STX

Technology · Technology

848.99

-10.21% · 2026-10-02

Avoid

Trade priority: not ranked

Data coverage: 55%

Setup: no setup · 2026-10-02

News: mixed

Next catalyst: Earnings in 17 sessions

Trade plan

PRE_BREAKOUT_SWING_V1_1 · valid until close of 2026-10-05, a material event, or strategy invalidation · shared by every portfolio profile

No trade plan: the strategy has no valid setup for this symbol (trend or relative-strength condition fails (intermediate_trend)).

Your portfolio · San

profile-specific: quantity, risk budget, exposure, cash impact

Profile: Sanequity 2,000.00 USD · whole shares
Current holding: noneno open position in this profile
Recommended quantity: —no pending entry to size
Risk budget: 10.000.5% of 2,000.00
Portfolio risk: 0.00 opencap 2%
Exposure: 0 / 3 positionsTechnology: 0 / 2 · 0.00 of 1,000.00 cap
Cash impact: 2,000.00derived from the ledger
Eligibility: AVOIDsame as the strategy view

Entry, stop, targets and R:R are strategy-owned and identical for every profile; only this portfolio's quantity, risk, exposure and cash differ. Manage profiles · record a fill

Why this action

Technical

trend or relative-strength condition fails (intermediate_trend)
RS20 vs SPY 6.8%, vs QQQ 1.9%

Options

volume 1.28× the 20D baseline (activity_accelerating) · selected contracts only, delayed

News and events

news context mixed (70 canonical items in window)
earnings 2026-10-28 (17 sessions, finnhub); event risk low
earnings · high · unknown: Memory’s Valuation Gap: Cheap Pure Plays Face Earnings Test as Storage Peers Re-Rate
dividend · low · positive: Seagate Technology Holdings (NASDAQ:STX): Dividend Quality and Coverage for Income Investo
insider · low · unknown: Seagate Technology Holdings plc: 4 filed
other · low · negative: Seagate Sinks 12%, Western Digital Down 10% as Toshiba Plans to Double Hard Disk Output

Market and risk

regime RISK ON: SPY: trend UP, volatility NORMAL; QQQ: trend UP, volatility NORMAL
failed breakout: closed back below 923.61 after 2026-10-01

Chart

252 sessions · EMA20 / SMA50 / SMA150 / SMA200 default · strategy levels drawn when a plan exists

2026-10-02O 822.56H 852.29L 791.75C 848.99 -10.21%Vol 13,577,249RVOL20 3.60SMA50 854.72SMA150 748.67SMA200 650.71EMA20 880.85RSI14 46.4MACD 16.887 / 13.689 / 3.199ATR14 55.78RS20 SPY 6.8% · QQQ 1.9%

Indicator history is derived from the stored bars with the accepted M3 functions (WORKSTATION_SERIES_V1); the scanner’s persisted values remain authoritative. Reconciliation at the scan session: 8 match.

Trade priority

operational attention ranking, not a forecast

Not ranked: only valid setups and gated setups enter the trade-priority ranking.

technical readinessn/a
structure quality6/10
relative strength14/15
participation7/10
risk rewardn/a
news context4/10
event risk5/5
urgency1/5

operational attention priority not a return forecast. Missing inputs lower coverage, never the score.

Setup evidence · PRE_BREAKOUT_V1

Setup state: NO_SETUP
Resistance: 923.61
Distance: 8.08%
Close: 848.99
SMA50: 854.72
SMA150 / SMA200: 748.67 / 650.71
RSI14: 46.4
EMA20 extension: -0.57 ATR
RS20 vs SPY: +6.8%
RS20 vs QQQ: +1.9%

Hard requirements · 5/8 passed

PASS
Confirmed resistance
resistance=923.6078 exists eligible=true
FAIL
Distance to resistance
distance_pct=8.0789 · resistance=923.6078 · close=848.99 inclusive_between min=0 · max=3
FAIL
Close above SMA50
close=848.99 · sma50=854.7159 > right_operand=sma50
PASS
SMA150 ≥ SMA200
sma150=748.6703 · sma200=650.7067 >= right_operand=sma200
FAIL
RSI14 band
rsi14=46.407 inclusive_between min=50 · max=70
PASS
EMA20 extension (ATR)
extension_atr=-0.5711 · close=848.99 · ema20=880.8454 · atr14=55.7797 <= max=1.5
PASS
RS20 vs SPY or QQQ
SPY=0.0677 · QQQ=0.0186 OR > SPY=0 · QQQ=0
PASS
Resistance quality
distinct_touches=2 policy_and_minimum_touches min=2

Supporting evidence · 4/6 passed

PASS
ATR compression
current_atr_pct=0.0657 · median_previous_60_atr_pct=0.0813 · ratio=0.808 < right_operand=median_previous_60_atr_pct
FAIL
Volume contraction
recent_volume=5,029,962.5417 · baseline_volume=3,757,733.5052 · ratio=1.3386 < max=0.85
FAIL
Higher lows
low_1=763.52 · low_2=758.35 · low_3=870.3838 low_3 > low_2 > low_1 required_pivots=3
PASS
Full MA alignment
sma50=854.7159 · sma150=748.6703 · sma200=650.7067 sma50 > sma150 > sma200
PASS
RS20 vs SPY positive
SPY=0.0677 > min=0
PASS
RS20 vs QQQ positive
QQQ=0.0186 > min=0

PRE_BREAKOUT_V1 · scan run 416 · session 2026-10-02 · evaluated as of 2026-10-04T13:23:10.133160Z. Supporting evidence never changes the trigger; UNKNOWN is never collapsed into false.

Intelligence timeline

70 canonical of 76 items in window · duplicates collapsed

2026-10-0312:20 UTC
Seagate Technology Holdings (NASDAQ:STX): Dividend Quality and Coverage for Income Investors
Seagate (STX) passes a quality dividend screen with a 3.68% yield, low 19.91% payout, strong profits, and durable payout despite balance-sheet risk.
ChartMillTier 3 · providerdividendlow materialitypositivereported fact
2026-10-0220:07 UTC
Seagate Technology Holdings plc: 4 filed
SEC EDGARTier 1 · primaryinsiderlow materialityunknownfact+1 duplicate report
2026-10-0219:03 UTC
Seagate Sinks 12%, Western Digital Down 10% as Toshiba Plans to Double Hard Disk Output
Seagate Technology (STX:NASDAQ) shares are down about 12% this morning (trading at about $830) after Nikkei reported that Toshiba plans to double its hard disk drive production capacity for AI data centers. Western Digital (WDC:NASDAQ) is down about 10%.
YahooTier 3 · providerotherlow materialitynegativereported fact
2026-10-0218:22 UTC
STX, WDC Stocks Sink On Toshiba’s Reported Plan To Double AI Hard-Disk Capacity: Analysts Call The Drop Overdone
Morgan Stanley, Rosenblatt, and Citi kept positive ratings on STX and WDC stocks, arguing that Toshiba’s plan is unlikely to close the industry’s supply gap.
YahooTier 3 · provideranalystlow materialityneutralcommentary
2026-10-0217:52 UTC
Seagate (STX) Is Selling Into a Shortage. What Happens When It Ends?
Seagate Technology Holdings plc (NASDAQ:STX) closed at $945.57 on October 1, after a rise of more than 270% in twelve months. Hard drives were supposed to be a dying business. Flash memory was faster, the technology was decades old, and the industry had spent years competing itself down to almost no profit at all. Then […]
YahooTier 3 · providersupply chainmedium materialityunknowncommentary
2026-10-0216:57 UTC
Seagate, Western Digital Shares Sink on Toshiba Production Report
With AI-driven data storage demand soaring, Toshiba reportedly will be doubling its production capacity for hard disk drives.
YahooTier 3 · providerotherlow materialitynegativereported fact
2026-10-0214:29 UTC
Seagate, Western Digital stocks sink as rival Toshiba's expansion plans hit storage highfliers
Seagate Technology shares fell 11% Friday while Western Digital declined 7%, after a report that competitor Toshiba is preparing to ramp up hard disk drive production as demand from AI data centers continues to grow.
YahooTier 3 · providerindustrylow materialitynegativereported fact
2026-10-0214:09 UTC
Nvidia, Tesla, Seagate, ON Semi, Strategy, HPE, and More Stocks That Explain Today’s Market
Nvidia stock is on pace to close at a record high.
YahooTier 3 · providerotherlow materialitypositivereported fact+1 duplicate report
2026-10-0214:03 UTC
Seagate Stock and Western Digital Tumble as AI Shortage Shows Signs of Easing
Western Digital and Seagate’s Japanese rival Toshiba plans to double its production capacity for drives used in AI data centers in fiscal 2027, Nikkei reports.
YahooTier 3 · providersupply chainmedium materialitynegativereported fact
2026-10-0213:40 UTC
WDC, STX Stocks Slide Up To 10% — What’s The Toshiba Connection?
Western Digital and Seagate shares fell in premarket trading after Nikkei reported that Toshiba outlined a $380 million expansion that would double its AI data-center hard-drive capacity by fiscal 2027.
YahooTier 3 · providerotherlow materialityunknowncommentary
2026-10-0212:52 UTC
Seagate Tumbles 10%, Western Digital Drops 7% as Toshiba Moves to Double Hard Disk Output
A single capacity announcement from Toshiba sent two of this year's hottest storage stocks into freefall while the rest of the memory sector shrugged it off, and the reason behind that split tells you everything about where the HDD trade stands right now.
YahooTier 3 · providerotherlow materialitynegativereported fact
2026-10-0212:31 UTC
Western Digital, Seagate Stock Slide On AI Hard-Drive Competition Report
Toshiba appears set to challenge the Seagate-Western Digital duopoly.
YahooTier 3 · providerotherlow materialityunknownreported fact
2026-10-0212:18 UTC
Seagate and Western Digital shares fall on Toshiba HDD expansion
Investing.com -- Seagate Technology (NASDAQ) shares fell 11% on Friday, while Western Digital (NASDAQ) dropped 7%, after a report that Toshiba plans to significantly expand its hard disk drive production capacity to meet growing demand from AI data centers.
YahooTier 3 · providerotherlow materialitymixedreported fact+1 duplicate report
2026-10-0211:08 UTC
MARKETS LIVE: Wall Street rallies as weak jobs report eases rate fears and Treasury yields fall
2:30pm: Market movers Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) shares rose 5% after the automaker reported 486,532 vehicle deliveries in the third quarter, above production of 464,391 vehicles, with Model 3/Y accounting for most of the total. Seagate Technology and Western Digital fell 13% and 12%,...
YahooTier 3 · providermacromedium materialitymixedreported factmention in body only
2026-10-0209:51 UTC
Why Is Seagate Technology Stock Sinking Friday?
Seagate (STX) stock slid 13% on HDD supply expansion news. Key technical analysis shows long-term bullish trends near key support.
BenzingaTier 3 · providerotherlow materialitypositivecommentary
2026-10-0209:34 UTC
Cramer's Mad Dash: Micron, Seagate and Western Digital
CNBC’s Jim Cramer delivers his daily Mad Dash.
CNBCTier 3 · providerotherlow materialityunknownreported fact
2026-10-0209:15 UTC
Toshiba Wants to Double HDD Supply — Western Digital, Seagate Investors Don’t Like It
Western Digital and Seagate stocks fall as Toshiba plans to double its AI data center HDD supply. Read full analysis.
BenzingaTier 3 · providerotherlow materialitynegativereported fact
2026-10-0202:59 UTC
SanDisk (SNDK) vs. Seagate (STX): Which Storage Stock Is the Better Buy Right Now?
The AI trade is moving beyond GPUs. As AI models become more capable, they also generate, process, and retain massive amounts of data. That is creating a less glamorous but increasingly important question for data centers: where does all that data go? SanDisk Corporation (NASDAQ:SNDK) and Seagate Technology Holdings plc (NASDAQ:STX) offer two very different […]
YahooTier 3 · providerotherlow materialityunknowncommentary
2026-10-0115:30 UTC
AI Needs Massive Storage. Seagate Is Ready
Seagate has already surged over 230% this year on the back of record margins and nearly sold-out capacity, but the real question now is whether the stock still has room to run or has simply gotten too far ahead of itself.
YahooTier 3 · providerotherlow materialitypositivereported fact
2026-10-0112:35 UTC
Memory’s Valuation Gap: Cheap Pure Plays Face Earnings Test as Storage Peers Re-Rate
Memory upcycle: Micron, Sandisk trade at low forward P/E while Seagate, Western Digital re-rated. Key debate: durable earnings vs peak-cycle risk.
ChartMillTier 3 · providerearningshigh materialityunknownreported factmention in body only
2026-09-3017:12 UTC
Sandisk Bets on AI and Enterprise SSDs: Can It Outpace MU & STX?
SNDK's NAND innovation, enterprise SSD growth, and AI storage push are strengthening its challenge to Micron and Seagate across key markets.
YahooTier 3 · providerotherlow materialitypositivecommentary
2026-09-2916:58 UTC
SK Hynix Climbs 3%, Outpaces U.S. Rivals Micron and Seagate as Traders Weigh Memory Demand
SK Hynix is surging while Seagate slides and Micron barely budges, and that split inside the memory trade raises a question worth answering before the next move arrives.
YahooTier 3 · providerindustrylow materialitypositivereported fact
2026-09-2911:29 UTC
Seagate vs. NetApp: Which AI Data Storage Stock is the Smarter Bet?
AI-driven storage demand is reshaping the industry, putting STX's high-capacity drives and NTAP's AI infrastructure in focus.
YahooTier 3 · providerotherlow materialityunknowncommentary
2026-09-2906:14 UTC
The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights Seagate, Western Digital, Micron and Sandisk
STX, WDC, MU and SNDK stand to benefit from AI-driven memory and storage demand, supply constraints and rising enterprise data needs.
YahooTier 3 · provideranalystlow materialityneutralcommentary
2026-09-2817:46 UTC
Seagate: More Compelling After The Pullback, But Still Expensive (Upgrade)
Seagate stock drops into correction despite strong Q2 growth. Here's what investors need to know.
SeekingAlphaTier 3 · provideranalystlow materialitypositivecommentary
2026-09-2817:45 UTC
$100 Invested In Seagate Technology Hldgs 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today
Seagate Technology Hldgs (NASDAQ:STX) has outperformed the market over the past 5 years by 49.29% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 61.3%. Currently, Seagate Technology Hldgs has a market
BenzingaTier 3 · providerotherlow materialitypositivereported fact
2026-09-2817:14 UTC
Seagate: The Areal Density Breakthrough
Seagate (STX) Buy case: booming cloud/AI demand, HAMR Mozaic adoption, surging margins & beats. Click here to read my most recent analysis of STX stock.
SeekingAlphaTier 3 · providerotherlow materialitypositivereported fact
2026-09-2817:09 UTC
Seagate Technology Holdings (STX) Rides AI Storage Demand, Is It Still Undervalued?
Seagate Technology Holdings (STX) is back in focus as investors track rising demand for memory and storage tied to AI workloads, along with its HAMR-based Mozaic platform for higher-capacity, power-efficient drives. Recent trading has been strong for Seagate Technology Holdings, with a 1-day share price return of 1.20% and a 30-day share price gain of 10.49% helping offset a 90-day share price dec
YahooTier 3 · providerotherlow materialitypositivecommentary
2026-09-2814:31 UTC
Seagate Shares Rise Over 6% After Key Trading Signal
A key trading signal flashed for Seagate shares at a price of $872.35, after which STX rose over 6% to an intraday high.
BenzingaTier 3 · providerotherlow materialityunknownreported fact
2026-09-2813:18 UTC
4 Memory Semiconductor Stocks to Watch in October 2026
AI demand is reshaping the memory market, with Seagate, Western Digital, Micron and Sandisk expanding high-performance storage.
YahooTier 3 · providerotherlow materialityunknowncommentarymention in body only
2026-09-2720:00 UTC
Is Seagate Stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell Above $900?
Seagate shares have surged more than 300% in a year and Wall Street still sees room to run, but a beta above two and a fiscal 2028 EPS range that spans from $35 to $80 signal how violently this trade can unwind.
YahooTier 3 · providerotherlow materialitypositivecommentary
2026-09-2417:30 UTC
Seagate Stock Has a Bigger AI Connection Than You Might Think
Seagate shares have already tripled in a year, yet analysts tracking hyperscaler storage contracts believe the real move is still ahead. Here is what the capacity allocation data reveals about where this stock could go next.
YahooTier 3 · providerotherlow materialityunknowncommentary
2026-09-2409:25 UTC
Zacks Industry Outlook Highlights Seagate Technology, Hewlett Packard, Silicon Motion Technology and Infleqtion
Seagate Technology, Hewlett Packard Enterprise and Silicon Motion benefit from AI, cloud and integrated systems demand, while Infleqtion advances quantum growth.
YahooTier 3 · providerindustrylow materialitypositivecommentary
2026-09-2120:34 UTC
Seagate Technology Holdings plc: 144 filed
SEC EDGARTier 1 · primaryotherlow materialityunknownfact+1 duplicate report
2026-09-1420:38 UTC
Seagate Technology Holdings plc: 144 filed
SEC EDGARTier 1 · primaryotherlow materialityunknownfact+18 duplicate reports
2026-09-1020:04 UTC
Seagate Technology Holdings plc: 144 filed
SEC EDGARTier 1 · primaryotherlow materialityunknownfact+9 duplicate reports
2026-09-0912:42 UTC
Seagate Technology Holdings plc: 8-K filed (items 3.02,7.01,8.01,9.01)
SEC EDGARTier 1 · primaryofferingmedium materialityunknownfact
2026-09-0821:05 UTC
Seagate Technology Holdings plc: DEF 14A filed
SEC EDGARTier 1 · primarymanagementlow materialityneutralfact+2 duplicate reports
2026-09-0320:51 UTC
Seagate Technology Holdings plc: 4 filed
SEC EDGARTier 1 · primaryinsiderlow materialityunknownfact+2 duplicate reports
2026-09-0120:39 UTC
Seagate Technology Holdings plc: 144 filed
SEC EDGARTier 1 · primaryotherlow materialityunknownfact+1 duplicate report
hidden
36 provider-tagged items never name the company and are kept as context only.

canonical items of the last 10 sessions; analyst/industry/macro commentary and social sources excluded from the direction tally; gating uses tier 1-3 HIGH items within 3 (negative) / 2 (unknown direction) sessions

Catalysts and filings

Event	Date	In	Materiality	Source
Earnings	2026-10-28	17 sessions	high	finnhub · Tier 3 · provider

Options activity

AVAILABLE_DELAYED · session 2026-09-30 · selected contracts, delayed

Session volume: 529
5D baseline: 882
20D baseline: 414
Volume / 20D: 1.28x
Call / put volume: 298 / 231
Call / put ratio: 1.29
Top-3 contract share: 73%
Top expiration: 2026-10-16 84%

Activity trend · last 32 sessions

Session	Volume	5D	20D	/ 20D
2026-09-24	462	558	265	1.74x
2026-09-25	730	612	285	2.56x
2026-09-28	1,023	720	321	3.19x
2026-09-29	999	823	370	2.70x
2026-09-30	529	882	414	1.28x

Call vs put volume

calls 56%puts 44%

Expiration concentration

2026-10-16446 · 84%
2026-10-0983 · 16%

Contract concentration

O:STX261016P00900000169 · 32%
O:STX261016C00900000127 · 24%
O:STX261016C0092000090 · 17%
O:STX261009P0092000013 · 2%
O:STX261016C0093000012 · 2%
remaining contracts27% outside top 3

Top contracts · session 2026-09-30

Contract	Type	Strike	Expiration	DTE	Volume	5D avg	20D avg	/ 20D	Return	Moneyness
O:STX261016P00900000	PUT	900	2026-10-16	16	169	70	29	5.74x	-5.7%	OTM (2.5%)
O:STX261016C00900000	CALL	900	2026-10-16	16	127	139	90	1.42x	-2.1%	ITM (2.5%)
O:STX261016C00920000	CALL	920	2026-10-16	16	90	94	56	1.61x	-5.7%	ATM (0.3%)
O:STX261009P00920000	PUT	920	2026-10-09	9	13	4	insufficient history	insufficient history	-11.3%	ATM (0.3%)
O:STX261016C00930000	CALL	930	2026-10-16	16	12	27	12	1.00x	1.2%	OTM (-0.8%)
O:STX261009C00920000	CALL	920	2026-10-09	9	10	2	insufficient history	insufficient history	22.5%	ATM (0.3%)
O:STX261009P00917500	PUT	917.5	2026-10-09	9	10	insufficient history	insufficient history	insufficient history	0.0%	OTM (0.5%)
O:STX261016P00920000	PUT	920	2026-10-16	16	10	40	17	0.58x	-11.1%	ATM (0.3%)
O:STX261009C00930000	CALL	930	2026-10-09	9	9	79	insufficient history	insufficient history	8.6%	OTM (-0.8%)
O:STX261009C00925000	CALL	925	2026-10-09	9	8	5	insufficient history	insufficient history	1.8%	ATM (-0.3%)
O:STX261016C00970000	CALL	970	2026-10-16	16	8	15	10	0.82x	2.6%	OTM (-4.9%)
O:STX261016P00910000	PUT	910	2026-10-16	16	8	53	insufficient history	insufficient history	-8.1%	OTM (1.4%)
O:STX261009C00922500	CALL	922.5	2026-10-09	9	7	insufficient history	insufficient history	insufficient history	5.5%	ATM (0.0%)
O:STX261009C00927500	CALL	927.5	2026-10-09	9	6	insufficient history	insufficient history	insufficient history	0.0%	OTM (-0.6%)
O:STX261009P00910000	PUT	910	2026-10-09	9	5	3	insufficient history	insufficient history	-14.6%	OTM (1.4%)

OPTIONS_SELECTION_M9_V1 selected contracts only · provider capability DELAYED · delayed · Top 15 selected contracts by session volume; 5D/20D averages use strictly prior sessions (M10), INSUFFICIENT_HISTORY is shown, never zero.

M13 observations for this session

Technical setup present (PRE_BREAKOUT_V1): FALSE
Technical and options context share a session: FALSE
Activity above its own 20-session baseline: FALSE
Activity below its own 20-session baseline: FALSE
Recent 5-session baseline above 20-session baseline: TRUE
Recent 5-session baseline below 20-session baseline: FALSE
Volume concentrated in top 3 contracts: TRUE
Volume concentrated in one expiration: TRUE
Calls carry most session volume: FALSE
Puts carry most session volume: FALSE
Call and put volume roughly balanced: TRUE
Enrichment data (snapshot/OI/IV/Greeks) available: FALSE
Enrichment data unavailable: TRUE
Real flow data unavailable: TRUE
Flow events present in replay window: NOT_EVALUABLE

Flow

Flow events—

Clusters—

Sweep candidates—

Block candidates—

Aggressor candidates—

Premium coverage—

Flow engine is ready. Trades and Quotes are not available with the current provider capabilities; this area populates automatically from the same M11 engine when real persisted facts exist. Synthetic fixture flow is never shown.

Evidence alerts

4 · ALERT_POLICY_V1

Category	Alert	Previous	Current	Sessions	Workflow
Fading	Options activity vs 20D baseline fell	2.7	1.28	2026-09-29 → 2026-09-30	New
Changed	Top-3 contract concentration increased	0.54	0.73	2026-09-29 → 2026-09-30	New
Changed	Top expiration concentration increased	0.62	0.84	2026-09-29 → 2026-09-30	New
Changed	Call / put volume mix changed	0.67	0.56	2026-09-29 → 2026-09-30	New

Decision trace

PRE_BREAKOUT_SWING_V1_1 · generated 2026-10-04 16:59 UTC · strategy 073b221a9cd0…

setup_eligibleFAILNO_SETUP: failed distance_to_resistance, intermediate_trend, rsi_bandfailed_conditions=distance_to_resistance, intermediate_trend, rsi_band
finalPASSAVOID

Snapshot history: 2026-10-01 BUY_NOW · 2026-09-30 BUY_ON_TRIGGER

Actions are generated from the configured trading strategy and current available market/intelligence data. They are not guarantees of future performance.