JCI
- Trade priority
- #15 · 67
- Data coverage
- 100%
- Setup
- no setup · 2026-10-02
- News
- positive
- Next catalyst
- Earnings in 16 sessions
Trade plan
- Action
- WAITblocked: too extended, reward/risk
- Trigger
- 150.53retracement to breakout level · close 3.6% above the retracement limit
- Entry zone
- 148.74–150.53reference 150.53
- Initial stop
- 143.214.9% · risk 7.32/sh
- Target 1
- 159.49+6.0% · R:R 1.22 (below minimum)
- Target 2
- 166.65+10.7% · R:R 2.20
- Risk per share
- 7.32strategy-owned; the portfolio panel sizes it per profile
- Invalidation
- 145.16a close below 1 ATR under the level invalidates the setup before entry
Level 148.74 (resistance of the PRE_BREAKOUT on 2026-09-30); ATR14 3.58 on 2026-10-02. Stop: 0.1 ATR below the latest confirmed pivot low 143.57 (within 1.5 ATR of the level). Targets: ATR projections 3 / 5 ATR above the level. R:R quality below minimum to T1 (hard minimum 2.0; 3R would be 172.49, T2 supports 2.20R). Targets are structural and are never moved to reach an R multiple.
Record the fill after you enter: add position. The strategy then manages the stop, targets and the next action.
Your portfolio · San
- Profile
- Sanequity 2,000.00 USD · whole shares
- Current holding
- noneno open position in this profile
- Recommended quantity
- 1 sh150.53 · 7.5% of portfolio · bound by risk budget
- Risk budget
- 10.000.5% of 2,000.00 · planned risk 7.32
- Portfolio risk
- 0.00 openremaining 40.00 → 32.68 after
- Exposure
- 0 / 3 positionsIndustrials: 0 / 2 · 0.00 of 1,000.00 cap
- Cash impact
- 2,000.00 → 1,849.47derived from the ledger
- Eligibility
- WAITsame as the strategy view
Entry, stop, targets and R:R are strategy-owned and identical for every profile; only this portfolio's quantity, risk, exposure and cash differ. Manage profiles · record a fill
Quality gates
| Gate | Verdict | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Data freshness | PASS | 0 completed session(s) behind the calendar |
| Price | PASS | close 156.24 at or above the 10 floor |
| Market cap | PASS | market cap 91.93B (finnhub, 2026-10-02) |
| Liquidity | PASS | ADV20 487.9M (STRONG_LIQUIDITY) |
| Sector | PASS | sector Industrials (finnhub_industry) |
| Regime | PASS | regime RISK_ON |
| Earnings | PASS | earnings in 16 sessions (2026-10-27) |
| News / event risk | PASS | news context POSITIVE |
| Chase protection | FAIL | close is 2.55 ATR above EMA20 (max 2) · too extended |
| R:R | FAIL | reward/risk to target 1 is 1.22 (below minimum) · reward/risk |
| Portfolio capacity | PASS | 1 shares (151), bound by risk budget |
| Data quality | PASS | current session data, valid technical snapshot, trigger and ATR; critical facts known |
Primary blocker: too extended · also reward/risk
Why this action
Technical
- breakout on 2026-10-01 is extended; buy only on a retracement into 148.74-150.53
- close is 2.55 ATR above EMA20: too extended to enter
- reward/risk 1.22 to target 1 is below the 2 minimum; the target is structural and is not moved
- RS20 vs SPY 10.3%, vs QQQ 5.4%
Options
- volume 0.48× the 20D baseline (activity_accelerating) · selected contracts only, delayed
News and events
- news context positive (17 canonical items in window)
- earnings 2026-10-27 (16 sessions, finnhub); event risk low
- other · low · positive: Smart HVAC Controls Market Outlook 2026-2035 - Featuring Profiles of 3 Leading Companies:
- other · low · unknown: Data Center Cooling Market to Reach $37.62 Billion by 2033 at 16.1% CAGR as AI Workloads a
- earnings · low · neutral: Johnson Controls Announces Fourth Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call Webcast
- other · low · unknown: Amazon and these four U.S. stocks are latest additions to Goldman’s flagship list
Market and risk
- regime RISK ON: SPY: trend UP, volatility NORMAL; QQQ: trend UP, volatility NORMAL
- gate too extended blocks a new entry
- gate reward/risk blocks a new entry
Chart
Indicator history is derived from the stored bars with the accepted M3 functions (WORKSTATION_SERIES_V1); the scanner’s persisted values remain authoritative. Reconciliation at the scan session: 8 match.
Trade priority
Rank #15 · priority 67 / 100 · coverage 100%
- technical readiness21/30
- structure quality6/10
- relative strength15/15
- participation4/10
- risk reward3/15
- news context10/10
- event risk5/5
- urgency3/5
operational attention priority not a return forecast. Missing inputs lower coverage, never the score.
Setup evidence · PRE_BREAKOUT_V1
- Setup state
- NO_SETUP
- Resistance
- 156.95
- Distance
- 0.45%
- Close
- 156.24
- SMA50
- 145.99
- SMA150 / SMA200
- 141.83 / 137.63
- RSI14
- 67.9
- EMA20 extension
- 2.55 ATR
- RS20 vs SPY
- +10.3%
- RS20 vs QQQ
- +5.4%
Hard requirements · 7/8 passed
- PASSConfirmed resistanceresistance=156.95 exists eligible=true
- PASSDistance to resistancedistance_pct=0.4524 · resistance=156.95 · close=156.24 inclusive_between min=0 · max=3
- PASSClose above SMA50close=156.24 · sma50=145.9876 > right_operand=sma50
- PASSSMA150 ≥ SMA200sma150=141.8265 · sma200=137.6324 >= right_operand=sma200
- PASSRSI14 bandrsi14=67.8841 inclusive_between min=50 · max=70
- FAILEMA20 extension (ATR)extension_atr=2.5526 · close=156.24 · ema20=147.0958 · atr14=3.5823 <= max=1.5
- PASSRS20 vs SPY or QQQSPY=0.1031 · QQQ=0.054 OR > SPY=0 · QQQ=0
- PASSResistance qualitydistinct_touches=2 policy_and_minimum_touches min=2
Supporting evidence · 4/6 passed
- PASSATR compressioncurrent_atr_pct=0.0229 · median_previous_60_atr_pct=0.0302 · ratio=0.7596 < right_operand=median_previous_60_atr_pct
- FAILVolume contractionrecent_volume=2,910,006.5061 · baseline_volume=3,337,482.0848 · ratio=0.8719 < max=0.85
- FAILHigher lowslow_1=137.54 · low_2=135.785 · low_3=143.57 low_3 > low_2 > low_1 required_pivots=3
- PASSFull MA alignmentsma50=145.9876 · sma150=141.8265 · sma200=137.6324 sma50 > sma150 > sma200
- PASSRS20 vs SPY positiveSPY=0.1031 > min=0
- PASSRS20 vs QQQ positiveQQQ=0.054 > min=0
PRE_BREAKOUT_V1 · scan run 414 · session 2026-10-02 · evaluated as of 2026-10-04T13:22:56.327970Z. Supporting evidence never changes the trigger; UNKNOWN is never collapsed into false.
Intelligence timeline
- 2026-10-0208:12 UTCSmart HVAC Controls Gain Momentum as AI, IoT and Building Retrofits Drive Energy-Efficient AutomationDublin, Oct. 02, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- "Smart HVAC Controls Market Opportunity, Growth Drivers, Industry Trend Analysis, and Forecast 2026-2035" has been added to ResearchAndMarkets.com's offering. The global smart HVAC controls market was valued at USD 44.3 billion in 2025 and is projected to r
- 2026-10-0115:27 UTCA new Research and Markets report profiles Vertiv, Schneider Electric, Daikin, Johnson Controls and Carrier among 38 companies. It finds hardware leads the market today and liquid cooling is set to become the leading technology.Dublin, Oct. 01, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- "Data Center Cooling Market by Solution, Type of Cooling, Technology, Data Center Type, Component, End-use Industry, and Region -
- 2026-10-0112:30 UTCJohnson Controls International plc (NYSE: JCI), a global leader in thermal management, mission-critical building systems, energy efficiency and decarbonization, announces the following webcast:
- 2026-10-0111:01 UTCInvesting.com -- Goldman Sachs revealed in a note Thursday that it has added Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), Burlington Stores (NYSE: BURL), Huntington Ingalls (NYSE: HII), Johnson Controls (NYSE: JCI) and Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: OXY) to its U.S. Conviction List in the bank’s October update.
- 2026-10-0109:20 UTCIndustrial Heating Equipment Market Heats Up as Energy Efficiency, Smart Systems and Asia-Pacific Industrialization Drive Clean Technology AdoptionDublin, Oct. 01, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- "Industrial Heating Equipment Market Opportunity, Growth Drivers, Industry Trend Analysis, and Forecast 2026-2035" has been added to ResearchAndMarkets.com's offering. The global industrial heating equipment mar
- 2026-10-0108:22 UTCThe global refrigeration coolers market is projected to grow from USD 4.72 billion in 2026 to USD 6.85 billion by 2032, registering a 6.4% CAGR. Growth is driven by cold chain investment, energy-efficient systems, natural and low-GWP refrigerants, and IoT-enabled monitoring. Evaporators and air coolers will see the fastest segment growth, while stationary systems will hold the largest share. Asia
- 2026-09-3012:00 UTCJCI scores a perfect 10 Technical Rating and 8 Setup Quality, signaling a strong trend with a tradable breakout setup near 154.78.
- 2026-09-3011:07 UTC
- 2026-09-2912:30 UTCJohnson Controls Intl (NYSE:JCI) has outperformed the market over the past 5 years by 4.59% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 16.81%. Currently, Johnson Controls Intl has a market
- 2026-09-2809:02 UTCJohnson Controls (NYSE: JCI), a global leader in thermal management, mission-critical building systems, energy efficiency and decarbonization, today announced its participation in the Sustainable Tropical Data Centre Testbed (STDCT) 2.0, hosted at the College of Design and Engineering (CDE) at the National University of Singapore (NUS). As Singapore expands its low-carbon digital infrastructure, i
- 2026-09-2517:12 UTCTT's $12.1B backlog, surging bookings and higher 2026 outlook signal strong demand visibility and momentum through the rest of the year.
- 2026-09-2515:10 UTCVertiv leads the list. The other recommendations from Wells Fargo’s Stephen Tusa are Carrier Global, Trane, Johnson Controls, Dover, Easton, and Emerson Electric.
- 2026-09-2509:30 UTCWells Fargo analyst Stephen Tusa initiates coverage on Johnson Controls Intl (NYSE:JCI) with a Overweight rating and announces Price Target of $186.
- 2026-09-2508:07 UTCThe Europe industrial heating systems market is forecast to grow from $1.54 billion in 2025 to $2.19 billion by 2035, at a 3.58% CAGR. Growth is driven by EU decarbonization targets, volatile energy costs, legacy system retrofits, waste-heat recovery, and demand for electric boilers and industrial heat pumps. Key applications include chemicals, food processing, pulp and paper, metals, oil and gas,
- hidden3 provider-tagged items never name the company and are kept as context only.
canonical items of the last 10 sessions; analyst/industry/macro commentary and social sources excluded from the direction tally; gating uses tier 1-3 HIGH items within 3 (negative) / 2 (unknown direction) sessions
Catalysts and filings
| Event | Date | In | Materiality | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings (after the close) | 2026-10-27 | 16 sessions | high | finnhub · Tier 3 · provider |
Options activity
- Session volume
- 293
- 5D baseline
- 953
- 20D baseline
- 607
- Volume / 20D
- 0.48x
- Call / put volume
- 274 / 19
- Call / put ratio
- 14.42
- Top-3 contract share
- 91%
- Top expiration
- 2026-10-16 100%
Activity trend · last 32 sessions
| Session | Volume | 5D | 20D | / 20D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | 1,895 | 680 | 431 | 4.39x |
| 2026-09-25 | 976 | 776 | 524 | 1.86x |
| 2026-09-28 | 1,560 | 883 | 555 | 2.81x |
| 2026-09-29 | 117 | 982 | 611 | 0.19x |
| 2026-09-30 | 293 | 953 | 607 | 0.48x |
Call vs put volume
Expiration concentration
Contract concentration
Top contracts · session 2026-09-30
| Contract | Type | Strike | Expiration | DTE | Volume | 5D avg | 20D avg | / 20D | Return | Moneyness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O:JCI261016C00165000 | CALL | 165 | 2026-10-16 | 16 | 231 | 5 | 15 | 14.95x | 0.0% | OTM (-9.9%) |
| O:JCI261016C00150000 | CALL | 150 | 2026-10-16 | 16 | 21 | 329 | 205 | 0.10x | -7.7% | OTM (-0.9%) |
| O:JCI261016P00140000 | PUT | 140 | 2026-10-16 | 16 | 14 | 35 | 19 | 0.73x | -4.9% | OTM (6.2%) |
| O:JCI261016C00160000 | CALL | 160 | 2026-10-16 | 16 | 12 | 83 | 65 | 0.18x | -30.9% | OTM (-7.1%) |
| O:JCI261016C00155000 | CALL | 155 | 2026-10-16 | 16 | 5 | 94 | 55 | 0.09x | -4.8% | OTM (-4.1%) |
| O:JCI261016C00145000 | CALL | 145 | 2026-10-16 | 16 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 0.17x | -6.0% | ITM (2.5%) |
| O:JCI261016P00150000 | PUT | 150 | 2026-10-16 | 16 | 2 | 8 | insufficient history | insufficient history | -10.1% | ITM (-0.9%) |
| O:JCI261016C00140000 | CALL | 140 | 2026-10-16 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 0.04x | 0.0% | ITM (6.2%) |
| O:JCI261016C00170000 | CALL | 170 | 2026-10-16 | 16 | 1 | 3 | insufficient history | insufficient history | 0.0% | OTM (-12.6%) |
| O:JCI261016P00130000 | PUT | 130 | 2026-10-16 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 0.09x | 0.0% | OTM (14.3%) |
| O:JCI261016P00135000 | PUT | 135 | 2026-10-16 | 16 | 1 | 395 | 189 | 0.01x | 0.0% | OTM (10.1%) |
| O:JCI261016P00145000 | PUT | 145 | 2026-10-16 | 16 | 1 | 3 | insufficient history | insufficient history | 0.0% | OTM (2.5%) |
OPTIONS_SELECTION_M9_V1 selected contracts only · provider capability DELAYED · delayed · Top 15 selected contracts by session volume; 5D/20D averages use strictly prior sessions (M10), INSUFFICIENT_HISTORY is shown, never zero.
M13 observations for this session
- Technical setup present (PRE_BREAKOUT_V1): FALSE
- Technical and options context share a session: FALSE
- Activity above its own 20-session baseline: FALSE
- Activity below its own 20-session baseline: TRUE
- Recent 5-session baseline above 20-session baseline: TRUE
- Recent 5-session baseline below 20-session baseline: FALSE
- Volume concentrated in top 3 contracts: TRUE
- Volume concentrated in one expiration: TRUE
- Calls carry most session volume: TRUE
- Puts carry most session volume: FALSE
- Call and put volume roughly balanced: FALSE
- Enrichment data (snapshot/OI/IV/Greeks) available: FALSE
- Enrichment data unavailable: TRUE
- Real flow data unavailable: TRUE
- Flow events present in replay window: NOT_EVALUABLE
Flow
Flow engine is ready. Trades and Quotes are not available with the current provider capabilities; this area populates automatically from the same M11 engine when real persisted facts exist. Synthetic fixture flow is never shown.
Evidence alerts
| Category | Alert | Previous | Current | Sessions | Workflow | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changed | Distance to resistance narrowed | 3.3 | 0.45 | 2026-10-01 → 2026-10-02 | New | |
| Changed | Options activity vs 20D baseline rose | 0.19 | 0.48 | 2026-09-29 → 2026-09-30 | New |
Decision trace
- setup_eligiblePASSPRE_BREAKOUT on 2026-09-30; close above its resistance 148.74 on 2026-10-01
- trigger_statePASSTRIGGERED but EXTENDED: the close is beyond the entry zone or the EMA20 extension limit; entry only on a retracement into the zoneclose=156.24 · entry_zone_high=150.53 · extension_atr=2.55 | threshold breakout_max_extension_atr=2
- data_freshnessPASS0 completed session(s) behind the calendarsessions_behind=0 | threshold max_sessions_behind=1
- price_gatePASSclose 156.24 at or above the 10 floorclose=156.24 | threshold min_price=10
- market_cap_gatePASSmarket cap 91.93B (finnhub, 2026-10-02)market_cap_usd=91933386125.67 | threshold min_market_cap_usd=1000000000
- liquidity_gatePASSADV20 487.9M (STRONG_LIQUIDITY)adv_dollar=487901965 · strong_liquidity=true | threshold min_adv_dollar=25000000, strong_adv_dollar=50000000
- sector_gatePASSsector Industrials (finnhub_industry)
- market_regime_gatePASSregime RISK_ONregime=RISK_ON · risk_multiplier=1
- event_risk_gatePASSearnings in 16 sessions (2026-10-27)earnings_sessions_away=16 | threshold earnings_block_sessions=5
- news_gatePASSnews context POSITIVE
- chase_gateFAILclose is 2.55 ATR above EMA20 (max 2)extension_atr=2.55 | threshold breakout_max_extension_atr=2
- risk_rewardFAILreward/risk to target 1 is 1.22 (below minimum)reward_risk_1=1.22 · reward_risk_2=2.2 | threshold min_reward_risk_1=2
- portfolio_gatePASS1 shares (151), bound by risk budgetshares=1 · risk_amount=7.32 · regime_multiplier=1 · share_increment=1
- data_qualityPASScurrent session data, valid technical snapshot, trigger and ATR; critical facts known
- finalPASSWAIT (blocked by CHASE_EXTENDED, REWARD_RISK; primary CHASE_EXTENDED)
Snapshot history: 2026-10-02 WAIT · 2026-10-01 WAIT · 2026-09-30 BUY_ON_TRIGGER
Actions are generated from the configured trading strategy and current available market/intelligence data. They are not guarantees of future performance.