Technical2026-10-02Options2026-10-02delayedFlowTrades/Quotes not entitled
Daily run 2026-10-02 · completeWatchlist 0

HLT

Consumer Cyclical · Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure
319.36
+1.24% · 2026-10-02
Armed
Trade priority
#7 · 63.6
Data coverage
100%
Setup
pre breakout · 2026-10-02
News
negative
Next catalyst
Earnings in 16 sessions

Trade plan

PRE_BREAKOUT_SWING_V1_1 · valid until close of 2026-10-05, a material event, or strategy invalidation · shared by every portfolio profile
Action
ARMEDvalid until close of 2026-10-05, a material event, or strategy invalidation
Trigger
326.54break above resistance · 2.3% / 1.10 ATR away
Entry zone
326.54–329.80reference 326.54
Initial stop
319.682.1% · risk 6.86/sh
Target 1
345.80+5.9% · R:R 2.81 (strong)
Target 2
358.86+9.9% · R:R 4.71
Risk per share
6.86strategy-owned; the portfolio panel sizes it per profile
Invalidation
319.68a close below 1 ATR under the level invalidates the setup before entry

Level 326.21 (PRE_BREAKOUT_V1 selected resistance); ATR14 6.53 on 2026-10-02. Stop: 1 ATR below the breakout level 326.21. Targets: ATR projections 3 / 5 ATR above the level. R:R quality strong to T1 (hard minimum 2.0; 3R would be 347.12, T2 supports 4.71R). Targets are structural and are never moved to reach an R multiple.

Record the fill after you enter: add position. The strategy then manages the stop, targets and the next action.

Your portfolio · San

profile-specific: quantity, risk budget, exposure, cash impact
Profile
Sanequity 2,000.00 USD · whole shares
Current holding
noneno open position in this profile
Recommended quantity
1 sh326.54 · 16.3% of portfolio · bound by max position value
Risk budget
10.000.5% of 2,000.00 · planned risk 6.86
Portfolio risk
0.00 openremaining 40.00 → 33.14 after
Exposure
0 / 3 positionsConsumer Cyclical: 0 / 2 · 0.00 of 1,000.00 cap
Cash impact
2,000.00 → 1,673.46derived from the ledger
Eligibility
ARMEDsame as the strategy view

Entry, stop, targets and R:R are strategy-owned and identical for every profile; only this portfolio's quantity, risk, exposure and cash differ. Manage profiles · record a fill

Quality gates

hard entry gates of the strategy · PASS / FAIL / UNKNOWN
GateVerdictDetail
Data freshnessPASS0 completed session(s) behind the calendar
PricePASSclose 319.36 at or above the 10 floor
Market capPASSmarket cap 70.99B (finnhub, 2026-10-02)
LiquidityPASSADV20 520.8M (STRONG_LIQUIDITY)
SectorPASSsector Consumer Cyclical (finnhub_industry)
RegimePASSregime RISK_ON
EarningsPASSearnings in 16 sessions (2026-10-27)
News / event riskPASSnews context NEGATIVE
Chase protectionPASS0.76 ATR above EMA20, session move 0.60 ATR
R:RPASSreward/risk 2.81 to target 1 (strong), 4.71 to target 2
Portfolio capacityPASS1 shares (327), bound by max position value
Data qualityPASScurrent session data, valid technical snapshot, trigger and ATR; critical facts known

Why this action

Technical

  • 2.2% below the trigger 326.54 (resistance 326.21)
  • RS20 positive vs one benchmark (+2.1% / -2.9%)
  • EMA20 extension 0.76 ATR
  • RSI14 55.2 inside the 50-70 band
  • stop 319.68: 1 ATR below the breakout level 326.21
  • trigger is 1.10 ATR away: prepare, no order yet
  • RS20 vs SPY 2.1%, vs QQQ -2.9%

Options

  • volume 3.09× the 20D baseline (neither) · selected contracts only, delayed

News and events

  • news context negative (16 canonical items in window)
  • earnings 2026-10-27 (16 sessions, finnhub); event risk low
  • insider · low · unknown: Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.: 4 filed
  • industry · low · unknown: Consumer Discretionary - Travel and Vacation Providers Stocks Q2 In Review: Hilton (NYSE:H
  • earnings · low · neutral: Hilton Announces Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release Date
  • other · low · unknown: 3 Reasons to Sell HLT and 1 Stock to Buy Instead

Market and risk

  • regime RISK ON: SPY: trend UP, volatility NORMAL; QQQ: trend UP, volatility NORMAL

Chart

252 sessions · EMA20 / SMA50 / SMA150 / SMA200 default · strategy levels drawn when a plan exists
2026-10-02O 319.00H 321.59L 316.76C 319.36 +1.24%Vol 1,124,487RVOL20 0.66SMA50 317.61SMA150 320.77SMA200 316.10EMA20 314.38RSI14 55.2MACD 0.213 / -1.605 / 1.818ATR14 6.53RS20 SPY 2.1% · QQQ -2.9%

Indicator history is derived from the stored bars with the accepted M3 functions (WORKSTATION_SERIES_V1); the scanner’s persisted values remain authoritative. Reconciliation at the scan session: 8 match.

Trade priority

operational attention ranking, not a forecast

Rank #7 · priority 63.6 / 100 · coverage 100%

  • technical readiness19/30
  • structure quality6/10
  • relative strength8/15
  • participation10/10
  • risk reward11/15
  • news context0/10
  • event risk5/5
  • urgency5/5

operational attention priority not a return forecast. Missing inputs lower coverage, never the score.

Setup evidence · PRE_BREAKOUT_V1

Setup state
PRE_BREAKOUT
Resistance
326.21
Distance
2.10%
Close
319.36
SMA50
317.61
SMA150 / SMA200
320.77 / 316.1
RSI14
55.2
EMA20 extension
0.76 ATR
RS20 vs SPY
+2.1%
RS20 vs QQQ
-2.9%

Hard requirements · 8/8 passed

  • PASS
    Confirmed resistance
    resistance=326.2125 exists eligible=true
  • PASS
    Distance to resistance
    distance_pct=2.1006 · resistance=326.2125 · close=319.36 inclusive_between min=0 · max=3
  • PASS
    Close above SMA50
    close=319.36 · sma50=317.6102 > right_operand=sma50
  • PASS
    SMA150 ≥ SMA200
    sma150=320.7655 · sma200=316.0965 >= right_operand=sma200
  • PASS
    RSI14 band
    rsi14=55.1762 inclusive_between min=50 · max=70
  • PASS
    EMA20 extension (ATR)
    extension_atr=0.7621 · close=319.36 · ema20=314.384 · atr14=6.5296 <= max=1.5
  • PASS
    RS20 vs SPY or QQQ
    SPY=0.0205 · QQQ=-0.0285 OR > SPY=0 · QQQ=0
  • PASS
    Resistance quality
    distinct_touches=2 policy_and_minimum_touches min=2

Supporting evidence · 2/6 passed

  • PASS
    ATR compression
    current_atr_pct=0.0204 · median_previous_60_atr_pct=0.0229 · ratio=0.8926 < right_operand=median_previous_60_atr_pct
  • FAIL
    Volume contraction
    recent_volume=1,463,263.352 · baseline_volume=1,701,745.2261 · ratio=0.8599 < max=0.85
  • FAIL
    Higher lows
    low_1=325.26 · low_2=300 · low_3=302.11 low_3 > low_2 > low_1 required_pivots=3
  • FAIL
    Full MA alignment
    sma50=317.6102 · sma150=320.7655 · sma200=316.0965 sma50 > sma150 > sma200
  • PASS
    RS20 vs SPY positive
    SPY=0.0205 > min=0
  • FAIL
    RS20 vs QQQ positive
    QQQ=-0.0285 > min=0

PRE_BREAKOUT_V1 · scan run 413 · session 2026-10-02 · evaluated as of 2026-10-04T13:22:49.796150Z. Supporting evidence never changes the trigger; UNKNOWN is never collapsed into false.

Intelligence timeline

16 canonical of 23 items in window · duplicates collapsed
  • 2026-10-0201:58 UTC
    Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.: 4 filed
    SEC EDGARTier 1 · primaryinsiderlow materialityunknownfact+7 duplicate reports
  • 2026-09-3019:33 UTC
    Consumer Discretionary - Travel and Vacation Providers Stocks Q2 In Review: Hilton (NYSE:HLT) Vs Peers
    As the craze of earnings season draws to a close, here’s a look back at some of the most exciting (and some less so) results from Q2. Today, we are looking at consumer discretionary - travel and vacation providers stocks, starting with Hilton (NYSE:HLT).
    YahooTier 3 · providerindustrylow materialityunknownreported fact
  • 2026-09-3015:00 UTC
    Hilton Announces Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release Date
    MCLEAN, Va., September 30, 2026--Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (NYSE: HLT) will report third quarter 2026 financial results before the stock market opens on Tuesday, Oct. 27, 2026, followed by a conference call at 9 a.m. ET. Christopher J. Nassetta, president & chief executive officer, Hilton, and Kevin Jacobs, executive vice president & chief financial officer, Hilton, will discuss the company's
    YahooTier 3 · providerearningslow materialityneutralreported fact
  • 2026-09-3014:21 UTC
    3 Reasons to Sell HLT and 1 Stock to Buy Instead
    Even though Hilton (currently trading at $323.84 per share) has gained 9.5% over the last six months, it has lagged the S&P 500’s 21.1% return during that period. This may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.
    YahooTier 3 · providerotherlow materialityunknownreported fact
  • 2026-09-2904:01 UTC
    The Great Rebalance: Hilton's 2027 Trends Report Reveals Why Travelers Are Embracing Good ‘Ish’ Over Perfection
    MCLEAN, Va., September 29, 2026--Next year, travelers are expected to ditch perfection for personal growth, flexibility and discovery. According to Hilton's newly released 2027 Trends Report, The Great Rebalance: How Travelers Are Expecting to Reset and Recalibrate in 2027, jetsetters are prioritizing trips that help them reset, gain perspective and make the most of their time away.
    YahooTier 3 · providerotherlow materialitypositivecommentary
  • 2026-09-2811:30 UTC
    Here's How Much $1000 Invested In Hilton Worldwide Holdings 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today
    Hilton Worldwide Holdings (NYSE:HLT) has outperformed the market over the past 5 years by 5.95% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 17.95%. Currently, Hilton Worldwide Holdings has a market
    BenzingaTier 3 · providerotherlow materialitypositivecommentary
  • 2026-09-2711:09 UTC
    Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT) Leans Into Sports Tourism While Fair Value Stays In View
    Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT) is leaning into sports tourism with The Anthem Hotel in Los Angeles, where a football themed suite and event lineup are timed around Super Bowl LXI in 2027. Recent price action shows Hilton Worldwide Holdings giving up some ground in the last month, with a 30 day share price return of a 2.45% decline and a 90 day share price return of a 5.59% decline. Yet the curren
    YahooTier 3 · providerotherlow materialitynegativereported fact
  • 2026-09-2706:12 UTC
    Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT) Debuts Football Legacy Suite Ahead Of Los Angeles Super Bowl LXI
    Hilton Worldwide Holdings (NYSE:HLT) introduced a football themed Football Legacy Suite at The Anthem Hotel in Los Angeles ahead of Super Bowl LXI. The Anthem Hotel, part of the Tapestry Collection by Hilton, is offering a Game Day Getaway Package tailored for visiting football fans. The new suite experience includes curated football programming and decor that targets guests traveling to Los Angel
    YahooTier 3 · providerotherlow materialityunknowncommentary
  • 2026-09-2422:26 UTC
    Marriott (MAR) vs Hilton (HLT): Which is a Better Stock to Buy
    Marriott International, Inc. (NASDAQ:MAR) and Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (NYSE:HLT) barely own any hotels. Both mostly rent out their names, collect a royalty on someone else’s building, and let a franchisee carry the cost of the carpets. That makes them closer to licensing businesses than to property companies. Two numbers decide which is worth more. […]
    YahooTier 3 · providerotherlow materialityunknownreported fact
  • 2026-09-1419:18 UTC
    Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.: 144 filed
    SEC EDGARTier 1 · primaryotherlow materialityunknownfact+3 duplicate reports
  • hidden
    7 provider-tagged items never name the company and are kept as context only.

canonical items of the last 10 sessions; analyst/industry/macro commentary and social sources excluded from the direction tally; gating uses tier 1-3 HIGH items within 3 (negative) / 2 (unknown direction) sessions

Catalysts and filings

EventDateInMaterialitySource
Earnings (before the open)2026-10-2716 sessionshighfinnhub · Tier 3 · provider

Options activity

AVAILABLE_DELAYED · session 2026-10-02 · selected contracts, delayed
Session volume
216
5D baseline
62
20D baseline
70
Volume / 20D
3.09x
Call / put volume
157 / 59
Call / put ratio
2.66
Top-3 contract share
70%
Top expiration
2026-10-09 86%

Activity trend · last 27 sessions

2026-08-26: 42026-08-27: 282026-08-28: 112026-08-31: 192026-09-01: 412026-09-02: 232026-09-03: 672026-09-04: 412026-09-08: 722026-09-09: 592026-09-10: 962026-09-11: 52026-09-14: 1872026-09-15: 1992026-09-16: 152026-09-17: 322026-09-18: 382026-09-21: 2212026-09-22: 192026-09-23: 112026-09-24: 262026-09-25: 292026-09-28: 842026-09-29: 1202026-09-30: 292026-10-01: 462026-10-02: 21608-2609-1510-02221 · line: 20D baseline
SessionVolume5D20D/ 20D
2026-09-288461611.39x
2026-09-2912034641.87x
2026-09-302954690.42x
2026-10-014658690.67x
2026-10-0221662703.09x

Call vs put volume

2026-08-26: 0 / 42026-08-27: 3 / 252026-08-28: 7 / 42026-08-31: 6 / 132026-09-01: 21 / 202026-09-02: 14 / 92026-09-03: 49 / 182026-09-04: 23 / 182026-09-08: 55 / 172026-09-09: 33 / 262026-09-10: 76 / 202026-09-11: 3 / 22026-09-14: 102 / 852026-09-15: 157 / 422026-09-16: 13 / 22026-09-17: 23 / 92026-09-18: 18 / 202026-09-21: 187 / 342026-09-22: 17 / 22026-09-23: 10 / 12026-09-24: 26 / 02026-09-25: 18 / 112026-09-28: 67 / 172026-09-29: 86 / 342026-09-30: 24 / 52026-10-01: 39 / 72026-10-02: 157 / 5908-2609-1510-02221
calls 73%puts 27%

Expiration concentration

  • 2026-10-09185 · 86%
  • 2026-10-1631 · 14%

Contract concentration

  • O:HLT261009C00330000100 · 46%
  • O:HLT261009C0032250026 · 12%
  • O:HLT261009P0031500026 · 12%
  • O:HLT261016P0032000012 · 6%
  • O:HLT261009C0032000011 · 5%
  • remaining contracts30% outside top 3

Top contracts · session 2026-10-02

ContractTypeStrikeExpirationDTEVolume5D avg20D avg/ 20DReturnMoneyness
O:HLT261009C00330000CALL3302026-10-097100insufficient historyinsufficient historyinsufficient history0.0%OTM (-3.2%)
O:HLT261009C00322500CALL322.52026-10-09726insufficient historyinsufficient historyinsufficient history0.0%OTM (-1.0%)
O:HLT261009P00315000PUT3152026-10-097261insufficient historyinsufficient history0.0%OTM (1.4%)
O:HLT261016P00320000PUT3202026-10-1614127insufficient historyinsufficient history-1.5%ATM (-0.2%)
O:HLT261009C00320000CALL3202026-10-097113insufficient historyinsufficient history15.9%ATM (-0.2%)
O:HLT261016C00320000CALL3202026-10-1614919insufficient historyinsufficient history-3.0%ATM (-0.2%)
O:HLT261009P00310000PUT3102026-10-09763insufficient historyinsufficient history-1.5%OTM (3.0%)
O:HLT261009P00317500PUT317.52026-10-0976insufficient historyinsufficient historyinsufficient history0.0%OTM (0.6%)
O:HLT261009P00312500PUT312.52026-10-0975insufficient historyinsufficient historyinsufficient history0.0%OTM (2.2%)
O:HLT261009C00312500CALL312.52026-10-0973insufficient historyinsufficient historyinsufficient history0.0%ITM (2.2%)
O:HLT261016C00330000CALL3302026-10-16143440.73x-8.4%OTM (-3.2%)
O:HLT261016C00322500CALL322.52026-10-161423insufficient historyinsufficient history-1.0%OTM (-1.0%)
O:HLT261016P00310000PUT3102026-10-161424120.17x-8.9%OTM (3.0%)
O:HLT261009C00315000CALL3152026-10-097110insufficient historyinsufficient history0.0%ITM (1.4%)
O:HLT261009C00325000CALL3252026-10-0971insufficient historyinsufficient historyinsufficient history0.0%OTM (-1.7%)

OPTIONS_SELECTION_M9_V1 selected contracts only · provider capability DELAYED · delayed · Top 15 selected contracts by session volume; 5D/20D averages use strictly prior sessions (M10), INSUFFICIENT_HISTORY is shown, never zero.

M13 observations for this session
  • Technical setup present (PRE_BREAKOUT_V1): TRUE
  • Technical and options context share a session: TRUE
  • Activity above its own 20-session baseline: TRUE
  • Activity below its own 20-session baseline: FALSE
  • Recent 5-session baseline above 20-session baseline: FALSE
  • Recent 5-session baseline below 20-session baseline: FALSE
  • Volume concentrated in top 3 contracts: TRUE
  • Volume concentrated in one expiration: TRUE
  • Calls carry most session volume: TRUE
  • Puts carry most session volume: FALSE
  • Call and put volume roughly balanced: FALSE
  • Enrichment data (snapshot/OI/IV/Greeks) available: FALSE
  • Enrichment data unavailable: TRUE
  • Real flow data unavailable: TRUE
  • Flow events present in replay window: NOT_EVALUABLE

Flow

Flow events—
Clusters—
Sweep candidates—
Block candidates—
Aggressor candidates—
Premium coverage—

Flow engine is ready. Trades and Quotes are not available with the current provider capabilities; this area populates automatically from the same M11 engine when real persisted facts exist. Synthetic fixture flow is never shown.

Evidence alerts

4 · ALERT_POLICY_V1
CategoryAlertPreviousCurrentSessionsWorkflowActions
NewNew technical setup (PRE_BREAKOUT_V1 appeared)noyes2026-10-01 → 2026-10-02New
ChangedDistance to resistance narrowed3.32.12026-10-01 → 2026-10-02New
ChangedOptions activity vs 20D baseline rose0.673.092026-10-01 → 2026-10-02New
ChangedCall / put volume mix changed0.850.732026-10-01 → 2026-10-02New

Decision trace

PRE_BREAKOUT_SWING_V1_1 · generated 2026-10-04 16:39 UTC · strategy 073b221a9cd0…
  1. setup_eligiblePASSPRE_BREAKOUT_V1 on 2026-10-02: all 8 hard conditions passresistance=326.2125 · close=319.36 · distance_pct=2.1006245928650693
  2. trigger_statePASSNOT_TRIGGERED; trigger 326.54 is 1.10 ATR above the close (beyond 1 ATR)trigger_price=326.54 · distance_to_trigger_atr=1.1 | threshold near_trigger_atr=1
  3. data_freshnessPASS0 completed session(s) behind the calendarsessions_behind=0 | threshold max_sessions_behind=1
  4. price_gatePASSclose 319.36 at or above the 10 floorclose=319.36 | threshold min_price=10
  5. market_cap_gatePASSmarket cap 70.99B (finnhub, 2026-10-02)market_cap_usd=70994474401.08 | threshold min_market_cap_usd=1000000000
  6. liquidity_gatePASSADV20 520.8M (STRONG_LIQUIDITY)adv_dollar=520801217.73 · strong_liquidity=true | threshold min_adv_dollar=25000000, strong_adv_dollar=50000000
  7. sector_gatePASSsector Consumer Cyclical (finnhub_industry)
  8. market_regime_gatePASSregime RISK_ONregime=RISK_ON · risk_multiplier=1
  9. event_risk_gatePASSearnings in 16 sessions (2026-10-27)earnings_sessions_away=16 | threshold earnings_block_sessions=5
  10. news_gatePASSnews context NEGATIVE
  11. chase_gatePASS0.76 ATR above EMA20, session move 0.60 ATRextension_atr=0.76 | threshold breakout_max_extension_atr=2
  12. risk_rewardPASSreward/risk 2.81 to target 1 (strong), 4.71 to target 2reward_risk_1=2.81 · reward_risk_2=4.71 | threshold min_reward_risk_1=2
  13. portfolio_gatePASS1 shares (327), bound by max position valueshares=1 · risk_amount=6.86 · regime_multiplier=1 · share_increment=1
  14. data_qualityPASScurrent session data, valid technical snapshot, trigger and ATR; critical facts known
  15. finalPASSARMED

Snapshot history: 2026-10-02 ARMED · 2026-09-30 ARMED

Actions are generated from the configured trading strategy and current available market/intelligence data. They are not guarantees of future performance.