ANET
- Trade priority
- #8 · 79.6
- Data coverage
- 100%
- Setup
- pre breakout · 2026-10-02
- News
- mixed
- Next catalyst
- Earnings in 20 sessions
Trade plan
- Action
- WAITblocked: uncertain event
- Trigger
- 212.07break above resistance · 2.3% / 0.69 ATR away
- Entry zone
- 212.07–215.50reference 212.07
- Initial stop
- 204.863.4% · risk 7.21/sh
- Target 1
- 232.31+9.5% · R:R 2.81 (strong)
- Target 2
- 246.03+16.0% · R:R 4.71
- Risk per share
- 7.21strategy-owned; the portfolio panel sizes it per profile
- Invalidation
- 204.86a close below 1 ATR under the level invalidates the setup before entry
Level 211.73 (PRE_BREAKOUT_V1 selected resistance); ATR14 6.86 on 2026-10-02. Stop: 1 ATR below the breakout level 211.72. Targets: ATR projections 3 / 5 ATR above the level. R:R quality strong to T1 (hard minimum 2.0; 3R would be 233.70, T2 supports 4.71R). Targets are structural and are never moved to reach an R multiple.
Record the fill after you enter: add position. The strategy then manages the stop, targets and the next action.
Your portfolio · San
- Profile
- Sanequity 2,000.00 USD · whole shares
- Current holding
- noneno open position in this profile
- Recommended quantity
- 1 sh212.07 · 10.6% of portfolio · bound by risk budget
- Risk budget
- 10.000.5% of 2,000.00 · planned risk 7.21
- Portfolio risk
- 0.00 openremaining 40.00 → 32.79 after
- Exposure
- 0 / 3 positionsTechnology: 0 / 2 · 0.00 of 1,000.00 cap
- Cash impact
- 2,000.00 → 1,787.93derived from the ledger
- Eligibility
- WAITsame as the strategy view
Entry, stop, targets and R:R are strategy-owned and identical for every profile; only this portfolio's quantity, risk, exposure and cash differ. Manage profiles · record a fill
Quality gates
| Gate | Verdict | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Data freshness | PASS | 0 completed session(s) behind the calendar |
| Price | PASS | close 207.35 at or above the 10 floor |
| Market cap | PASS | market cap 257.91B (finnhub, 2026-10-02) |
| Liquidity | PASS | ADV20 956.0M (STRONG_LIQUIDITY) |
| Sector | PASS | sector Technology (finnhub_industry) |
| Regime | PASS | regime RISK_ON |
| Earnings | PASS | earnings in 20 sessions (2026-11-02) |
| News / event risk | FAIL | HIGH-materiality event with unknown direction · uncertain event |
| Chase protection | PASS | 0.94 ATR above EMA20, session move 0.42 ATR |
| R:R | PASS | reward/risk 2.81 to target 1 (strong), 4.71 to target 2 |
| Portfolio capacity | PASS | 1 shares (212), bound by risk budget |
| Data quality | PASS | current session data, valid technical snapshot, trigger and ATR; critical facts known |
Primary blocker: uncertain event
Why this action
Technical
- 2.3% below the trigger 212.07 (resistance 211.73)
- RS20 positive vs SPY and QQQ (+8.8% / +3.9%)
- EMA20 extension 0.94 ATR
- RSI14 60.2 inside the 50-70 band
- stop 204.86: 1 ATR below the breakout level 211.72
- a high-materiality event with unknown direction converts the entry to WAIT
- RS20 vs SPY 8.8%, vs QQQ 3.9%
Options
- volume 3.22× the 20D baseline (neither) · selected contracts only, delayed
News and events
- news context mixed (29 canonical items in window)
- high-materiality item with unknown direction
- earnings 2026-11-02 (20 sessions, finnhub); event risk low
- guidance · high · unknown: Outsized Earnings and Guidance Send Arista Networks Shares Upward
- other · low · unknown: 2 AI Networking Stocks That Could Help Make You a Fortune
- other · low · positive: Arista Stocks Rise Higher as Bernstein Sees 23% Ethernet Upside
- analyst · low · neutral: Ciena Climbs 6% After a Week of Bullish Analyst Calls; Arista Ticks Up, Cisco Holds Steady
Market and risk
- regime RISK ON: SPY: trend UP, volatility NORMAL; QQQ: trend UP, volatility NORMAL
- gate uncertain event blocks a new entry
Chart
Indicator history is derived from the stored bars with the accepted M3 functions (WORKSTATION_SERIES_V1); the scanner’s persisted values remain authoritative. Reconciliation at the scan session: 8 match.
Trade priority
Rank #8 · priority 79.6 / 100 · coverage 100%
- technical readiness24/30
- structure quality6/10
- relative strength15/15
- participation10/10
- risk reward11/15
- news context4/10
- event risk5/5
- urgency5/5
operational attention priority not a return forecast. Missing inputs lower coverage, never the score.
Setup evidence · PRE_BREAKOUT_V1
- Setup state
- PRE_BREAKOUT
- Resistance
- 211.73
- Distance
- 2.07%
- Close
- 207.35
- SMA50
- 193.42
- SMA150 / SMA200
- 167.31 / 158.92
- RSI14
- 60.2
- EMA20 extension
- 0.94 ATR
- RS20 vs SPY
- +8.8%
- RS20 vs QQQ
- +3.9%
Hard requirements · 8/8 passed
- PASSConfirmed resistanceresistance=211.725 exists eligible=true
- PASSDistance to resistancedistance_pct=2.0664 · resistance=211.725 · close=207.35 inclusive_between min=0 · max=3
- PASSClose above SMA50close=207.35 · sma50=193.4168 > right_operand=sma50
- PASSSMA150 ≥ SMA200sma150=167.3094 · sma200=158.918 >= right_operand=sma200
- PASSRSI14 bandrsi14=60.177 inclusive_between min=50 · max=70
- PASSEMA20 extension (ATR)extension_atr=0.9441 · close=207.35 · ema20=200.8736 · atr14=6.8601 <= max=1.5
- PASSRS20 vs SPY or QQQSPY=0.0877 · QQQ=0.0386 OR > SPY=0 · QQQ=0
- PASSResistance qualitydistinct_touches=2 policy_and_minimum_touches min=2
Supporting evidence · 5/6 passed
- PASSATR compressioncurrent_atr_pct=0.0331 · median_previous_60_atr_pct=0.0513 · ratio=0.6449 < right_operand=median_previous_60_atr_pct
- FAILVolume contractionrecent_volume=4,238,064.0806 · baseline_volume=4,773,978.5251 · ratio=0.8877 < max=0.85
- PASSHigher lowslow_1=181.27 · low_2=186.11 · low_3=198.7573 low_3 > low_2 > low_1 required_pivots=3
- PASSFull MA alignmentsma50=193.4168 · sma150=167.3094 · sma200=158.918 sma50 > sma150 > sma200
- PASSRS20 vs SPY positiveSPY=0.0877 > min=0
- PASSRS20 vs QQQ positiveQQQ=0.0386 > min=0
PRE_BREAKOUT_V1 · scan run 410 · session 2026-10-02 · evaluated as of 2026-10-04T13:22:30.123326Z. Supporting evidence never changes the trigger; UNKNOWN is never collapsed into false.
Intelligence timeline
- 2026-10-0214:57 UTCArista Networks, Inc. (ANET) rises 4,001% since 2015’s first institutional outlier inflow.
- 2026-10-0212:27 UTCThe market for data center connectivity systems is still growing rapidly, and Arista and Broadcom sit at the center of the boom.
- 2026-10-0200:00 UTCThe $250 target assumes open networking captures more AI traffic without sacrificing pricing or margins.
- 2026-10-0115:57 UTCBullish analyst calls piled up all week on one optical networking name, and now the stock is surging while its closest peers barely budge. Here is what the sell-side sees that the market is only starting to price in.
- 2026-10-0102:08 UTCArista Networks has seen its stock climb sharply in recent years, and that kind of move naturally raises a question for investors who care about cash generation. With the price now reflecting a long run of optimism, the issue is whether the business is producing the cash flows that can support today’s valuation. Over the past 5 years, Arista Networks has delivered a very large share price gain tha
- 2026-09-3013:55 UTCArista Networks (ANET) stock costs 63.2 times earnings, against 21.9 for the S&P 500. You can be paid now to agree to buy the shares at a much lower price. So how much income can you earn this way, and would you be glad to own Arista at that price.
- 2026-09-3006:42 UTCBernstein analyst Daniel Zhu initiates coverage on Arista Networks (NYSE:ANET) with a Outperform rating and announces Price Target of $250.
- 2026-09-2923:04 UTC
- 2026-09-2921:41 UTCArista Networks (ANET) stock trades at 58.3 times its last twelve months of adjusted earnings, which add back stock-based pay after tax. That is a high price for one year of profit, and it is why the stock looks expensive. The picture changes against the profit forecast for this year and next. Here is that same share price, set against the profit Arista is forecast to earn in fiscal 2026 and fisca
- 2026-09-2920:45 UTCArista Networks (ANET) reached $202.86 at the closing of the latest trading day, reflecting a -1.01% change compared to its last close.
- 2026-09-2913:30 UTCOne just posted revenue growth of 38%; the other generates robust free cash flow and pays a dividend.
- 2026-09-2909:49 UTCArista Networks, Inc. is pivotal in AI infrastructure, supplying high-speed networking gear that connects GPUs. Read more on ANET stock here.
- 2026-09-2820:20 UTCArista Networks, Inc (NYSE:ANET) is benefiting from a part of the AI boom that gets considerably less attention than accelerators. As AI data centers become larger and more complicated, moving data between thousands of accelerators is becoming just as important as the accelerators themselves. That is putting networking companies like Arista increasingly in the spotlight. […]
- 2026-09-2815:34 UTCArista Stock: The AI stock leader is approaching a new buy point despite Monday's market weakness. Its RS line hit a new high last week.
- 2026-09-2814:47 UTCKey Stats for Arista Networks StockCurrent Price: $206. 55Target Price (Mid): ~$428Street Target: ~$242Potential Total Return: ~107%Annualized IRR: ~19% / yearWhat Happened?Arista Networks (ANET) closed at $206.
- 2026-09-2520:07 UTC
- 2026-09-2323:05 UTC
- 2026-09-2123:06 UTC
- 2026-09-1721:29 UTC
- 2026-09-1423:05 UTC
- 2026-09-1023:47 UTC
- 2026-09-0820:29 UTC
- 2026-09-0322:56 UTC
- 2026-08-3122:45 UTC
- 2026-08-2721:17 UTC
- 2026-08-2422:11 UTC
- 2026-08-2120:43 UTC
- hidden11 provider-tagged items never name the company and are kept as context only.
canonical items of the last 10 sessions; analyst/industry/macro commentary and social sources excluded from the direction tally; gating uses tier 1-3 HIGH items within 3 (negative) / 2 (unknown direction) sessions
Catalysts and filings
| Event | Date | In | Materiality | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings (after the close) | 2026-11-02 | 20 sessions | high | finnhub · Tier 3 · provider |
Options activity
- Session volume
- 4,174
- 5D baseline
- 1,562
- 20D baseline
- 1,295
- Volume / 20D
- 3.22x
- Call / put volume
- 3,204 / 970
- Call / put ratio
- 3.3
- Top-3 contract share
- 52%
- Top expiration
- 2026-10-09 81%
Activity trend · last 25 sessions
| Session | Volume | 5D | 20D | / 20D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | 969 | 1,837 | 1,054 | 0.92x |
| 2026-09-29 | 1,434 | 1,553 | 1,093 | 1.31x |
| 2026-09-30 | 1,281 | 1,489 | 1,134 | 1.13x |
| 2026-10-01 | 2,390 | 1,557 | 1,184 | 2.02x |
| 2026-10-02 | 4,174 | 1,562 | 1,295 | 3.22x |
Call vs put volume
Expiration concentration
Contract concentration
Top contracts · session 2026-10-02
| Contract | Type | Strike | Expiration | DTE | Volume | 5D avg | 20D avg | / 20D | Return | Moneyness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O:ANET261009C00217500 | CALL | 217.5 | 2026-10-09 | 7 | 1,054 | 22 | insufficient history | insufficient history | -25.1% | OTM (-4.7%) |
| O:ANET261009C00215000 | CALL | 215 | 2026-10-09 | 7 | 786 | 39 | 20 | 39.10x | -31.7% | OTM (-3.6%) |
| O:ANET261009C00210000 | CALL | 210 | 2026-10-09 | 7 | 337 | 34 | 64 | 5.30x | -19.9% | OTM (-1.3%) |
| O:ANET261009C00205000 | CALL | 205 | 2026-10-09 | 7 | 291 | 25 | 39 | 7.50x | -12.3% | ITM (1.1%) |
| O:ANET261016P00205000 | PUT | 205 | 2026-10-16 | 14 | 173 | 43 | insufficient history | insufficient history | -0.7% | OTM (1.1%) |
| O:ANET261016C00200000 | CALL | 200 | 2026-10-16 | 14 | 165 | 71 | 173 | 0.95x | -3.5% | ITM (3.7%) |
| O:ANET261009P00200000 | PUT | 200 | 2026-10-09 | 7 | 156 | 38 | insufficient history | insufficient history | -8.7% | OTM (3.7%) |
| O:ANET261009P00197500 | PUT | 197.5 | 2026-10-09 | 7 | 132 | 23 | insufficient history | insufficient history | -14.9% | OTM (5.0%) |
| O:ANET261016C00210000 | CALL | 210 | 2026-10-16 | 14 | 126 | 346 | 333 | 0.38x | -7.3% | OTM (-1.3%) |
| O:ANET261009P00205000 | PUT | 205 | 2026-10-09 | 7 | 104 | 47 | insufficient history | insufficient history | -18.2% | OTM (1.1%) |
| O:ANET261009C00212500 | CALL | 212.5 | 2026-10-09 | 7 | 99 | 63 | insufficient history | insufficient history | 17.4% | OTM (-2.4%) |
| O:ANET261009P00195000 | PUT | 195 | 2026-10-09 | 7 | 87 | 67 | insufficient history | insufficient history | -8.3% | OTM (6.3%) |
| O:ANET261009P00202500 | PUT | 202.5 | 2026-10-09 | 7 | 86 | 15 | insufficient history | insufficient history | 41.2% | OTM (2.4%) |
| O:ANET261009C00207500 | CALL | 207.5 | 2026-10-09 | 7 | 84 | 37 | insufficient history | insufficient history | -14.5% | ATM (-0.1%) |
| O:ANET261009P00210000 | PUT | 210 | 2026-10-09 | 7 | 78 | 13 | insufficient history | insufficient history | 3.6% | ITM (-1.3%) |
OPTIONS_SELECTION_M9_V1 selected contracts only · provider capability DELAYED · delayed · Top 15 selected contracts by session volume; 5D/20D averages use strictly prior sessions (M10), INSUFFICIENT_HISTORY is shown, never zero.
M13 observations for this session
- Technical setup present (PRE_BREAKOUT_V1): TRUE
- Technical and options context share a session: TRUE
- Activity above its own 20-session baseline: TRUE
- Activity below its own 20-session baseline: FALSE
- Recent 5-session baseline above 20-session baseline: FALSE
- Recent 5-session baseline below 20-session baseline: FALSE
- Volume concentrated in top 3 contracts: TRUE
- Volume concentrated in one expiration: TRUE
- Calls carry most session volume: TRUE
- Puts carry most session volume: FALSE
- Call and put volume roughly balanced: FALSE
- Enrichment data (snapshot/OI/IV/Greeks) available: FALSE
- Enrichment data unavailable: TRUE
- Real flow data unavailable: TRUE
- Flow events present in replay window: NOT_EVALUABLE
Flow
Flow engine is ready. Trades and Quotes are not available with the current provider capabilities; this area populates automatically from the same M11 engine when real persisted facts exist. Synthetic fixture flow is never shown.
Evidence alerts
| Category | Alert | Previous | Current | Sessions | Workflow | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New | New technical setup (PRE_BREAKOUT_V1 appeared) | no | yes | 2026-10-01 → 2026-10-02 | New | |
| Changed | Distance to resistance narrowed | 3.42 | 2.07 | 2026-10-01 → 2026-10-02 | New | |
| Changed | Options activity vs 20D baseline rose | 2.02 | 3.22 | 2026-10-01 → 2026-10-02 | New |
Decision trace
- setup_eligiblePASSPRE_BREAKOUT_V1 on 2026-10-02: all 8 hard conditions passresistance=211.725 · close=207.35 · distance_pct=2.066359664659346
- trigger_statePASSNOT_TRIGGERED; trigger 212.07 is 0.69 ATR above the close (within 1 ATR)trigger_price=212.07 · distance_to_trigger_atr=0.69 | threshold near_trigger_atr=1
- data_freshnessPASS0 completed session(s) behind the calendarsessions_behind=0 | threshold max_sessions_behind=1
- price_gatePASSclose 207.35 at or above the 10 floorclose=207.35 | threshold min_price=10
- market_cap_gatePASSmarket cap 257.91B (finnhub, 2026-10-02)market_cap_usd=257907815732.02 | threshold min_market_cap_usd=1000000000
- liquidity_gatePASSADV20 956.0M (STRONG_LIQUIDITY)adv_dollar=956015229.44 · strong_liquidity=true | threshold min_adv_dollar=25000000, strong_adv_dollar=50000000
- sector_gatePASSsector Technology (finnhub_industry)
- market_regime_gatePASSregime RISK_ONregime=RISK_ON · risk_multiplier=1
- event_risk_gatePASSearnings in 20 sessions (2026-11-02)earnings_sessions_away=20 | threshold earnings_block_sessions=5
- news_gateFAILHIGH-materiality event with unknown direction
- chase_gatePASS0.94 ATR above EMA20, session move 0.42 ATRextension_atr=0.94 | threshold breakout_max_extension_atr=2
- risk_rewardPASSreward/risk 2.81 to target 1 (strong), 4.71 to target 2reward_risk_1=2.81 · reward_risk_2=4.71 | threshold min_reward_risk_1=2
- portfolio_gatePASS1 shares (212), bound by risk budgetshares=1 · risk_amount=7.21 · regime_multiplier=1 · share_increment=1
- data_qualityPASScurrent session data, valid technical snapshot, trigger and ATR; critical facts known
- finalPASSWAIT (blocked by MATERIAL_UNCERTAINTY; primary MATERIAL_UNCERTAINTY)
Snapshot history: 2026-10-02 WAIT
Actions are generated from the configured trading strategy and current available market/intelligence data. They are not guarantees of future performance.