ETN
- Trade priority
- #11 · 71
- Data coverage
- 100%
- Setup
- no setup · 2026-10-02
- News
- positive w/ risks
- Next catalyst
- Earnings in 20 sessions
Trade plan
- Action
- WAITblocked: reward/risk, portfolio limit
- Trigger
- 431.99close above resistance confirmed · close 0.9% / 0.29 ATR above the trigger
- Entry zone
- 431.30–438.28reference 436.11
- Initial stop
- 417.324.3% · risk 18.79/sh
- Target 1
- 473.21+8.5% · R:R 1.97 (below minimum)
- Target 2
- 501.16+14.9% · R:R 3.46
- Risk per share
- 18.79strategy-owned; the portfolio panel sizes it per profile
- Invalidation
- 417.32a close below 1 ATR under the level invalidates the setup before entry
Level 431.30 (resistance of the PRE_BREAKOUT on 2026-09-30); ATR14 13.97 on 2026-10-02. Stop: 1 ATR below the breakout level 431.29. Targets: ATR projections 3 / 5 ATR above the level. R:R quality below minimum to T1 (hard minimum 2.0; 3R would be 492.48, T2 supports 3.46R). Targets are structural and are never moved to reach an R multiple.
Record the fill after you enter: add position. The strategy then manages the stop, targets and the next action.
Your portfolio · San
- Profile
- Sanequity 2,000.00 USD · whole shares
- Current holding
- noneno open position in this profile
- Recommended quantity
- too large for this portfolioone 1-share increment at 436.11 exceeds the risk budget (0.5322 shares allowed)
- Risk budget
- 10.000.5% of 2,000.00
- Portfolio risk
- 0.00 openremaining 40.00
- Exposure
- 0 / 3 positionsIndustrials: 0 / 2 · 0.00 of 1,000.00 cap
- Cash impact
- 2,000.00derived from the ledger
- Eligibility
- WAITsame as the strategy view
Entry, stop, targets and R:R are strategy-owned and identical for every profile; only this portfolio's quantity, risk, exposure and cash differ. Manage profiles · record a fill
Quality gates
| Gate | Verdict | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Data freshness | PASS | 0 completed session(s) behind the calendar |
| Price | PASS | close 436.11 at or above the 10 floor |
| Market cap | PASS | market cap 169.84B (finnhub, 2026-10-02) |
| Liquidity | PASS | ADV20 891.4M (STRONG_LIQUIDITY) |
| Sector | PASS | sector Industrials (finnhub_industry) |
| Regime | PASS | regime RISK_ON |
| Earnings | PASS | earnings in 20 sessions (2026-11-02) |
| News / event risk | PASS | news context POSITIVE_WITH_RISKS |
| Chase protection | PASS | 0.67 ATR above EMA20, session move -0.08 ATR |
| R:R | FAIL | reward/risk to target 1 is 1.97 (below minimum) · reward/risk |
| Portfolio capacity | FAIL | 0 shares: one 1-share increment exceeds the risk budget of this portfolio (POSITION_TOO_LARGE_FOR_PROFILE) · portfolio limit |
| Data quality | PASS | current session data, valid technical snapshot, trigger and ATR; critical facts known |
Primary blocker: reward/risk · also portfolio limit
Why this action
Technical
- breakout confirmed: close 436.11 above resistance 431.29 on 2026-10-01; entry reference is the last close (next open is the execution assumption)
- stop 417.32: 1 ATR below the breakout level 431.29
- reward/risk 1.97 to target 1 is below the 2 minimum; the target is structural and is not moved
- the position is too large for this portfolio profile (RISK_BUDGET); the strategy setup itself is unchanged
- RS20 vs SPY 10.3%, vs QQQ 5.4%
Options
- volume 0.45× the 20D baseline (neither) · selected contracts only, delayed
News and events
- news context positive w/ risks (39 canonical items in window)
- earnings 2026-11-02 (20 sessions, finnhub); event risk low
- guidance · high · positive: Eaton Analyst Sees Strong Orders, Raises 2027 EPS Forecast
- m and a · high · unknown: Eaton to acquire COL Group for $923m
- m and a · high · positive: Eaton To Acquire COL Group From Oaktree At An EV Of €810M To Expand Manufacturing Capacity
- other · low · positive: Eaton (ETN) Expands Austria Plant As Electrification Demand Keeps Its Valuation In Focus
Market and risk
- regime RISK ON: SPY: trend UP, volatility NORMAL; QQQ: trend UP, volatility NORMAL
- gate reward/risk blocks a new entry
- gate portfolio limit blocks a new entry
- news context positive with risks
Chart
Indicator history is derived from the stored bars with the accepted M3 functions (WORKSTATION_SERIES_V1); the scanner’s persisted values remain authoritative. Reconciliation at the scan session: 8 match.
Trade priority
Rank #11 · priority 71 / 100 · coverage 100%
- technical readiness27/30
- structure quality6/10
- relative strength15/15
- participation4/10
- risk reward3/15
- news context6/10
- event risk5/5
- urgency5/5
operational attention priority not a return forecast. Missing inputs lower coverage, never the score.
Setup evidence · PRE_BREAKOUT_V1
- Setup state
- NO_SETUP
- Resistance
- 436.09
- Distance
- -0.01%
- Close
- 436.11
- SMA50
- 421.93
- SMA150 / SMA200
- 403.18 / 389.12
- RSI14
- 56.3
- EMA20 extension
- 0.67 ATR
- RS20 vs SPY
- +10.3%
- RS20 vs QQQ
- +5.4%
Hard requirements · 7/8 passed
- PASSConfirmed resistanceresistance=436.085 exists eligible=true
- FAILDistance to resistancedistance_pct=-0.0057 · resistance=436.085 · close=436.11 inclusive_between min=0 · max=3
- PASSClose above SMA50close=436.11 · sma50=421.9294 > right_operand=sma50
- PASSSMA150 ≥ SMA200sma150=403.1828 · sma200=389.1159 >= right_operand=sma200
- PASSRSI14 bandrsi14=56.2803 inclusive_between min=50 · max=70
- PASSEMA20 extension (ATR)extension_atr=0.6661 · close=436.11 · ema20=426.8008 · atr14=13.9753 <= max=1.5
- PASSRS20 vs SPY or QQQSPY=0.1027 · QQQ=0.0537 OR > SPY=0 · QQQ=0
- PASSResistance qualitydistinct_touches=2 policy_and_minimum_touches min=2
Supporting evidence · 5/6 passed
- PASSATR compressioncurrent_atr_pct=0.032 · median_previous_60_atr_pct=0.0387 · ratio=0.8283 < right_operand=median_previous_60_atr_pct
- FAILVolume contractionrecent_volume=1,977,657.8681 · baseline_volume=2,076,559.1379 · ratio=0.9524 < max=0.85
- PASSHigher lowslow_1=384.7701 · low_2=387 · low_3=423.83 low_3 > low_2 > low_1 required_pivots=3
- PASSFull MA alignmentsma50=421.9294 · sma150=403.1828 · sma200=389.1159 sma50 > sma150 > sma200
- PASSRS20 vs SPY positiveSPY=0.1027 > min=0
- PASSRS20 vs QQQ positiveQQQ=0.0537 > min=0
PRE_BREAKOUT_V1 · scan run 412 · session 2026-10-02 · evaluated as of 2026-10-04T13:22:43.415154Z. Supporting evidence never changes the trigger; UNKNOWN is never collapsed into false.
Intelligence timeline
- 2026-10-0304:15 UTCEaton (ETN) is expanding its Schrems, Austria manufacturing facility by 5,000 m², linking the stock story to rising European demand for power management as electrification and digitalisation reshape regional infrastructure needs. Recent trading around Eaton reflects that backdrop. The share price has eased slightly over the past week but still sits at US$436.11 after a 30 day share price return of
- 2026-10-0220:10 UTCIn October 2026, Eaton completed an expansion of its Schrems, Austria manufacturing facility, adding 5,000 m² of automated capacity and advanced digital systems to support rising European demand for power management and electrical protection solutions linked to electrification and digitalisation. The upgraded site, which now offers end-to-end product traceability and integrated quality systems, is
- 2026-10-0217:55 UTCEaton Corporation (NYSE:ETN) CEO Paulo Ruiz said in a conference on September 16 that the company had a very strong July and August and expects third-quarter results toward the high end of its guidance. Bank of America Securities analyst Andrew Obin expects Eaton to meet elevated expectations as electrical demand remains strong, with channel checks showing good visibility and pricing in U.S. elect
- 2026-10-0202:05 UTCEaton (NYSE:ETN) announced a major portfolio reshaping that includes acquiring Boyd Thermal and separating its Mobility business. The Mobility segment is planned to be carved out and merged with Dana Incorporated, creating a new combined vehicle systems entity. Eaton shareholders are expected to retain a controlling ownership stake in the merged Mobility and Dana business after completion. The Boy
- 2026-10-0120:45 UTCEaton (ETN) concluded the recent trading session at $437.28, signifying a +1.76% move from its prior day's close.
- 2026-10-0119:00 UTCEaton's revenue rose 21.4% from a year earlier in the second quarter of 2026. The stock costs 43.6 times the past year's earnings, against 21.7 for the S&P 500. At that price, you are paying for profit to keep growing, so anything that slows profit matters more than usual. Management named one such problem on its last earnings call. So what is the biggest threat to Eaton (ETN) stock.
- 2026-10-0112:00 UTCRecently, Zacks.com users have been paying close attention to Eaton (ETN). This makes it worthwhile to examine what the stock has in store.
- 2026-10-0107:00 UTCDUBLIN, October 01, 2026--Eaton will celebrate the expansion of its manufacturing facility in Schrems, Austria, on 1 October 2026. The expansion supports growing demand driven by electrification and digitalisation across Europe while increasing regional manufacturing capacity for electrical protection and power management solutions. Completed in less than ten months, the expansion combines fully a
- 2026-10-0103:47 UTCIncreased capacity supports growing demand from electrification and critical infrastructure marketsNew fully automated miniature circuit breaker production and expanded low-voltage systems assembly capacity in
- 2026-09-3016:24 UTCEaton targets durable growth from data centers, grid modernization and aerospace, backed by acquisitions, capacity expansion and a strong backlog.
- 2026-09-3012:39 UTCSWORDS, Ireland, September 30, 2026--Trane Technologies (NYSE: TT), a global climate innovator, today announced the successful laboratory demonstration of the industry’s first 800-volt direct current (800 VDC) cooling architecture designed to support the mission-critical energy and thermal demands of next-generation AI factories and gigawatt-scale data centers. First validated on a high-efficiency
- 2026-09-3008:43 UTCTrane Technologies (NYSE:TT), a global climate innovator, today announced the successful laboratory demonstration of the industry’s first 800-volt direct current (800 VDC) cooling architecture designed to support the
- 2026-09-2900:15 UTCOn September 25, Eaton Corporation plc (NYSE:ETN) announced an agreement to acquire Italy-based COL Group from Oaktree’s Power Opportunities strategy for an enterprise value of €810 million. COL Group specializes in medium-voltage electrical power distribution solutions, including SF6-free switchgear, grid automation technologies, and modular power systems. Operating four Italian manufacturing fac
- 2026-09-2820:50 UTCIn the most recent trading session, Eaton (ETN) closed at $431.41, indicating a -1.95% shift from the previous trading day.
- 2026-09-2820:11 UTCAs data centers become larger and more power-hungry, companies need far more than servers and chips. They need equipment to deliver electricity, manage heat, and keep everything running reliably. That has put Vertiv Holdings Co (NYSE:VRT) and Eaton Corporation plc (NYSE:ETN) in an interesting position. Both companies are benefiting from the same underlying trend, but […]
- 2026-09-2816:07 UTCETN's acquisitions expand its reach in AI data centers, power distribution and aerospace while adding sales and supporting long-term growth trends.
- 2026-09-2808:21 UTCThe deal aims to strengthen Eaton's manufacturing and power distribution presence in EMEA, with a focus on data centres and utilities.
- 2026-09-2519:13 UTCEaton (ETN) agreed to acquire COL Group from Oaktree for an enterprise value of 810 million euros ($
- 2026-09-2513:00 UTCEaton Corporation plc (NYSE:ETN) is expanding its European power-distribution business through the acquisition of COL Group, adding medium-voltage technology and manufacturing capacity to serve growing data center and utility demand. Eaton agreed to acquire COL Group from Oaktree’s Power Opportunities strategy for an enterprise value of 810 million euros (~$921.32 million). With COL Group forecast
- 2026-09-2509:17 UTCWells Fargo analyst Stephen Tusa initiates coverage on Eaton Corp (NYSE:ETN) with a Overweight rating and announces Price Target of $503.
- 2026-09-2508:42 UTCEnerSys benefits from data center, communications and defense demand as manufacturing electronics gains from advanced technology and e-commerce.
- 2026-09-2506:48 UTCThe acquisition will expand Eaton's European power distribution capabilities and manufacturing footprint, enhancing its ability to support growing customer demand across data center and utility markets."COL
- 2026-09-2503:11 UTCEaton has delivered a powerful share price run in recent years, which naturally raises a question for anyone looking at the stock today. Are investors now paying a price that is fully supported by the cash the business is expected to generate over time, or has enthusiasm moved ahead of those cash flows? Over the past 5 years, Eaton has returned 218.4%, which puts real weight on whether the current
- 2026-09-2500:48 UTCEaton's net margin is the number a holder should watch now. That margin, the share of each sales dollar kept as profit, was 12.8% over the last twelve months. It has been shrinking. Yet the stock's price relative to earnings is in the top tenth of its ten-year range. At that level, the price likely assumes profits will widen. Is the squeeze on Eaton's margin a passing one.
- 2026-09-2420:30 UTCOn September 2, Eaton Corporation plc (NYSE:ETN) announced a $242 million investment to expand its U.S. manufacturing footprint with a 1-million-square-foot facility in North Little Rock, Arkansas. The plant is expected to double Eaton’s manufacturing capacity for customized electrical enclosures from its Fibrebond business, addressing surging demand across data center, utility, industrial, and di
- 2026-09-2413:17 UTCThe Zacks Manufacturing - Electronics industry gains from solid momentum in the manufacturing sector and strength across major end markets. ETN, EMR, AOS and ENS are some notable stocks in the industry.
- 2026-09-0400:31 UTC
- hidden13 provider-tagged items never name the company and are kept as context only.
canonical items of the last 10 sessions; analyst/industry/macro commentary and social sources excluded from the direction tally; gating uses tier 1-3 HIGH items within 3 (negative) / 2 (unknown direction) sessions
Catalysts and filings
| Event | Date | In | Materiality | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings (before the open) | 2026-11-02 | 20 sessions | high | finnhub · Tier 3 · provider |
Options activity
- Session volume
- 149
- 5D baseline
- 301
- 20D baseline
- 331
- Volume / 20D
- 0.45x
- Call / put volume
- 105 / 44
- Call / put ratio
- 2.39
- Top-3 contract share
- 64%
- Top expiration
- 2026-10-16 83%
Activity trend · last 32 sessions
| Session | Volume | 5D | 20D | / 20D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | 230 | 259 | 277 | 0.83x |
| 2026-09-25 | 332 | 249 | 286 | 1.16x |
| 2026-09-28 | 310 | 278 | 298 | 1.04x |
| 2026-09-29 | 429 | 261 | 312 | 1.38x |
| 2026-09-30 | 149 | 301 | 331 | 0.45x |
Call vs put volume
Expiration concentration
Contract concentration
Top contracts · session 2026-09-30
| Contract | Type | Strike | Expiration | DTE | Volume | 5D avg | 20D avg | / 20D | Return | Moneyness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O:ETN261016C00430000 | CALL | 430 | 2026-10-16 | 16 | 64 | 26 | 27 | 2.37x | 2.4% | ATM (-0.1%) |
| O:ETN261009P00432500 | PUT | 432.5 | 2026-10-09 | 9 | 16 | insufficient history | insufficient history | insufficient history | -20.9% | ITM (-0.6%) |
| O:ETN261016P00430000 | PUT | 430 | 2026-10-16 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 2.11x | -7.0% | ATM (-0.1%) |
| O:ETN261016C00440000 | CALL | 440 | 2026-10-16 | 16 | 13 | 33 | 28 | 0.46x | -1.9% | OTM (-2.3%) |
| O:ETN261016C00432500 | CALL | 432.5 | 2026-10-16 | 16 | 11 | insufficient history | insufficient history | insufficient history | -6.7% | OTM (-0.6%) |
| O:ETN261016C00420000 | CALL | 420 | 2026-10-16 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 24 | 0.42x | 0.0% | ITM (2.3%) |
| O:ETN261016P00432500 | PUT | 432.5 | 2026-10-16 | 16 | 8 | insufficient history | insufficient history | insufficient history | -5.1% | ITM (-0.6%) |
| O:ETN261009C00430000 | CALL | 430 | 2026-10-09 | 9 | 5 | 5 | insufficient history | insufficient history | 0.0% | ATM (-0.1%) |
| O:ETN261009C00417500 | CALL | 417.5 | 2026-10-09 | 9 | 1 | insufficient history | insufficient history | insufficient history | 0.0% | ITM (2.9%) |
| O:ETN261009C00420000 | CALL | 420 | 2026-10-09 | 9 | 1 | 12 | insufficient history | insufficient history | 0.0% | ITM (2.3%) |
| O:ETN261009P00420000 | PUT | 420 | 2026-10-09 | 9 | 1 | 69 | insufficient history | insufficient history | 0.0% | OTM (2.3%) |
| O:ETN261009P00430000 | PUT | 430 | 2026-10-09 | 9 | 1 | 13 | insufficient history | insufficient history | 0.0% | ATM (-0.1%) |
| O:ETN261016P00417500 | PUT | 417.5 | 2026-10-16 | 16 | 1 | insufficient history | insufficient history | insufficient history | 0.0% | OTM (2.9%) |
| O:ETN261016P00420000 | PUT | 420 | 2026-10-16 | 16 | 1 | 20 | 160 | 0.01x | 0.0% | OTM (2.3%) |
| O:ETN261016P00435000 | PUT | 435 | 2026-10-16 | 16 | 1 | insufficient history | insufficient history | insufficient history | 0.0% | ITM (-1.2%) |
OPTIONS_SELECTION_M9_V1 selected contracts only · provider capability DELAYED · delayed · Top 15 selected contracts by session volume; 5D/20D averages use strictly prior sessions (M10), INSUFFICIENT_HISTORY is shown, never zero.
M13 observations for this session
- Technical setup present (PRE_BREAKOUT_V1): FALSE
- Technical and options context share a session: FALSE
- Activity above its own 20-session baseline: FALSE
- Activity below its own 20-session baseline: TRUE
- Recent 5-session baseline above 20-session baseline: FALSE
- Recent 5-session baseline below 20-session baseline: FALSE
- Volume concentrated in top 3 contracts: TRUE
- Volume concentrated in one expiration: TRUE
- Calls carry most session volume: TRUE
- Puts carry most session volume: FALSE
- Call and put volume roughly balanced: FALSE
- Enrichment data (snapshot/OI/IV/Greeks) available: FALSE
- Enrichment data unavailable: TRUE
- Real flow data unavailable: TRUE
- Flow events present in replay window: NOT_EVALUABLE
Flow
Flow engine is ready. Trades and Quotes are not available with the current provider capabilities; this area populates automatically from the same M11 engine when real persisted facts exist. Synthetic fixture flow is never shown.
Evidence alerts
| Category | Alert | Previous | Current | Sessions | Workflow | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fading | Options activity vs 20D baseline fell | 1.38 | 0.45 | 2026-09-29 → 2026-09-30 | New | |
| Changed | Call / put volume mix changed | 0.12 | 0.7 | 2026-09-29 → 2026-09-30 | New |
Decision trace
- setup_eligiblePASSPRE_BREAKOUT on 2026-09-30; close above its resistance 431.29 on 2026-10-01
- trigger_statePASSTRIGGERED: close 436.11 above 431.29 inside the entry zone, 0.67 ATR from EMA20close=436.11 · entry_zone_high=438.28 · extension_atr=0.67 | threshold breakout_max_extension_atr=2
- data_freshnessPASS0 completed session(s) behind the calendarsessions_behind=0 | threshold max_sessions_behind=1
- price_gatePASSclose 436.11 at or above the 10 floorclose=436.11 | threshold min_price=10
- market_cap_gatePASSmarket cap 169.84B (finnhub, 2026-10-02)market_cap_usd=169839545953.32 | threshold min_market_cap_usd=1000000000
- liquidity_gatePASSADV20 891.4M (STRONG_LIQUIDITY)adv_dollar=891378139.5 · strong_liquidity=true | threshold min_adv_dollar=25000000, strong_adv_dollar=50000000
- sector_gatePASSsector Industrials (finnhub_industry)
- market_regime_gatePASSregime RISK_ONregime=RISK_ON · risk_multiplier=1
- event_risk_gatePASSearnings in 20 sessions (2026-11-02)earnings_sessions_away=20 | threshold earnings_block_sessions=5
- news_gatePASSnews context POSITIVE_WITH_RISKS
- chase_gatePASS0.67 ATR above EMA20, session move -0.08 ATRextension_atr=0.67 | threshold breakout_max_extension_atr=2
- risk_rewardFAILreward/risk to target 1 is 1.97 (below minimum)reward_risk_1=1.97 · reward_risk_2=3.46 | threshold min_reward_risk_1=2
- portfolio_gateFAIL0 shares: one 1-share increment exceeds the risk budget of this portfolio (POSITION_TOO_LARGE_FOR_PROFILE)binding_constraint=RISK_BUDGET · size_status=POSITION_TOO_LARGE_FOR_PROFILE · share_increment=1
- data_qualityPASScurrent session data, valid technical snapshot, trigger and ATR; critical facts known
- finalPASSWAIT (blocked by REWARD_RISK, PORTFOLIO_LIMIT; primary REWARD_RISK)
Snapshot history: 2026-10-02 WAIT · 2026-10-01 BUY_NOW · 2026-09-30 BUY_ON_TRIGGER
Actions are generated from the configured trading strategy and current available market/intelligence data. They are not guarantees of future performance.