reach an R multiple.

Record the fill after you enter: add position. The strategy then manages the stop, targets and the next action.

Your portfolio · San

profile-specific: quantity, risk budget, exposure, cash impact
Profile
Sanequity 2,000.00 USD · whole shares
Current holding
noneno open position in this profile
Recommended quantity
1 sh233.95 · 11.7% of portfolio · bound by risk budget
Risk budget
10.000.5% of 2,000.00 · planned risk 7.12
Portfolio risk
0.00 openremaining 40.00 → 32.88 after
Exposure
0 / 3 positionsTechnology: 0 / 2 · 0.00 of 1,000.00 cap
Cash impact
2,000.00 → 1,766.05derived from the ledger
Eligibility
BUY NOWsame as the strategy view

Entry, stop, targets and R:R are strategy-owned and identical for every profile; only this portfolio's quantity, risk, exposure and cash differ. Manage profiles · record a fill

Quality gates

hard entry gates of the strategy · PASS / FAIL / UNKNOWN
GateVerdictDetail
Data freshnessPASS0 completed session(s) behind the calendar
PricePASSclose 233.95 at or above the 10 floor
Market capPASSmarket cap 5563.73B (finnhub, 2026-10-02)
LiquidityPASSADV20 24631.7M (STRONG_LIQUIDITY)
SectorPASSsector Technology (finnhub_industry)
RegimePASSregime RISK_ON
EarningsPASSearnings in 31 sessions (2026-11-17)
News / event riskPASSnews context MIXED
Chase protectionPASS1.53 ATR above EMA20, session move 0.52 ATR
R:RPASSreward/risk 2.32 to target 1 (acceptable), 3.98 to target 2
Portfolio capacityPASS1 shares (234), bound by risk budget
Data qualityPASScurrent session data, valid technical snapshot, trigger and ATR; critical facts known

Why this action

Technical

  • breakout confirmed: close 233.95 above resistance 232.75 on 2026-10-02; entry reference is the last close (next open is the execution assumption)
  • stop 226.83: 1 ATR below the breakout level 232.75
  • RS20 vs SPY 2.9%, vs QQQ -2.0%

Options

  • volume 4.51× the 20D baseline (activity_accelerating) · selected contracts only, delayed

News and events

  • news context mixed (218 canonical items in window)
  • earnings 2026-11-17 (31 sessions, finnhub); event risk low
  • other · low · unknown: Amazon Wants to Move $8 Billion in Nvidia Chips Off Its Books. Is AI’s Financing Model Sta
  • other · low · unknown: AMD Reaches a $1 Trillion Market Cap. Can It Finally Dethrone Nvidia?
  • other · low · negative: Dow Jones Futures Loom With Nasdaq At High, Nvidia And SpaceX Buys, But Note These Risks
  • other · low · unknown: What a $10,000 Investment Split Between Nvidia and Broadcom Could Be Worth by 2030

Market and risk

  • regime RISK ON: SPY: trend UP, volatility NORMAL; QQQ: trend UP, volatility NORMAL
  • news context mixed

Chart

252 sessions · EMA20 / SMA50 / SMA150 / SMA200 default · strategy levels drawn when a plan exists
2026-10-02O 236.06H 237.88L 233.60C 233.95 +1.34%Vol 135,167,818RVOL20 1.23SMA50 218.28SMA150 205.75SMA200 200.71EMA20 224.90RSI14 62.9MACD 3.489 / 2.661 / 0.827ATR14 5.91RS20 SPY 2.9% · QQQ -2.0%

Indicator history is derived from the stored bars with the accepted M3 functions (WORKSTATION_SERIES_V1); the scanner’s persisted values remain authoritative. Reconciliation at the scan session: 8 match.

Trade priority

operational attention ranking, not a forecast

Rank #2 · priority 68.9 / 100 · coverage 100%

  • technical readiness23/30
  • structure quality6/10
  • relative strength8/15
  • participation10/10
  • risk reward8/15
  • news context4/10
  • event risk5/5
  • urgency5/5

operational attention priority not a return forecast. Missing inputs lower coverage, never the score.

Setup evidence · PRE_BREAKOUT_V1

Setup state
NO_SETUP
Resistance
232.75
Distance
-0.52%
Close
233.95
SMA50
218.28
SMA150 / SMA200
205.75 / 200.71
RSI14
62.9
EMA20 extension
1.53 ATR
RS20 vs SPY
+2.9%
RS20 vs QQQ
-2.0%

Hard requirements · 6/8 passed

  • PASS
    Confirmed resistance
    resistance=232.745 exists eligible=true
  • FAIL
    Distance to resistance
    distance_pct=-0.5177 · resistance=232.745 · close=233.95 inclusive_between min=0 · max=3
  • PASS
    Close above SMA50
    close=233.95 · sma50=218.2782 > right_operand=sma50
  • PASS
    SMA150 ≥ SMA200
    sma150=205.7458 · sma200=200.7146 >= right_operand=sma200
  • PASS
    RSI14 band
    rsi14=62.8974 inclusive_between min=50 · max=70
  • FAIL
    EMA20 extension (ATR)
    extension_atr=1.5315 · close=233.95 · ema20=224.8992 · atr14=5.9097 <= max=1.5
  • PASS
    RS20 vs SPY or QQQ
    SPY=0.0286 · QQQ=-0.0204 OR > SPY=0 · QQQ=0
  • PASS
    Resistance quality
    distinct_touches=2 policy_and_minimum_touches min=2

Supporting evidence · 3/6 passed

  • PASS
    ATR compression
    current_atr_pct=0.0253 · median_previous_60_atr_pct=0.0333 · ratio=0.7591 < right_operand=median_previous_60_atr_pct
  • FAIL
    Volume contraction
    recent_volume=119,752,234.3309 · baseline_volume=116,067,500.4636 · ratio=1.0317 < max=0.85
  • FAIL
    Higher lows
    low_1=215.1 · low_2=208.93 · low_3=221.09 low_3 > low_2 > low_1 required_pivots=3
  • PASS
    Full MA alignment
    sma50=218.2782 · sma150=205.7458 · sma200=200.7146 sma50 > sma150 > sma200
  • PASS
    RS20 vs SPY positive
    SPY=0.0286 > min=0
  • FAIL
    RS20 vs QQQ positive
    QQQ=-0.0204 > min=0

PRE_BREAKOUT_V1 · scan run 415 · session 2026-10-02 · evaluated as of 2026-10-04T13:23:03.152588Z. Supporting evidence never changes the trigger; UNKNOWN is never collapsed into false.

Intelligence timeline

218 canonical of 221 items in window · duplicates collapsed

canonical items of the last 10 sessions; analyst/industry/macro commentary and social sources excluded from the direction tally; gating uses tier 1-3 HIGH items within 3 (negative) / 2 (unknown direction) sessions

Catalysts and filings

EventDateInMaterialitySource
Earnings (after the close)2026-11-1731 sessionshighfinnhub · Tier 3 · provider

Options activity

AVAILABLE_DELAYED · session 2026-10-01 · selected contracts, delayed
Session volume
183.4K
5D baseline
85.0K
20D baseline
40.7K
Volume / 20D
4.51x
Call / put volume
116.5K / 66.9K
Call / put ratio
1.74
Top-3 contract share
39%
Top expiration
2026-10-09 94%

Activity trend · last 45 sessions

2026-07-30: 1,6812026-07-31: 4132026-08-03: 6372026-08-04: 1,7112026-08-05: 4,7432026-08-06: 1,5372026-08-07: 4,1172026-08-10: 1,5572026-08-11: 1,4532026-08-12: 1,9652026-08-13: 2,5172026-08-14: 3,1002026-08-17: 2,2722026-08-18: 1,6452026-08-19: 1,5662026-08-20: 1,1582026-08-21: 2,2142026-08-24: 4,9662026-08-25: 2,7312026-08-26: 2,9882026-08-27: 18,7672026-08-28: 13,6952026-08-31: 8,3712026-09-01: 7,6992026-09-02: 19,4752026-09-03: 16,0022026-09-04: 21,9232026-09-08: 29,1072026-09-09: 17,2972026-09-10: 24,1202026-09-11: 22,9162026-09-14: 25,9042026-09-15: 13,5942026-09-16: 29,1342026-09-17: 17,9142026-09-18: 19,1832026-09-21: 49,4742026-09-22: 39,9892026-09-23: 42,5232026-09-24: 37,4982026-09-25: 44,5042026-09-28: 139,5822026-09-29: 82,3632026-09-30: 120,8162026-10-01: 183,35307-3008-3110-01183,353 · line: 20D baseline
SessionVolume5D20D/ 20D
2026-09-2544.5K37.7K23.7K1.88x
2026-09-28139.6K42.8K25.0K5.58x
2026-09-2982.4K60.8K31.3K2.63x
2026-09-30120.8K69.3K35.0K3.45x
2026-10-01183.4K85.0K40.7K4.51x

Call vs put volume

2026-07-30: 1,559 / 1222026-07-31: 337 / 762026-08-03: 625 / 122026-08-04: 1,288 / 4232026-08-05: 2,378 / 2,3652026-08-06: 1,321 / 2162026-08-07: 3,305 / 8122026-08-10: 1,243 / 3142026-08-11: 1,190 / 2632026-08-12: 1,496 / 4692026-08-13: 1,865 / 6522026-08-14: 1,255 / 1,8452026-08-17: 1,338 / 9342026-08-18: 1,070 / 5752026-08-19: 1,013 / 5532026-08-20: 912 / 2462026-08-21: 2,141 / 732026-08-24: 4,900 / 662026-08-25: 2,364 / 3672026-08-26: 2,871 / 1172026-08-27: 13,252 / 5,5152026-08-28: 9,773 / 3,9222026-08-31: 7,660 / 7112026-09-01: 7,019 / 6802026-09-02: 15,049 / 4,4262026-09-03: 9,444 / 6,5582026-09-04: 9,627 / 12,2962026-09-08: 18,426 / 10,6812026-09-09: 13,401 / 3,8962026-09-10: 20,749 / 3,3712026-09-11: 20,384 / 2,5322026-09-14: 24,476 / 1,4282026-09-15: 12,049 / 1,5452026-09-16: 28,165 / 9692026-09-17: 16,189 / 1,7252026-09-18: 15,378 / 3,8052026-09-21: 36,521 / 12,9532026-09-22: 26,471 / 13,5182026-09-23: 27,484 / 15,0392026-09-24: 26,803 / 10,6952026-09-25: 33,119 / 11,3852026-09-28: 89,944 / 49,6382026-09-29: 55,845 / 26,5182026-09-30: 59,322 / 61,4942026-10-01: 116,451 / 66,90207-3008-3110-01183,353
calls 64%puts 36%

Expiration concentration

  • 2026-10-09172.3K · 94%
  • 2026-10-1211.1K · 6%

Contract concentration

  • O:NVDA261009C0023500032.0K · 17%
  • O:NVDA261009C0023000021.6K · 12%
  • O:NVDA261009C0024000018.8K · 10%
  • O:NVDA261009P0023000018.7K · 10%
  • O:NVDA261009C0024250017.3K · 9%
  • remaining contracts61% outside top 3

Top contracts · session 2026-10-01

ContractTypeStrikeExpirationDTEVolume5D avg20D avg/ 20DReturnMoneyness
O:NVDA261009C00235000CALL2352026-10-09832.0K5,8533,5868.92x-1.7%OTM (-1.8%)
O:NVDA261009C00230000CALL2302026-10-09821.6K6,0683,8765.57x2.3%ATM (0.4%)
O:NVDA261009C00240000CALL2402026-10-09818.8K6,2732,6177.18x1.0%OTM (-3.8%)
O:NVDA261009P00230000PUT2302026-10-09818.7K5,1341,56112.00x-18.6%ATM (0.4%)
O:NVDA261009C00242500CALL242.52026-10-09817.3K969insufficient historyinsufficient history-16.7%OTM (-4.8%)
O:NVDA261009P00227500PUT227.52026-10-09811.4K925insufficient historyinsufficient history-28.6%OTM (1.5%)
O:NVDA261009P00220000PUT2202026-10-0987,3585,8912,3163.18x-26.5%OTM (4.9%)
O:NVDA261009C00232500CALL232.52026-10-0987,3412,922insufficient historyinsufficient history3.7%OTM (-0.7%)
O:NVDA261009P00225000PUT2252026-10-0987,2283,0121,3205.47x-27.6%OTM (2.6%)
O:NVDA261009P00242500PUT242.52026-10-0986,400130insufficient historyinsufficient history-12.9%ITM (-4.8%)
O:NVDA261009C00237500CALL237.52026-10-0984,4861,698insufficient historyinsufficient history3.4%OTM (-2.8%)
O:NVDA261009P00240000PUT2402026-10-0984,33627210342.28x-1.3%ITM (-3.8%)
O:NVDA261009C00220000CALL2202026-10-0983,4229621,3162.60x6.9%ITM (4.9%)
O:NVDA261009P00222500PUT222.52026-10-0982,6672,126insufficient historyinsufficient history-28.9%OTM (3.8%)
O:NVDA261012C00230000CALL2302026-10-12111,881insufficient historyinsufficient historyinsufficient history6.0%ATM (0.4%)

OPTIONS_SELECTION_M9_V1 selected contracts only · provider capability DELAYED · delayed · Top 15 selected contracts by session volume; 5D/20D averages use strictly prior sessions (M10), INSUFFICIENT_HISTORY is shown, never zero.

M13 observations for this session
  • Technical setup present (PRE_BREAKOUT_V1): FALSE
  • Technical and options context share a session: FALSE
  • Activity above its own 20-session baseline: TRUE
  • Activity below its own 20-session baseline: FALSE
  • Recent 5-session baseline above 20-session baseline: TRUE
  • Recent 5-session baseline below 20-session baseline: FALSE
  • Volume concentrated in top 3 contracts: FALSE
  • Volume concentrated in one expiration: TRUE
  • Calls carry most session volume: TRUE
  • Puts carry most session volume: FALSE
  • Call and put volume roughly balanced: FALSE
  • Enrichment data (snapshot/OI/IV/Greeks) available: FALSE
  • Enrichment data unavailable: TRUE
  • Real flow data unavailable: TRUE
  • Flow events present in replay window: NOT_EVALUABLE

Flow

Flow events—
Clusters—
Sweep candidates—
Block candidates—
Aggressor candidates—
Premium coverage—

Flow engine is ready. Trades and Quotes are not available with the current provider capabilities; this area populates automatically from the same M11 engine when real persisted facts exist. Synthetic fixture flow is never shown.

Evidence alerts

5 · ALERT_POLICY_V1
CategoryAlertPreviousCurrentSessionsWorkflowActions
DisappearedTechnical setup disappearedyesno2026-10-01 → 2026-10-02New
ChangedDistance to resistance narrowed0.81-0.522026-10-01 → 2026-10-02New
ChangedOptions activity vs 20D baseline rose3.454.512026-09-30 → 2026-10-01New
ChangedTop expiration concentration increased0.690.942026-09-30 → 2026-10-01New
ChangedCall / put volume mix changed0.490.642026-09-30 → 2026-10-01New

Decision trace

PRE_BREAKOUT_SWING_V1_1 · generated 2026-10-04 16:39 UTC · strategy 073b221a9cd0…
  1. setup_eligiblePASSPRE_BREAKOUT on 2026-10-01; close above its resistance 232.75 on 2026-10-02
  2. trigger_statePASSTRIGGERED: close 233.95 above 232.75 inside the entry zone, 1.53 ATR from EMA20close=233.95 · entry_zone_high=235.7 · extension_atr=1.53 | threshold breakout_max_extension_atr=2
  3. data_freshnessPASS0 completed session(s) behind the calendarsessions_behind=0 | threshold max_sessions_behind=1
  4. price_gatePASSclose 233.95 at or above the 10 floorclose=233.95 | threshold min_price=10
  5. market_cap_gatePASSmarket cap 5563.73B (finnhub, 2026-10-02)market_cap_usd=5563726118953.86 | threshold min_market_cap_usd=1000000000
  6. liquidity_gatePASSADV20 24631.7M (STRONG_LIQUIDITY)adv_dollar=24631710485.55 · strong_liquidity=true | threshold min_adv_dollar=25000000, strong_adv_dollar=50000000
  7. sector_gatePASSsector Technology (finnhub_industry)
  8. market_regime_gatePASSregime RISK_ONregime=RISK_ON · risk_multiplier=1
  9. event_risk_gatePASSearnings in 31 sessions (2026-11-17)earnings_sessions_away=31 | threshold earnings_block_sessions=5
  10. news_gatePASSnews context MIXED
  11. chase_gatePASS1.53 ATR above EMA20, session move 0.52 ATRextension_atr=1.53 | threshold breakout_max_extension_atr=2
  12. risk_rewardPASSreward/risk 2.32 to target 1 (acceptable), 3.98 to target 2reward_risk_1=2.32 · reward_risk_2=3.98 | threshold min_reward_risk_1=2
  13. portfolio_gatePASS1 shares (234), bound by risk budgetshares=1 · risk_amount=7.12 · regime_multiplier=1 · share_increment=1
  14. data_qualityPASScurrent session data, valid technical snapshot, trigger and ATR; critical facts known
  15. finalPASSBUY_NOW

Snapshot history: 2026-10-02 BUY_NOW · 2026-10-01 BUY_ON_TRIGGER · 2026-09-30 BUY_ON_TRIGGER

Actions are generated from the configured trading strategy and current available market/intelligence data. They are not guarantees of future performance.