KLAC
- Trade priority
- not ranked
- Data coverage
- 100%
- Setup
- no setup · 2026-10-02
- News
- mixed
- Next catalyst
- Earnings in 17 sessions
Trade plan
- Action
- WATCHvalid until close of 2026-10-05, a material event, or strategy invalidation
- Trigger
- 194.81retracement to breakout level · close 5.8% above the retracement limit
- Entry zone
- 190.99–194.81reference 194.81
- Initial stop
- 183.355.9% · risk 11.46/sh
- Target 1
- 213.91+9.8% · R:R 1.67 (below minimum)
- Target 2
- 229.19+17.6% · R:R 3.00
- Risk per share
- 11.46strategy-owned; the portfolio panel sizes it per profile
- Invalidation
- 183.35a close below 1 ATR under the level invalidates the setup before entry
Level 190.99 (resistance of the PRE_BREAKOUT on 2026-09-28); ATR14 7.64 on 2026-10-02. Stop: 1 ATR below the breakout level 190.99. Targets: ATR projections 3 / 5 ATR above the level. R:R quality below minimum to T1 (hard minimum 2.0; 3R would be 229.19, T2 supports 3.00R). Targets are structural and are never moved to reach an R multiple.
Record the fill after you enter: add position. The strategy then manages the stop, targets and the next action.
Your portfolio · San
- Profile
- Sanequity 2,000.00 USD · whole shares
- Current holding
- noneno open position in this profile
- Recommended quantity
- —no pending entry to size
- Risk budget
- 10.000.5% of 2,000.00
- Portfolio risk
- 0.00 opencap 2%
- Exposure
- 0 / 3 positionsTechnology: 0 / 2 · 0.00 of 1,000.00 cap
- Cash impact
- 2,000.00derived from the ledger
- Eligibility
- WATCHsame as the strategy view
Entry, stop, targets and R:R are strategy-owned and identical for every profile; only this portfolio's quantity, risk, exposure and cash differ. Manage profiles · record a fill
Quality gates
| Gate | Verdict | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Data freshness | PASS | 0 completed session(s) behind the calendar |
| Price | PASS | close 206.89 at or above the 10 floor |
| Market cap | PASS | market cap 261.43B (finnhub, 2026-10-02) |
| Liquidity | PASS | ADV20 1755.0M (STRONG_LIQUIDITY) |
| Sector | PASS | sector Technology (finnhub_industry) |
| Regime | PASS | regime RISK_ON |
| Earnings | PASS | earnings in 17 sessions (2026-10-28) |
| News / event risk | PASS | news context MIXED |
| Chase protection | FAIL | close is 2.41 ATR above EMA20 (max 2) · too extended |
| R:R | FAIL | reward/risk to target 1 is 1.67 (below minimum) · reward/risk |
| Portfolio capacity | UNKNOWN | portfolio context not supplied |
| Data quality | PASS | current session data, valid technical snapshot, trigger and ATR; critical facts known |
Why this action
Technical
- breakout on 2026-09-29 is extended; buy only on a retracement into 190.99-194.81
- the 3-session retracement window has elapsed
- close is 2.41 ATR above EMA20: too extended to enter
- reward/risk 1.67 to target 1 is below the 2 minimum; the target is structural and is not moved
- RS20 vs SPY 20.1%, vs QQQ 15.2%
Options
- volume 1.16× the 20D baseline (activity_accelerating) · selected contracts only, delayed
News and events
- news context mixed (25 canonical items in window)
- earnings 2026-10-28 (17 sessions, finnhub); event risk low
- other · low · positive: 3 AI Winners, 3 Very Different Paths to Higher Margins
- other · low · negative: Analog Devices, AMD, KLA Corporation, Lam Research, and Marvell Technology Stocks Trade Up
- other · low · positive: Teradyne Expands Memory Test Portfolio: Can It Beat KLAC & COHU?
- other · low · mixed: 10 Stocks Rally as Rate Hike Bets Collapse on Weak September Jobs
Market and risk
- regime RISK ON: SPY: trend UP, volatility NORMAL; QQQ: trend UP, volatility NORMAL
- news context mixed
Chart
Indicator history is derived from the stored bars with the accepted M3 functions (WORKSTATION_SERIES_V1); the scanner’s persisted values remain authoritative. Reconciliation at the scan session: 8 match.
Trade priority
Not ranked: only valid setups and gated setups enter the trade-priority ranking.
- technical readiness21/30
- structure quality6/10
- relative strength15/15
- participation7/10
- risk reward3/15
- news context4/10
- event risk5/5
- urgency3/5
operational attention priority not a return forecast. Missing inputs lower coverage, never the score.
Setup evidence · PRE_BREAKOUT_V1
- Setup state
- NO_SETUP
- Resistance
- 215.23
- Distance
- 3.88%
- Close
- 206.89
- SMA50
- 187.22
- SMA150 / SMA200
- 189.92 / 177.81
- RSI14
- 67.2
- EMA20 extension
- 2.41 ATR
- RS20 vs SPY
- +20.1%
- RS20 vs QQQ
- +15.2%
Hard requirements · 6/8 passed
- PASSConfirmed resistanceresistance=215.2345 exists eligible=true
- FAILDistance to resistancedistance_pct=3.8769 · resistance=215.2345 · close=206.89 inclusive_between min=0 · max=3
- PASSClose above SMA50close=206.89 · sma50=187.2188 > right_operand=sma50
- PASSSMA150 ≥ SMA200sma150=189.9247 · sma200=177.8106 >= right_operand=sma200
- PASSRSI14 bandrsi14=67.2266 inclusive_between min=50 · max=70
- FAILEMA20 extension (ATR)extension_atr=2.4071 · close=206.89 · ema20=188.5023 · atr14=7.639 <= max=1.5
- PASSRS20 vs SPY or QQQSPY=0.2009 · QQQ=0.1518 OR > SPY=0 · QQQ=0
- PASSResistance qualitydistinct_touches=2 policy_and_minimum_touches min=2
Supporting evidence · 4/6 passed
- PASSATR compressioncurrent_atr_pct=0.0369 · median_previous_60_atr_pct=0.0633 · ratio=0.5836 < right_operand=median_previous_60_atr_pct
- PASSVolume contractionrecent_volume=7,880,711.3961 · baseline_volume=9,658,718.9432 · ratio=0.8159 < max=0.85
- FAILHigher lowslow_1=176.45 · low_2=167.05 · low_3=165.892 low_3 > low_2 > low_1 required_pivots=3
- FAILFull MA alignmentsma50=187.2188 · sma150=189.9247 · sma200=177.8106 sma50 > sma150 > sma200
- PASSRS20 vs SPY positiveSPY=0.2009 > min=0
- PASSRS20 vs QQQ positiveQQQ=0.1518 > min=0
PRE_BREAKOUT_V1 · scan run 414 · session 2026-10-02 · evaluated as of 2026-10-04T13:22:56.327970Z. Supporting evidence never changes the trigger; UNKNOWN is never collapsed into false.
Intelligence timeline
- 2026-10-0313:40 UTCLumentum, KLA, and NetApp have each expanded margins through AI-driven demand, but via different paths: volume efficiency, competitive moats, and pass-through pricing on NAND memory costs.
- 2026-10-0300:22 UTCA number of stocks jumped in the afternoon session after weaker-than-expected U.S. employment data cooled Treasury yields, easing interest rate pressure.
- 2026-10-0209:47 UTCTER is expanding its memory test portfolio as HBM, DRAM, and NAND demand rises, with Magnum E2 targeting next-gen AI and high-performance computing needs.
- 2026-10-0209:46 UTCEntegris, Rocket and KLA led premarket gains after September payrolls rose just 29,000 vs. 90,000 expected, cutting bets on a Fed rate hike.
- 2026-10-0121:00 UTCIn the most recent trading session, KLA (KLAC) closed at $200.31, indicating a +2.76% shift from the previous trading day.
- 2026-10-0109:06 UTCAI, Automation and Advanced Packaging Drive Consumer Electronics Equipment Opportunities as Smart Factories and U.S. Onshoring AccelerateDublin, Oct. 01, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- "Consumer Electronics Manufacturing Equipment Market Opportunity, Growth Drivers, Industry Trend Analysis, and Forecast 2026-2035" has been added to ResearchAndMarkets.com's offering. The global consumer electronics manuf
- 2026-09-3014:07 UTCKLA's market value is 53.2 times its profit over the past twelve months, well above its three-year average of 36 times. A multiple that high means buyers are paying today for profit the company has not earned yet. So is KLA (KLAC) stock really expensive for the growth its business delivers.
- 2026-09-3007:05 UTCKLA Corporation remains a process control leader, benefiting from rising semiconductor complexity and AI-driven demand. Learn more about KLAC stock here.
- 2026-09-3004:44 UTCKLA Corporation occupies a pivotal role in semiconductor process control as chip complexity accelerates. Read why KLAC stock is a Hold.
- 2026-09-2914:02 UTCKLA Corp.'s $12.57B backlog, AI-led chip spending and advanced-packaging growth bolster revenue visibility as competition with AMAT and ASML intensifies.
- 2026-09-2906:23 UTCKLAâs strategic expansion in Singapore strengthens its global positioning for the AI-driven semiconductor cycle. Learn why KLAC stock is a buy.
- 2026-09-2512:30 UTCKLA combines strong fundamentals with a tight technical setup, as earnings growth and high returns meet a constructive base near key levels.
- 2026-09-2415:16 UTCTER's AI-driven test momentum is accelerating, with Iris 100 expanding its optical portfolio as semiconductor and data-center demand surges.
- 2026-09-2409:00 UTCApplied Materials, Lam Research and KLA stand to benefit as AI infrastructure spending boosts semiconductor equipment demand.
- 2026-09-2406:14 UTCKLA (NasdaqGS: KLAC) is highlighted in new research for its central role in semiconductor metrology as chip designs grow more complex. Industry analysis points to substantial projected expansion in the global Semiconductor Metrology Market as advanced process nodes become more widely used. KLA is investing in R&D and partnerships to develop AI-driven metrology and inspection tools aimed at tighten
- 2026-09-2220:27 UTC
- 2026-09-2220:16 UTC
- 2026-09-2220:06 UTC
- 2026-09-1514:51 UTC
- hidden7 provider-tagged items never name the company and are kept as context only.
canonical items of the last 10 sessions; analyst/industry/macro commentary and social sources excluded from the direction tally; gating uses tier 1-3 HIGH items within 3 (negative) / 2 (unknown direction) sessions
Catalysts and filings
| Event | Date | In | Materiality | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings | 2026-10-28 | 17 sessions | high | finnhub · Tier 3 · provider |
Options activity
- Session volume
- 951
- 5D baseline
- 1,096
- 20D baseline
- 817
- Volume / 20D
- 1.16x
- Call / put volume
- 856 / 95
- Call / put ratio
- 9.01
- Top-3 contract share
- 54%
- Top expiration
- 2026-10-09 65%
Activity trend · last 27 sessions
| Session | Volume | 5D | 20D | / 20D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | 978 | 1,008 | 673 | 1.45x |
| 2026-09-23 | 1,519 | 962 | 709 | 2.14x |
| 2026-09-24 | 949 | 1,159 | 771 | 1.23x |
| 2026-09-25 | 520 | 1,228 | 803 | 0.65x |
| 2026-09-28 | 951 | 1,096 | 817 | 1.16x |
Call vs put volume
Expiration concentration
Contract concentration
Top contracts · session 2026-09-28
| Contract | Type | Strike | Expiration | DTE | Volume | 5D avg | 20D avg | / 20D | Return | Moneyness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O:KLAC261009C00185000 | CALL | 185 | 2026-10-09 | 11 | 221 | 26 | insufficient history | insufficient history | 20.6% | ITM (2.3%) |
| O:KLAC261009C00187500 | CALL | 187.5 | 2026-10-09 | 11 | 191 | 28 | insufficient history | insufficient history | 16.7% | ITM (0.9%) |
| O:KLAC261016C00190000 | CALL | 190 | 2026-10-16 | 18 | 102 | 165 | 152 | 0.67x | 8.9% | ATM (-0.4%) |
| O:KLAC261009C00192500 | CALL | 192.5 | 2026-10-09 | 11 | 51 | insufficient history | insufficient history | insufficient history | 55.8% | OTM (-1.7%) |
| O:KLAC261009C00190000 | CALL | 190 | 2026-10-09 | 11 | 49 | 5 | insufficient history | insufficient history | 62.0% | ATM (-0.4%) |
| O:KLAC261016C00195000 | CALL | 195 | 2026-10-16 | 18 | 42 | 51 | 60 | 0.70x | 36.5% | OTM (-3.0%) |
| O:KLAC261016C00180000 | CALL | 180 | 2026-10-16 | 18 | 38 | 36 | 74 | 0.51x | -5.9% | ITM (5.1%) |
| O:KLAC261016C00200000 | CALL | 200 | 2026-10-16 | 18 | 37 | 204 | 161 | 0.23x | 42.1% | OTM (-5.4%) |
| O:KLAC261016P00180000 | PUT | 180 | 2026-10-16 | 18 | 31 | 59 | 45 | 0.69x | -6.6% | OTM (5.1%) |
| O:KLAC261009C00195000 | CALL | 195 | 2026-10-09 | 11 | 29 | 12 | insufficient history | insufficient history | 42.8% | OTM (-3.0%) |
| O:KLAC261016C00192500 | CALL | 192.5 | 2026-10-16 | 18 | 24 | 4 | insufficient history | insufficient history | 45.2% | OTM (-1.7%) |
| O:KLAC261009C00182500 | CALL | 182.5 | 2026-10-09 | 11 | 21 | insufficient history | insufficient history | insufficient history | 34.6% | ITM (3.7%) |
| O:KLAC261016P00200000 | PUT | 200 | 2026-10-16 | 18 | 15 | 10 | insufficient history | insufficient history | -17.8% | ITM (-5.4%) |
| O:KLAC261009C00180000 | CALL | 180 | 2026-10-09 | 11 | 12 | 8 | insufficient history | insufficient history | 8.4% | ITM (5.1%) |
| O:KLAC261016C00185000 | CALL | 185 | 2026-10-16 | 18 | 12 | 21 | 53 | 0.23x | 17.2% | ITM (2.3%) |
OPTIONS_SELECTION_M9_V1 selected contracts only · provider capability DELAYED · delayed · Top 15 selected contracts by session volume; 5D/20D averages use strictly prior sessions (M10), INSUFFICIENT_HISTORY is shown, never zero.
M13 observations for this session
- Technical setup present (PRE_BREAKOUT_V1): FALSE
- Technical and options context share a session: FALSE
- Activity above its own 20-session baseline: FALSE
- Activity below its own 20-session baseline: FALSE
- Recent 5-session baseline above 20-session baseline: TRUE
- Recent 5-session baseline below 20-session baseline: FALSE
- Volume concentrated in top 3 contracts: TRUE
- Volume concentrated in one expiration: TRUE
- Calls carry most session volume: TRUE
- Puts carry most session volume: FALSE
- Call and put volume roughly balanced: FALSE
- Enrichment data (snapshot/OI/IV/Greeks) available: FALSE
- Enrichment data unavailable: TRUE
- Real flow data unavailable: TRUE
- Flow events present in replay window: NOT_EVALUABLE
Flow
Flow engine is ready. Trades and Quotes are not available with the current provider capabilities; this area populates automatically from the same M11 engine when real persisted facts exist. Synthetic fixture flow is never shown.
Evidence alerts
| Category | Alert | Previous | Current | Sessions | Workflow | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changed | Distance to resistance narrowed | 6.92 | 3.88 | 2026-10-01 → 2026-10-02 | New | |
| Changed | Options activity vs 20D baseline rose | 0.65 | 1.16 | 2026-09-25 → 2026-09-28 | New | |
| Changed | Call / put volume mix changed | 0.67 | 0.9 | 2026-09-25 → 2026-09-28 | New | |
| Data quality | Data freshness changed | TECHNICAL=CURRENT_SESSION; OPTIONS_ACTIVITY=STALE; FLOW=MISSING; ACTIVITY_PROVIDER=DELAYED | TECHNICAL=CURRENT_SESSION; OPTIONS_ACTIVITY=DELAYED; FLOW=MISSING; ACTIVITY_PROVIDER=DELAYED | 2026-10-01 → 2026-10-02 | New |
Decision trace
- setup_eligiblePASSPRE_BREAKOUT on 2026-09-28; close above its resistance 190.99 on 2026-09-29
- trigger_statePASSTRIGGERED but EXTENDED: the close is beyond the entry zone or the EMA20 extension limit; entry only on a retracement into the zoneclose=206.89 · entry_zone_high=194.81 · extension_atr=2.41 | threshold breakout_max_extension_atr=2
- data_freshnessPASS0 completed session(s) behind the calendarsessions_behind=0 | threshold max_sessions_behind=1
- price_gatePASSclose 206.89 at or above the 10 floorclose=206.89 | threshold min_price=10
- market_cap_gatePASSmarket cap 261.43B (finnhub, 2026-10-02)market_cap_usd=261431936257.75 | threshold min_market_cap_usd=1000000000
- liquidity_gatePASSADV20 1755.0M (STRONG_LIQUIDITY)adv_dollar=1755022574 · strong_liquidity=true | threshold min_adv_dollar=25000000, strong_adv_dollar=50000000
- sector_gatePASSsector Technology (finnhub_industry)
- market_regime_gatePASSregime RISK_ONregime=RISK_ON · risk_multiplier=1
- event_risk_gatePASSearnings in 17 sessions (2026-10-28)earnings_sessions_away=17 | threshold earnings_block_sessions=5
- news_gatePASSnews context MIXED
- chase_gateFAILclose is 2.41 ATR above EMA20 (max 2)extension_atr=2.41 | threshold breakout_max_extension_atr=2
- risk_rewardFAILreward/risk to target 1 is 1.67 (below minimum)reward_risk_1=1.67 · reward_risk_2=3 | threshold min_reward_risk_1=2
- portfolio_gateNOT_EVALUABLEportfolio context not supplied
- data_qualityPASScurrent session data, valid technical snapshot, trigger and ATR; critical facts known
- finalPASSWATCH
Snapshot history: 2026-10-01 BUY_ON_TRIGGER · 2026-09-30 BUY_ON_TRIGGER
Actions are generated from the configured trading strategy and current available market/intelligence data. They are not guarantees of future performance.