PM

Consumer Defensive · Tobacco

187.46

-0.38% · 2026-10-02

Avoid

Trade priority: not ranked

Data coverage: 55%

Setup: no setup · 2026-10-02

News: positive

Next catalyst: Earnings in 11 sessions

Trade plan

PRE_BREAKOUT_SWING_V1_1 · valid until close of 2026-10-05, a material event, or strategy invalidation · shared by every portfolio profile

No trade plan: the strategy has no valid setup for this symbol (trend or relative-strength condition fails (intermediate_trend)).

Your portfolio · San

profile-specific: quantity, risk budget, exposure, cash impact

Profile: Sanequity 2,000.00 USD · whole shares
Current holding: noneno open position in this profile
Recommended quantity: —no pending entry to size
Risk budget: 10.000.5% of 2,000.00
Portfolio risk: 0.00 opencap 2%
Exposure: 0 / 3 positionsConsumer Defensive: 0 / 2 · 0.00 of 1,000.00 cap
Cash impact: 2,000.00derived from the ledger
Eligibility: AVOIDsame as the strategy view

Entry, stop, targets and R:R are strategy-owned and identical for every profile; only this portfolio's quantity, risk, exposure and cash differ. Manage profiles · record a fill

Why this action

Technical

trend or relative-strength condition fails (intermediate_trend)
RS20 vs SPY 1.1%, vs QQQ -3.8%

Options

volume 1.11× the 20D baseline (neither) · selected contracts only, delayed

News and events

news context positive (22 canonical items in window)
earnings 2026-10-20 (11 sessions, finnhub); event risk low
other · low · positive: Philip Morris (PM): Is Its Smoke-Free Transformation a Durable Growth Engine?
other · low · unknown: 5 High-Yield Dividends With Ex-Dates Days Away: Buy Before the Window Closes
dividend · low · negative: BTI vs. PM: Which Tobacco Dividend Will Actually Survive the Industry’s Decline?
geopolitical · medium · unknown: PMI U.S. Donates to Official Military Relief Societies Serving Active-Duty Military and Fa

Market and risk

regime RISK ON: SPY: trend UP, volatility NORMAL; QQQ: trend UP, volatility NORMAL

Chart

252 sessions · EMA20 / SMA50 / SMA150 / SMA200 default · strategy levels drawn when a plan exists

2026-10-02O 186.88H 189.10L 185.88C 187.46 -0.38%Vol 3,094,374RVOL20 0.69SMA50 189.98SMA150 179.66SMA200 177.90EMA20 190.11RSI14 45.0MACD 0.253 / 0.551 / -0.298ATR14 4.39RS20 SPY 1.1% · QQQ -3.8%

Indicator history is derived from the stored bars with the accepted M3 functions (WORKSTATION_SERIES_V1); the scanner’s persisted values remain authoritative. Reconciliation at the scan session: 8 match.

Trade priority

operational attention ranking, not a forecast

Not ranked: only valid setups and gated setups enter the trade-priority ranking.

technical readinessn/a
structure quality6/10
relative strength7/15
participation7/10
risk rewardn/a
news context10/10
event risk5/5
urgency1/5

operational attention priority not a return forecast. Missing inputs lower coverage, never the score.

Setup evidence · PRE_BREAKOUT_V1

Setup state: NO_SETUP
Resistance: 190.1
Distance: 1.39%
Close: 187.46
SMA50: 189.98
SMA150 / SMA200: 179.66 / 177.9
RSI14: 45
EMA20 extension: -0.6 ATR
RS20 vs SPY: +1.1%
RS20 vs QQQ: -3.8%

Hard requirements · 6/8 passed

PASS
Confirmed resistance
resistance=190.095 exists eligible=true
PASS
Distance to resistance
distance_pct=1.3861 · resistance=190.095 · close=187.46 inclusive_between min=0 · max=3
FAIL
Close above SMA50
close=187.46 · sma50=189.9826 > right_operand=sma50
PASS
SMA150 ≥ SMA200
sma150=179.6626 · sma200=177.9029 >= right_operand=sma200
FAIL
RSI14 band
rsi14=45.0498 inclusive_between min=50 · max=70
PASS
EMA20 extension (ATR)
extension_atr=-0.6024 · close=187.46 · ema20=190.1067 · atr14=4.3936 <= max=1.5
PASS
RS20 vs SPY or QQQ
SPY=0.0115 · QQQ=-0.0375 OR > SPY=0 · QQQ=0
PASS
Resistance quality
distinct_touches=2 policy_and_minimum_touches min=2

Supporting evidence · 5/6 passed

PASS
ATR compression
current_atr_pct=0.0234 · median_previous_60_atr_pct=0.0254 · ratio=0.9227 < right_operand=median_previous_60_atr_pct
PASS
Volume contraction
recent_volume=3,743,516.1112 · baseline_volume=4,416,574.5082 · ratio=0.8476 < max=0.85
PASS
Higher lows
low_1=181.01 · low_2=185.84 · low_3=187.31 low_3 > low_2 > low_1 required_pivots=3
PASS
Full MA alignment
sma50=189.9826 · sma150=179.6626 · sma200=177.9029 sma50 > sma150 > sma200
PASS
RS20 vs SPY positive
SPY=0.0115 > min=0
FAIL
RS20 vs QQQ positive
QQQ=-0.0375 > min=0

PRE_BREAKOUT_V1 · scan run 415 · session 2026-10-02 · evaluated as of 2026-10-04T13:23:03.152588Z. Supporting evidence never changes the trigger; UNKNOWN is never collapsed into false.

Intelligence timeline

22 canonical of 23 items in window · duplicates collapsed

2026-10-0401:28 UTC
Philip Morris (PM): Is Its Smoke-Free Transformation a Durable Growth Engine?
Philip Morris International Inc. (NYSE:PM) has turned a shrinking cigarette business into a growth story. At about $187 a share and $292 billion in value, PM trades near 27 times earnings, a staples-growth multiple, roughly triple what traditional cigarette makers fetch. At this price, investors are betting that smoke-free products keep growing fast enough to […]
YahooTier 3 · providerotherlow materialitypositivecommentary
2026-10-0112:45 UTC
5 High-Yield Dividends With Ex-Dates Days Away: Buy Before the Window Closes
Four dividend stocks from Philip Morris to JPMorgan Chase have ex-dates landing within days, and missing the cutoff means the payout goes to the seller. The clock is already running.
YahooTier 3 · providerotherlow materialityunknownreported factmention in body only
2026-09-3019:15 UTC
BTI vs. PM: Which Tobacco Dividend Will Actually Survive the Industry’s Decline?
Both BTI and PM fund generous dividends from a shrinking cigarette business, but one company's smoke-free pivot has already changed what its payout is built on, and that gap matters far more than the headline yield difference.
YahooTier 3 · providerdividendlow materialitynegativecommentary
2026-09-3013:00 UTC
PMI U.S. Donates to Official Military Relief Societies Serving Active-Duty Military and Families at Home
Philip Morris International's U.S. businesses (PMI U.S.) today announced $340,000 in donations to the four military relief societies: Air & Space Forces Aid Society, Army Emergency Relief, Coast Guard Mutual Assistance, and Navy-Marine Corps Relief Society. The organizations provide critical financial assistance and support services to active-duty service members, retirees, and families. This fund
YahooTier 3 · providergeopoliticalmedium materialityunknownreported factmention in body only
2026-09-3012:55 UTC
What to Expect From Philip Morris International’s Next Quarterly Earnings Report
Philip Morris International is set to report its Q3 earnings next month, with analysts expecting single-digit year-over-year EPS growth.
YahooTier 3 · providerearningsmedium materialitypositivecommentary
2026-09-3006:46 UTC
The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights Coca-Cola, Philip Morris, Mondelez and Dole
KO, PM, MDLZ and DOLE stand out as defensive consumer staples amid falling sentiment, rising inflation and renewed rate-hike concerns.
YahooTier 3 · provideranalystlow materialityneutralcommentary
2026-09-2919:07 UTC
Is Philip Morris International (PM) Fully Valued Following Its Dividend Rise And Smoke Free Shift?
Dividend increase and smoke free shift put Philip Morris International in focus Philip Morris International (PM) has drawn fresh attention after lifting its regular quarterly dividend to an annualized US$6.40 per share, along with a revenue mix in which smoke free products now account for a substantial share. Recent trading shows that momentum in Philip Morris International has been building, with
YahooTier 3 · providerdividendlow materialityunknowncommentary+1 duplicate report
2026-09-2919:00 UTC
If You Invested $100 In Philip Morris Intl Stock 5 Years Ago, You Would Have This Much Today
Philip Morris Intl (NYSE:PM) has outperformed the market over the past 5 years by 2.79% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 15.05%. Currently, Philip Morris Intl has a market capitalization of
BenzingaTier 3 · providerotherlow materialitypositivereported fact
2026-09-2912:09 UTC
Philip Morris International (PM) Stock Looks About Right At Current Levels
Philip Morris International has delivered strong gains over the past few years, which puts fresh focus on whether the current share price lines up with what its earnings can support. With the stock around US$193.76 at the last close, investors are increasingly asking if the recent run leaves much room based on the company’s profit power. Over the past 5 years the stock has returned 151.4%, which r
YahooTier 3 · providerotherlow materialitypositivereported fact
2026-09-2911:22 UTC
4 Low-Beta Defensive Stocks to Buy as Consumer Sentiment Hits 4-Month Low
KO, PM, MDLZ and DOLE offer low-beta defensive exposure as consumer sentiment hits a four-month low amid inflation fears.
YahooTier 3 · providerotherlow materialityunknowncommentarymention in body only
2026-09-2904:50 UTC
Transcript: Philip Morris Intl Q2 2026 Earnings Conference Call
Philip Morris Intl (NYSE:PM) released second-quarter financial results and hosted an earnings call on Wednesday. Read the complete transcript below. This transcript is brought to you by Benzinga APIs. For real-time
BenzingaTier 3 · providerearningsmedium materialityunknowncommentary
2026-09-2415:45 UTC
3 Reasons Growth Investors Will Love Philip Morris (PM)
Philip Morris (PM) could produce exceptional returns because of its solid growth attributes.
YahooTier 3 · providerotherlow materialitypositivereported fact
2026-09-2412:40 UTC
Is Coca-Cola (KO) Outperforming Other Consumer Staples Stocks This Year?
Here is how Coca-Cola (KO) and Philip Morris (PM) have performed compared to their sector so far this year.
YahooTier 3 · providerotherlow materialitypositivecommentarymention in body only
2026-09-1812:04 UTC
Philip Morris International Inc.: 8-K filed (items 7.01,9.01)
SEC EDGARTier 1 · primaryotherlow materialityneutralfact
2026-09-0811:37 UTC
Philip Morris International Inc.: 8-K filed (items 7.01,9.01)
SEC EDGARTier 1 · primaryotherlow materialityneutralfact+1 duplicate report
2026-08-2411:02 UTC
Philip Morris International Inc.: 8-K filed (items 7.01,9.01)
SEC EDGARTier 1 · primaryotherlow materialityneutralfact
hidden
9 provider-tagged items never name the company and are kept as context only.

canonical items of the last 10 sessions; analyst/industry/macro commentary and social sources excluded from the direction tally; gating uses tier 1-3 HIGH items within 3 (negative) / 2 (unknown direction) sessions

Catalysts and filings

Event	Date	In	Materiality	Source
Earnings (before the open)	2026-10-20	11 sessions	high	finnhub · Tier 3 · provider

Options activity

AVAILABLE_DELAYED · session 2026-09-30 · selected contracts, delayed

Session volume: 695
5D baseline: 739
20D baseline: 625
Volume / 20D: 1.11x
Call / put volume: 622 / 73
Call / put ratio: 8.52
Top-3 contract share: 78%
Top expiration: 2026-10-16 80%

Activity trend · last 32 sessions

Session	Volume	5D	20D	/ 20D
2026-09-24	303	700	591	0.51x
2026-09-25	672	688	564	1.19x
2026-09-28	862	621	567	1.52x
2026-09-29	972	618	600	1.62x
2026-09-30	695	739	625	1.11x

Call vs put volume

calls 89%puts 11%

Expiration concentration

2026-10-16554 · 80%
2026-10-09141 · 20%

Contract concentration

O:PM261016C00200000262 · 38%
O:PM261016C00195000217 · 31%
O:PM261009C0020000066 · 9%
O:PM261009C0020250027 · 4%
O:PM261009C0019500020 · 3%
remaining contracts22% outside top 3

Top contracts · session 2026-09-30

Contract	Type	Strike	Expiration	DTE	Volume	5D avg	20D avg	/ 20D	Return	Moneyness
O:PM261016C00200000	CALL	200	2026-10-16	16	262	160	178	1.47x	-34.4%	OTM (-4.6%)
O:PM261016C00195000	CALL	195	2026-10-16	16	217	84	66	3.28x	-31.3%	OTM (-2.1%)
O:PM261009C00200000	CALL	200	2026-10-09	9	66	14	insufficient history	insufficient history	-31.0%	OTM (-4.6%)
O:PM261009C00202500	CALL	202.5	2026-10-09	9	27	9	insufficient history	insufficient history	-20.0%	OTM (-5.8%)
O:PM261009C00195000	CALL	195	2026-10-09	9	20	47	insufficient history	insufficient history	-54.3%	OTM (-2.1%)
O:PM261016P00180000	PUT	180	2026-10-16	16	15	29	100	0.15x	31.0%	OTM (6.0%)
O:PM261016P00182500	PUT	182.5	2026-10-16	16	15	5	insufficient history	insufficient history	28.0%	OTM (4.6%)
O:PM261016P00190000	PUT	190	2026-10-16	16	13	32	25	0.51x	7.9%	ATM (0.4%)
O:PM261016P00185000	PUT	185	2026-10-16	16	9	35	25	0.36x	17.3%	OTM (3.1%)
O:PM261016C00185000	CALL	185	2026-10-16	16	6	33	25	0.24x	-6.5%	ITM (3.1%)
O:PM261009P00180000	PUT	180	2026-10-09	9	5	13	insufficient history	insufficient history	-4.3%	OTM (6.0%)
O:PM261009C00197500	CALL	197.5	2026-10-09	9	4	11	insufficient history	insufficient history	-2.7%	OTM (-3.4%)
O:PM261009P00185000	PUT	185	2026-10-09	9	4	15	insufficient history	insufficient history	12.1%	OTM (3.1%)
O:PM261009P00187500	PUT	187.5	2026-10-09	9	4	insufficient history	insufficient history	insufficient history	53.8%	OTM (1.8%)
O:PM261016C00190000	CALL	190	2026-10-16	16	4	53	54	0.07x	-8.4%	ATM (0.4%)

OPTIONS_SELECTION_M9_V1 selected contracts only · provider capability DELAYED · delayed · Top 15 selected contracts by session volume; 5D/20D averages use strictly prior sessions (M10), INSUFFICIENT_HISTORY is shown, never zero.

M13 observations for this session

Technical setup present (PRE_BREAKOUT_V1): FALSE
Technical and options context share a session: FALSE
Activity above its own 20-session baseline: FALSE
Activity below its own 20-session baseline: FALSE
Recent 5-session baseline above 20-session baseline: FALSE
Recent 5-session baseline below 20-session baseline: FALSE
Volume concentrated in top 3 contracts: TRUE
Volume concentrated in one expiration: TRUE
Calls carry most session volume: TRUE
Puts carry most session volume: FALSE
Call and put volume roughly balanced: FALSE
Enrichment data (snapshot/OI/IV/Greeks) available: FALSE
Enrichment data unavailable: TRUE
Real flow data unavailable: TRUE
Flow events present in replay window: NOT_EVALUABLE

Flow

Flow events—

Clusters—

Sweep candidates—

Block candidates—

Aggressor candidates—

Premium coverage—

Flow engine is ready. Trades and Quotes are not available with the current provider capabilities; this area populates automatically from the same M11 engine when real persisted facts exist. Synthetic fixture flow is never shown.

Evidence alerts

3 · ALERT_POLICY_V1

Category	Alert	Previous	Current	Sessions	Workflow
Fading	Options activity vs 20D baseline fell	1.62	1.11	2026-09-29 → 2026-09-30	New
Changed	Top-3 contract concentration increased	0.63	0.78	2026-09-29 → 2026-09-30	New
Changed	Call / put volume mix changed	0.43	0.89	2026-09-29 → 2026-09-30	New

Decision trace

PRE_BREAKOUT_SWING_V1_1 · generated 2026-10-04 16:39 UTC · strategy 073b221a9cd0…

setup_eligibleFAILNO_SETUP: failed intermediate_trend, rsi_bandfailed_conditions=intermediate_trend, rsi_band
finalPASSAVOID

Snapshot history: 2026-09-30 BUY_ON_TRIGGER

Actions are generated from the configured trading strategy and current available market/intelligence data. They are not guarantees of future performance.