TXN
- Trade priority
- #20 · 59
- Data coverage
- 100%
- Setup
- no setup · 2026-10-02
- News
- mixed
- Next catalyst
- Earnings in 16 sessions
Trade plan
- Action
- WAITblocked: too extended, reward/risk, portfolio limit
- Trigger
- 289.06retracement to breakout level · close 1.6% above the retracement limit
- Entry zone
- 284.99–289.06reference 289.06
- Initial stop
- 276.844.2% · risk 12.22/sh
- Target 1
- 309.43+7.0% · R:R 1.67 (below minimum)
- Target 2
- 325.72+12.7% · R:R 3.00
- Risk per share
- 12.22strategy-owned; the portfolio panel sizes it per profile
- Invalidation
- 276.84a close below 1 ATR under the level invalidates the setup before entry
Level 284.99 (resistance of the PRE_BREAKOUT on 2026-10-01); ATR14 8.15 on 2026-10-02. Stop: 1 ATR below the breakout level 284.99. Targets: ATR projections 3 / 5 ATR above the level. R:R quality below minimum to T1 (hard minimum 2.0; 3R would be 325.72, T2 supports 3.00R). Targets are structural and are never moved to reach an R multiple.
Record the fill after you enter: add position. The strategy then manages the stop, targets and the next action.
Your portfolio · San
- Profile
- Sanequity 2,000.00 USD · whole shares
- Current holding
- noneno open position in this profile
- Recommended quantity
- too large for this portfolioone 1-share increment at 289.06 exceeds the risk budget (0.8183 shares allowed)
- Risk budget
- 10.000.5% of 2,000.00
- Portfolio risk
- 0.00 openremaining 40.00
- Exposure
- 0 / 3 positionsTechnology: 0 / 2 · 0.00 of 1,000.00 cap
- Cash impact
- 2,000.00derived from the ledger
- Eligibility
- WAITsame as the strategy view
Entry, stop, targets and R:R are strategy-owned and identical for every profile; only this portfolio's quantity, risk, exposure and cash differ. Manage profiles · record a fill
Quality gates
| Gate | Verdict | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Data freshness | PASS | 0 completed session(s) behind the calendar |
| Price | PASS | close 293.80 at or above the 10 floor |
| Market cap | PASS | market cap 256.91B (finnhub, 2026-10-02) |
| Liquidity | PASS | ADV20 1578.5M (STRONG_LIQUIDITY) |
| Sector | PASS | sector Technology (finnhub_industry) |
| Regime | PASS | regime RISK_ON |
| Earnings | PASS | earnings in 16 sessions (2026-10-27) |
| News / event risk | PASS | news context MIXED |
| Chase protection | FAIL | close is 2.46 ATR above EMA20 (max 2) · too extended |
| R:R | FAIL | reward/risk to target 1 is 1.67 (below minimum) · reward/risk |
| Portfolio capacity | FAIL | 0 shares: one 1-share increment exceeds the risk budget of this portfolio (POSITION_TOO_LARGE_FOR_PROFILE) · portfolio limit |
| Data quality | PASS | current session data, valid technical snapshot, trigger and ATR; critical facts known |
Primary blocker: too extended · also reward/risk, portfolio limit
Why this action
Technical
- breakout on 2026-10-02 is extended; buy only on a retracement into 284.99-289.06
- close is 2.46 ATR above EMA20: too extended to enter
- reward/risk 1.67 to target 1 is below the 2 minimum; the target is structural and is not moved
- the position is too large for this portfolio profile (RISK_BUDGET); the strategy setup itself is unchanged
- RS20 vs SPY 16.2%, vs QQQ 11.3%
Options
- volume 0.64× the 20D baseline (neither) · selected contracts only, delayed
News and events
- news context mixed (30 canonical items in window)
- earnings 2026-10-27 (16 sessions, finnhub); event risk low
- other · low · negative: MACOM, Texas Instruments, Semtech, Amkor, and Teradyne Stocks Trade Up, What You Need To K
- analyst · low · positive: Zephyr Project Expands Semiconductor Industry Support as Texas Instruments and Infineon Te
- other · low · positive: MCHP Expands Ethernet Portfolio: Can it Challenge TXN & ADI?
- earnings · medium · unknown: What to Expect From Texas Instruments’ Q3 2026 Earnings Report
Market and risk
- regime RISK ON: SPY: trend UP, volatility NORMAL; QQQ: trend UP, volatility NORMAL
- gate too extended blocks a new entry
- gate reward/risk blocks a new entry
- gate portfolio limit blocks a new entry
- news context mixed
Chart
Indicator history is derived from the stored bars with the accepted M3 functions (WORKSTATION_SERIES_V1); the scanner’s persisted values remain authoritative. Reconciliation at the scan session: 8 match.
Trade priority
Rank #20 · priority 59 / 100 · coverage 100%
- technical readiness21/30
- structure quality6/10
- relative strength15/15
- participation4/10
- risk reward3/15
- news context4/10
- event risk5/5
- urgency1/5
operational attention priority not a return forecast. Missing inputs lower coverage, never the score.
Setup evidence · PRE_BREAKOUT_V1
- Setup state
- NO_SETUP
- Resistance
- 312.39
- Distance
- 5.95%
- Close
- 293.8
- SMA50
- 270.54
- SMA150 / SMA200
- 265 / 248.81
- RSI14
- 70.4
- EMA20 extension
- 2.47 ATR
- RS20 vs SPY
- +16.2%
- RS20 vs QQQ
- +11.3%
Hard requirements · 5/8 passed
- PASSConfirmed resistanceresistance=312.385 exists eligible=true
- FAILDistance to resistancedistance_pct=5.9494 · resistance=312.385 · close=293.8 inclusive_between min=0 · max=3
- PASSClose above SMA50close=293.8 · sma50=270.5396 > right_operand=sma50
- PASSSMA150 ≥ SMA200sma150=265.0033 · sma200=248.8069 >= right_operand=sma200
- FAILRSI14 bandrsi14=70.3665 inclusive_between min=50 · max=70
- FAILEMA20 extension (ATR)extension_atr=2.4656 · close=293.8 · ema20=273.7145 · atr14=8.1464 <= max=1.5
- PASSRS20 vs SPY or QQQSPY=0.162 · QQQ=0.113 OR > SPY=0 · QQQ=0
- PASSResistance qualitydistinct_touches=2 policy_and_minimum_touches min=2
Supporting evidence · 6/6 passed
- PASSATR compressioncurrent_atr_pct=0.0277 · median_previous_60_atr_pct=0.0403 · ratio=0.6877 < right_operand=median_previous_60_atr_pct
- PASSVolume contractionrecent_volume=4,535,695.093 · baseline_volume=6,081,345.2175 · ratio=0.7458 < max=0.85
- PASSHigher lowslow_1=248.13 · low_2=255.82 · low_3=257.095 low_3 > low_2 > low_1 required_pivots=3
- PASSFull MA alignmentsma50=270.5396 · sma150=265.0033 · sma200=248.8069 sma50 > sma150 > sma200
- PASSRS20 vs SPY positiveSPY=0.162 > min=0
- PASSRS20 vs QQQ positiveQQQ=0.113 > min=0
PRE_BREAKOUT_V1 · scan run 417 · session 2026-10-02 · evaluated as of 2026-10-04T13:23:16.862423Z. Supporting evidence never changes the trigger; UNKNOWN is never collapsed into false.
Intelligence timeline
- 2026-10-0222:06 UTCA number of stocks jumped in the morning session after weaker-than-expected U.S. employment data cooled Treasury yields, easing interest rate pressure.
- 2026-10-0114:00 UTCZephyr Developer Summit – The Zephyr® Project, an open source project at the Linux Foundation building a secure, connected and flexible real-time operating system (RTOS) for resource-constrained devices, today announced that Texas Instruments (TI) and Infineon Technologies have upgraded to Platinum membership. Announced ahead of the Zephyr Developer Summit, co-located with Open Source Summit Europ
- 2026-10-0113:20 UTCMicrochip expands its 10BASE-T1S Ethernet lineup to simplify edge connectivity and tap automotive and industrial demand while facing tougher rivals.
- 2026-09-3013:47 UTCWhile Texas Instruments could soon report its Q3 earnings numbers, analysts anticipate the company’s EPS to climb impressively.
- 2026-09-2910:05 UTCTexas Instruments has delivered strong shareholder returns in recent years, which puts fresh attention on one core issue: whether the current share price lines up with the cash the business is expected to generate. With the stock now reflecting years of optimism, the question is how well that market enthusiasm matches the company’s underlying cash flow profile. Over the past 3 years the stock has
- 2026-09-2810:30 UTCTexas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN) has outperformed the market over the past 10 years by 1.17% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 14.76%. Currently, Texas Instruments has a market capitalization of
- 2026-09-2809:28 UTCBoost ROI with real-time visual intelligence, low-code models, edge analytics and shelf tracking to cut costs, optimize inventory, accelerate decisions and improve efficiencyDublin, Sept. 28, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- "Computer Vision Market Report 2026" has been added to ResearchAndMarkets.com's offering. The global computer vision market is experiencing rapid expansion, supported by advances in a
- 2026-09-2720:19 UTCTexas Instruments Incorporated (NASDAQ:TXN) has raised its quarterly dividend by 7% to $1.52 per share from $1.42, bringing the annualized payout to $6.08. The increase marks the company’s 23rd consecutive year of dividend growth. The new dividend is scheduled to be paid on November 10, 2026, to shareholders of record as of October 30, subject […]
- 2026-09-2523:00 UTCTexas Instruments is up 56% in 2026 and still pays a dividend. See how it and two other S&P 500 stocks combine income with momentum, and what Wall Street's Buy ratings mean next.
- 2026-09-2520:50 UTCTexas Instruments (TXN) reached $278.07 at the closing of the latest trading day, reflecting a +2.74% change compared to its last close.
- 2026-09-2514:27 UTCTexas Instruments (TXN) and NVIDIA both sell chips for the data centers now being built. Data centers bring in nearly all of NVIDIA's revenue, while TI sells to industrial and automotive customers as well as data centers. You pay 38.2 times the yearly profit for TI, yet only 28.1 times for NVIDIA. Their latest earnings calls show the two businesses parting ways on supply.
- 2026-09-2514:22 UTCMicrochip Technology broadens its 48V power portfolio as data-center revenues surge, targeting AI servers and other high-growth power applications.
- 2026-09-2412:00 UTCZacks.com users have recently been watching Texas Instruments (TXN) quite a bit. Thus, it is worth knowing the facts that could determine the stock's prospects.
- 2026-09-2120:37 UTC
- 2026-09-1720:11 UTC
- 2026-08-3120:25 UTC
- hidden16 provider-tagged items never name the company and are kept as context only.
canonical items of the last 10 sessions; analyst/industry/macro commentary and social sources excluded from the direction tally; gating uses tier 1-3 HIGH items within 3 (negative) / 2 (unknown direction) sessions
Catalysts and filings
| Event | Date | In | Materiality | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings (after the close) | 2026-10-27 | 16 sessions | high | finnhub · Tier 3 · provider |
Options activity
- Session volume
- 503
- 5D baseline
- 763
- 20D baseline
- 787
- Volume / 20D
- 0.64x
- Call / put volume
- 276 / 227
- Call / put ratio
- 1.22
- Top-3 contract share
- 36%
- Top expiration
- 2026-10-09 51%
Activity trend · last 33 sessions
| Session | Volume | 5D | 20D | / 20D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | 1,055 | 1,239 | 698 | 1.51x |
| 2026-09-28 | 683 | 883 | 739 | 0.92x |
| 2026-09-29 | 1,134 | 795 | 742 | 1.53x |
| 2026-09-30 | 520 | 748 | 792 | 0.66x |
| 2026-10-01 | 503 | 763 | 787 | 0.64x |
Call vs put volume
Expiration concentration
Contract concentration
Top contracts · session 2026-10-01
| Contract | Type | Strike | Expiration | DTE | Volume | 5D avg | 20D avg | / 20D | Return | Moneyness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O:TXN261016P00280000 | PUT | 280 | 2026-10-16 | 15 | 91 | 61 | 25 | 3.58x | -3.8% | ATM (0.5%) |
| O:TXN261009C00290000 | CALL | 290 | 2026-10-09 | 8 | 48 | 30 | insufficient history | insufficient history | 1.8% | OTM (-3.0%) |
| O:TXN261009C00287500 | CALL | 287.5 | 2026-10-09 | 8 | 42 | 9 | insufficient history | insufficient history | -15.5% | OTM (-2.2%) |
| O:TXN261016C00290000 | CALL | 290 | 2026-10-16 | 15 | 38 | 80 | 125 | 0.31x | 14.4% | OTM (-3.0%) |
| O:TXN261009P00277500 | PUT | 277.5 | 2026-10-09 | 8 | 37 | insufficient history | insufficient history | insufficient history | -33.9% | OTM (1.4%) |
| O:TXN261016C00287500 | CALL | 287.5 | 2026-10-16 | 15 | 32 | 7 | insufficient history | insufficient history | 9.2% | OTM (-2.2%) |
| O:TXN261009C00285000 | CALL | 285 | 2026-10-09 | 8 | 22 | 47 | insufficient history | insufficient history | 17.2% | OTM (-1.3%) |
| O:TXN261009P00270000 | PUT | 270 | 2026-10-09 | 8 | 21 | 9 | insufficient history | insufficient history | -36.0% | OTM (4.2%) |
| O:TXN261009C00292500 | CALL | 292.5 | 2026-10-09 | 8 | 18 | 18 | insufficient history | insufficient history | 37.2% | OTM (-3.8%) |
| O:TXN261016C00285000 | CALL | 285 | 2026-10-16 | 15 | 17 | 91 | insufficient history | insufficient history | 12.4% | OTM (-1.3%) |
| O:TXN261016P00270000 | PUT | 270 | 2026-10-16 | 15 | 17 | 15 | 29 | 0.58x | -23.9% | OTM (4.2%) |
| O:TXN261016C00292500 | CALL | 292.5 | 2026-10-16 | 15 | 14 | insufficient history | insufficient history | insufficient history | -14.0% | OTM (-3.8%) |
| O:TXN261009P00275000 | PUT | 275 | 2026-10-09 | 8 | 13 | 9 | insufficient history | insufficient history | -32.6% | OTM (2.3%) |
| O:TXN261009P00282500 | PUT | 282.5 | 2026-10-09 | 8 | 13 | insufficient history | insufficient history | insufficient history | 13.5% | ATM (-0.4%) |
| O:TXN261009C00280000 | CALL | 280 | 2026-10-09 | 8 | 12 | 16 | insufficient history | insufficient history | -2.1% | ATM (0.5%) |
OPTIONS_SELECTION_M9_V1 selected contracts only · provider capability DELAYED · delayed · Top 15 selected contracts by session volume; 5D/20D averages use strictly prior sessions (M10), INSUFFICIENT_HISTORY is shown, never zero.
M13 observations for this session
- Technical setup present (PRE_BREAKOUT_V1): FALSE
- Technical and options context share a session: FALSE
- Activity above its own 20-session baseline: FALSE
- Activity below its own 20-session baseline: TRUE
- Recent 5-session baseline above 20-session baseline: FALSE
- Recent 5-session baseline below 20-session baseline: FALSE
- Volume concentrated in top 3 contracts: FALSE
- Volume concentrated in one expiration: FALSE
- Calls carry most session volume: FALSE
- Puts carry most session volume: FALSE
- Call and put volume roughly balanced: TRUE
- Enrichment data (snapshot/OI/IV/Greeks) available: FALSE
- Enrichment data unavailable: TRUE
- Real flow data unavailable: TRUE
- Flow events present in replay window: NOT_EVALUABLE
Flow
Flow engine is ready. Trades and Quotes are not available with the current provider capabilities; this area populates automatically from the same M11 engine when real persisted facts exist. Synthetic fixture flow is never shown.
Evidence alerts
| Category | Alert | Previous | Current | Sessions | Workflow | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Disappeared | Technical setup disappeared | yes | no | 2026-10-01 → 2026-10-02 | New | |
| Changed | Call / put volume mix changed | 0.69 | 0.55 | 2026-09-30 → 2026-10-01 | New |
Decision trace
- setup_eligiblePASSPRE_BREAKOUT on 2026-10-01; close above its resistance 284.99 on 2026-10-02
- trigger_statePASSTRIGGERED but EXTENDED: the close is beyond the entry zone or the EMA20 extension limit; entry only on a retracement into the zoneclose=293.8 · entry_zone_high=289.06 · extension_atr=2.46 | threshold breakout_max_extension_atr=2
- data_freshnessPASS0 completed session(s) behind the calendarsessions_behind=0 | threshold max_sessions_behind=1
- price_gatePASSclose 293.80 at or above the 10 floorclose=293.8 | threshold min_price=10
- market_cap_gatePASSmarket cap 256.91B (finnhub, 2026-10-02)market_cap_usd=256905701688.84 | threshold min_market_cap_usd=1000000000
- liquidity_gatePASSADV20 1578.5M (STRONG_LIQUIDITY)adv_dollar=1578485358.88 · strong_liquidity=true | threshold min_adv_dollar=25000000, strong_adv_dollar=50000000
- sector_gatePASSsector Technology (finnhub_industry)
- market_regime_gatePASSregime RISK_ONregime=RISK_ON · risk_multiplier=1
- event_risk_gatePASSearnings in 16 sessions (2026-10-27)earnings_sessions_away=16 | threshold earnings_block_sessions=5
- news_gatePASSnews context MIXED
- chase_gateFAILclose is 2.46 ATR above EMA20 (max 2)extension_atr=2.46 | threshold breakout_max_extension_atr=2
- risk_rewardFAILreward/risk to target 1 is 1.67 (below minimum)reward_risk_1=1.67 · reward_risk_2=3 | threshold min_reward_risk_1=2
- portfolio_gateFAIL0 shares: one 1-share increment exceeds the risk budget of this portfolio (POSITION_TOO_LARGE_FOR_PROFILE)binding_constraint=RISK_BUDGET · size_status=POSITION_TOO_LARGE_FOR_PROFILE · share_increment=1
- data_qualityPASScurrent session data, valid technical snapshot, trigger and ATR; critical facts known
- finalPASSWAIT (blocked by CHASE_EXTENDED, REWARD_RISK, PORTFOLIO_LIMIT; primary CHASE_EXTENDED)
Snapshot history: 2026-10-02 WAIT · 2026-10-01 BUY_ON_TRIGGER · 2026-09-30 BUY_ON_TRIGGER
Actions are generated from the configured trading strategy and current available market/intelligence data. They are not guarantees of future performance.