Technical2026-10-02Options2026-10-02delayedFlowTrades/Quotes not entitled
Daily run 2026-10-02 · completeWatchlist 0

LLY

Healthcare · Pharmaceuticals
1142.85
-0.61% · 2026-10-02
Avoid
Trade priority
not ranked
Data coverage
55%
Setup
no setup · 2026-10-02
News
negative
Next catalyst
Earnings in 18 sessions

Trade plan

PRE_BREAKOUT_SWING_V1_1 · valid until close of 2026-10-05, a material event, or strategy invalidation · shared by every portfolio profile

No trade plan: the strategy has no valid setup for this symbol (trend or relative-strength condition fails (intermediate_trend, relative_strength_20)).

Your portfolio · San

profile-specific: quantity, risk budget, exposure, cash impact
Profile
Sanequity 2,000.00 USD · whole shares
Current holding
noneno open position in this profile
Recommended quantity
—no pending entry to size
Risk budget
10.000.5% of 2,000.00
Portfolio risk
0.00 opencap 2%
Exposure
0 / 3 positionsHealthcare: 0 / 2 · 0.00 of 1,000.00 cap
Cash impact
2,000.00derived from the ledger
Eligibility
AVOIDsame as the strategy view

Entry, stop, targets and R:R are strategy-owned and identical for every profile; only this portfolio's quantity, risk, exposure and cash differ. Manage profiles · record a fill

Why this action

Technical

  • trend or relative-strength condition fails (intermediate_trend, relative_strength_20)
  • RS20 vs SPY -1.0%, vs QQQ -5.9%

Options

  • volume 0.96× the 20D baseline (activity_accelerating) · selected contracts only, delayed

News and events

  • news context negative (90 canonical items in window)
  • earnings 2026-10-29 (18 sessions, finnhub); event risk low
  • fda · high · positive: Lilly's Jaypirca (pirtobrutinib), the first-and-only approved non-covalent BTK inhibitor,
  • fda · high · positive: Eli Lilly Says FDA Approves Additional Indication For Jaypirca, Non-Covalent BTK Inhibitor
  • fda · high · positive: Eli Lilly Weight-Loss Drug Foundayo Meets Primary Endpoint in Phase 3 Trial
  • fda · high · negative: Eli Lilly Announces Detailed Results From The Phase 3 ACHIEVE-4 Trial Evaluating The Effi

Market and risk

  • regime RISK ON: SPY: trend UP, volatility NORMAL; QQQ: trend UP, volatility NORMAL

Chart

252 sessions · EMA20 / SMA50 / SMA150 / SMA200 default · strategy levels drawn when a plan exists
2026-10-02O 1153.82H 1164.92L 1136.66C 1142.85 -0.61%Vol 2,054,753RVOL20 0.90SMA50 1176.79SMA150 1080.72SMA200 1073.81EMA20 1162.03RSI14 43.0MACD -3.036 / -3.744 / 0.708ATR14 31.93RS20 SPY -1.0% · QQQ -5.9%

Indicator history is derived from the stored bars with the accepted M3 functions (WORKSTATION_SERIES_V1); the scanner’s persisted values remain authoritative. Reconciliation at the scan session: 8 match.

Trade priority

operational attention ranking, not a forecast

Not ranked: only valid setups and gated setups enter the trade-priority ranking.

  • technical readinessn/a
  • structure quality6/10
  • relative strength-0/15
  • participation4/10
  • risk rewardn/a
  • news context0/10
  • event risk5/5
  • urgency1/5

operational attention priority not a return forecast. Missing inputs lower coverage, never the score.

Setup evidence · PRE_BREAKOUT_V1

Setup state
NO_SETUP
Resistance
1,185.53
Distance
3.60%
Close
1,142.85
SMA50
1,176.79
SMA150 / SMA200
1,080.72 / 1,073.81
RSI14
43
EMA20 extension
-0.6 ATR
RS20 vs SPY
-1.0%
RS20 vs QQQ
-5.9%

Hard requirements · 4/8 passed

  • PASS
    Confirmed resistance
    resistance=1,185.5275 exists eligible=true
  • FAIL
    Distance to resistance
    distance_pct=3.5999 · resistance=1,185.5275 · close=1,142.85 inclusive_between min=0 · max=3
  • FAIL
    Close above SMA50
    close=1,142.85 · sma50=1,176.7894 > right_operand=sma50
  • PASS
    SMA150 ≥ SMA200
    sma150=1,080.722 · sma200=1,073.8146 >= right_operand=sma200
  • FAIL
    RSI14 band
    rsi14=43.0135 inclusive_between min=50 · max=70
  • PASS
    EMA20 extension (ATR)
    extension_atr=-0.6008 · close=1,142.85 · ema20=1,162.0308 · atr14=31.9264 <= max=1.5
  • FAIL
    RS20 vs SPY or QQQ
    SPY=-0.0099 · QQQ=-0.0589 OR > SPY=0 · QQQ=0
  • PASS
    Resistance quality
    distinct_touches=2 policy_and_minimum_touches min=2

Supporting evidence · 2/6 passed

  • PASS
    ATR compression
    current_atr_pct=0.0279 · median_previous_60_atr_pct=0.0321 · ratio=0.8704 < right_operand=median_previous_60_atr_pct
  • FAIL
    Volume contraction
    recent_volume=2,254,641.4087 · baseline_volume=2,345,696.0291 · ratio=0.9612 < max=0.85
  • FAIL
    Higher lows
    low_1=1,113.55 · low_2=1,113.2919 · low_3=1,134.41 low_3 > low_2 > low_1 required_pivots=3
  • PASS
    Full MA alignment
    sma50=1,176.7894 · sma150=1,080.722 · sma200=1,073.8146 sma50 > sma150 > sma200
  • FAIL
    RS20 vs SPY positive
    SPY=-0.0099 > min=0
  • FAIL
    RS20 vs QQQ positive
    QQQ=-0.0589 > min=0

PRE_BREAKOUT_V1 · scan run 414 · session 2026-10-02 · evaluated as of 2026-10-04T13:22:56.327970Z. Supporting evidence never changes the trigger; UNKNOWN is never collapsed into false.

Intelligence timeline

90 canonical of 99 items in window · duplicates collapsed

canonical items of the last 10 sessions; analyst/industry/macro commentary and social sources excluded from the direction tally; gating uses tier 1-3 HIGH items within 3 (negative) / 2 (unknown direction) sessions

Catalysts and filings

EventDateInMaterialitySource
Earnings2026-10-2918 sessionshighfinnhub · Tier 3 · provider

Options activity

AVAILABLE_DELAYED · session 2026-09-28 · selected contracts, delayed
Session volume
798
5D baseline
1,072
20D baseline
829
Volume / 20D
0.96x
Call / put volume
534 / 264
Call / put ratio
2.02
Top-3 contract share
42%
Top expiration
2026-10-16 77%

Activity trend · last 30 sessions

2026-08-17: 2922026-08-18: 1742026-08-19: 4412026-08-20: 4022026-08-21: 6662026-08-24: 2792026-08-25: 1562026-08-26: 3852026-08-27: 8812026-08-28: 1,1422026-08-31: 9142026-09-01: 4302026-09-02: 6822026-09-03: 9122026-09-04: 4622026-09-08: 6832026-09-09: 5412026-09-10: 9662026-09-11: 5232026-09-14: 6892026-09-15: 8682026-09-16: 6862026-09-17: 4212026-09-18: 1,3012026-09-21: 1,0942026-09-22: 1,1382026-09-23: 1,0022026-09-24: 1,3782026-09-25: 7502026-09-28: 79808-1709-0809-281,378 · line: 20D baseline
SessionVolume5D20D/ 20D
2026-09-221,1388747011.62x
2026-09-231,0029287441.35x
2026-09-241,3789917861.75x
2026-09-257501,1838360.90x
2026-09-287981,0728290.96x

Call vs put volume

2026-08-17: 242 / 502026-08-18: 79 / 952026-08-19: 73 / 3682026-08-20: 31 / 3712026-08-21: 56 / 6102026-08-24: 61 / 2182026-08-25: 26 / 1302026-08-26: 174 / 2112026-08-27: 305 / 5762026-08-28: 828 / 3142026-08-31: 345 / 5692026-09-01: 328 / 1022026-09-02: 584 / 982026-09-03: 624 / 2882026-09-04: 193 / 2692026-09-08: 639 / 442026-09-09: 487 / 542026-09-10: 549 / 4172026-09-11: 468 / 552026-09-14: 515 / 1742026-09-15: 682 / 1862026-09-16: 642 / 442026-09-17: 269 / 1522026-09-18: 1,253 / 482026-09-21: 943 / 1512026-09-22: 928 / 2102026-09-23: 859 / 1432026-09-24: 996 / 3822026-09-25: 440 / 3102026-09-28: 534 / 26408-1709-0809-281,378
calls 67%puts 33%

Expiration concentration

  • 2026-10-16611 · 77%
  • 2026-10-09187 · 23%

Contract concentration

  • O:LLY261016C01200000160 · 20%
  • O:LLY261016C01190000123 · 15%
  • O:LLY261016P0118000051 · 6%
  • O:LLY261016C0120500049 · 6%
  • O:LLY261009C0120000048 · 6%
  • remaining contracts58% outside top 3

Top contracts · session 2026-09-28

ContractTypeStrikeExpirationDTEVolume5D avg20D avg/ 20DReturnMoneyness
O:LLY261016C01200000CALL1,2002026-10-16181604092660.60x5.5%OTM (-1.3%)
O:LLY261016C01190000CALL1,1902026-10-161812345562.20x-7.0%ATM (-0.4%)
O:LLY261016P01180000PUT1,1802026-10-16185133580.88x-9.5%ATM (0.4%)
O:LLY261016C01205000CALL1,2052026-10-16184912insufficient historyinsufficient history-20.3%OTM (-1.7%)
O:LLY261009C01200000CALL1,2002026-10-09114856232.05x27.9%OTM (-1.3%)
O:LLY261016P01165000PUT1,1652026-10-161843insufficient historyinsufficient historyinsufficient history-0.7%OTM (1.7%)
O:LLY261016C01180000CALL1,1802026-10-16184135680.60x-2.5%ATM (0.4%)
O:LLY261016P01170000PUT1,1702026-10-16183026271.13x-11.0%OTM (1.3%)
O:LLY261009P01185000PUT1,1852026-10-0911186insufficient historyinsufficient history-5.7%ATM (0.0%)
O:LLY261016P01160000PUT1,1602026-10-16181648490.33x2.5%OTM (2.1%)
O:LLY261009C01195000CALL1,1952026-10-09111512insufficient historyinsufficient history-4.6%OTM (-0.9%)
O:LLY261016C01195000CALL1,1952026-10-16181512insufficient historyinsufficient history-2.2%OTM (-0.9%)
O:LLY261016P01195000PUT1,1952026-10-161815insufficient historyinsufficient historyinsufficient history-12.1%ITM (-0.9%)
O:LLY261016P01200000PUT1,2002026-10-16181513200.73x-8.5%ITM (-1.3%)
O:LLY261016P01175000PUT1,1752026-10-16181412insufficient historyinsufficient history0.1%OTM (0.8%)

OPTIONS_SELECTION_M9_V1 selected contracts only · provider capability DELAYED · delayed · Top 15 selected contracts by session volume; 5D/20D averages use strictly prior sessions (M10), INSUFFICIENT_HISTORY is shown, never zero.

M13 observations for this session
  • Technical setup present (PRE_BREAKOUT_V1): FALSE
  • Technical and options context share a session: FALSE
  • Activity above its own 20-session baseline: FALSE
  • Activity below its own 20-session baseline: FALSE
  • Recent 5-session baseline above 20-session baseline: TRUE
  • Recent 5-session baseline below 20-session baseline: FALSE
  • Volume concentrated in top 3 contracts: FALSE
  • Volume concentrated in one expiration: TRUE
  • Calls carry most session volume: TRUE
  • Puts carry most session volume: FALSE
  • Call and put volume roughly balanced: FALSE
  • Enrichment data (snapshot/OI/IV/Greeks) available: FALSE
  • Enrichment data unavailable: TRUE
  • Real flow data unavailable: TRUE
  • Flow events present in replay window: NOT_EVALUABLE

Flow

Flow events—
Clusters—
Sweep candidates—
Block candidates—
Aggressor candidates—
Premium coverage—

Flow engine is ready. Trades and Quotes are not available with the current provider capabilities; this area populates automatically from the same M11 engine when real persisted facts exist. Synthetic fixture flow is never shown.

Evidence alerts

1 · ALERT_POLICY_V1
CategoryAlertPreviousCurrentSessionsWorkflowActions
Data qualityData freshness changedTECHNICAL=CURRENT_SESSION; OPTIONS_ACTIVITY=STALE; FLOW=MISSING; ACTIVITY_PROVIDER=DELAYEDTECHNICAL=CURRENT_SESSION; OPTIONS_ACTIVITY=DELAYED; FLOW=MISSING; ACTIVITY_PROVIDER=DELAYED2026-10-01 → 2026-10-02New

Decision trace

PRE_BREAKOUT_SWING_V1_1 · generated 2026-10-04 18:05 UTC · strategy 073b221a9cd0…
  1. setup_eligibleFAILNO_SETUP: failed distance_to_resistance, intermediate_trend, relative_strength_20, rsi_bandfailed_conditions=distance_to_resistance, intermediate_trend, relative_strength_20, rsi_band
  2. finalPASSAVOID

Actions are generated from the configured trading strategy and current available market/intelligence data. They are not guarantees of future performance.