Technical2026-10-02Options2026-10-02delayedFlowTrades/Quotes not entitled
Daily run 2026-10-02 · completeWatchlist 0

ERIE

Financial Services · Insurance
221.09
-0.46% · 2026-10-02
Avoid
Trade priority
not ranked
Data coverage
40%
Setup
no setup · 2026-10-02
News
neutral
Next catalyst
none on record

Trade plan

PRE_BREAKOUT_SWING_V1_1 · valid until close of 2026-10-05, a material event, or strategy invalidation · shared by every portfolio profile

No trade plan: the strategy has no valid setup for this symbol (trend or relative-strength condition fails (intermediate_trend, long_term_trend, relative_strength_20)).

Your portfolio · San

profile-specific: quantity, risk budget, exposure, cash impact
Profile
Sanequity 2,000.00 USD · whole shares
Current holding
noneno open position in this profile
Recommended quantity
—no pending entry to size
Risk budget
10.000.5% of 2,000.00
Portfolio risk
0.00 opencap 2%
Exposure
0 / 3 positionsFinancial Services: 0 / 2 · 0.00 of 1,000.00 cap
Cash impact
2,000.00derived from the ledger
Eligibility
AVOIDsame as the strategy view

Entry, stop, targets and R:R are strategy-owned and identical for every profile; only this portfolio's quantity, risk, exposure and cash differ. Manage profiles · record a fill

Why this action

Technical

  • trend or relative-strength condition fails (intermediate_trend, long_term_trend, relative_strength_20)
  • RS20 vs SPY -14.0%, vs QQQ -18.9%

Options

  • options context missing (missing data) (missing data, not a negative)

News and events

  • news context neutral (1 canonical items in window)
  • earnings date unknown; event risk unknown
  • insider · low · unknown: ERIE INDEMNITY CO: 4 filed

Market and risk

  • regime RISK ON: SPY: trend UP, volatility NORMAL; QQQ: trend UP, volatility NORMAL

Chart

252 sessions · EMA20 / SMA50 / SMA150 / SMA200 default · strategy levels drawn when a plan exists
2026-10-02O 224.08H 225.00L 218.59C 221.09 -0.46%Vol 143,751RVOL20 0.74SMA50 245.42SMA150 238.48SMA200 248.98EMA20 232.90RSI14 34.6MACD -8.096 / -6.446 / -1.650ATR14 7.20RS20 SPY -14.0% · QQQ -18.9%

Indicator history is derived from the stored bars with the accepted M3 functions (WORKSTATION_SERIES_V1); the scanner’s persisted values remain authoritative. Reconciliation at the scan session: 8 match.

Trade priority

operational attention ranking, not a forecast

Not ranked: only valid setups and gated setups enter the trade-priority ranking.

  • technical readinessn/a
  • structure quality10/10
  • relative strength-4/15
  • participationn/a
  • risk rewardn/a
  • news context8/10
  • event riskn/a
  • urgency1/5

operational attention priority not a return forecast. Missing inputs lower coverage, never the score.

Setup evidence · PRE_BREAKOUT_V1

Setup state
NO_SETUP
Resistance
254.64
Distance
13.18%
Close
221.09
SMA50
245.42
SMA150 / SMA200
238.48 / 248.98
RSI14
34.6
EMA20 extension
-1.64 ATR
RS20 vs SPY
-14.0%
RS20 vs QQQ
-18.9%

Hard requirements · 3/8 passed

  • PASS
    Confirmed resistance
    resistance=254.64 exists eligible=true
  • FAIL
    Distance to resistance
    distance_pct=13.1755 · resistance=254.64 · close=221.09 inclusive_between min=0 · max=3
  • FAIL
    Close above SMA50
    close=221.09 · sma50=245.4244 > right_operand=sma50
  • FAIL
    SMA150 ≥ SMA200
    sma150=238.48 · sma200=248.9839 >= right_operand=sma200
  • FAIL
    RSI14 band
    rsi14=34.5506 inclusive_between min=50 · max=70
  • PASS
    EMA20 extension (ATR)
    extension_atr=-1.6389 · close=221.09 · ema20=232.8953 · atr14=7.2033 <= max=1.5
  • FAIL
    RS20 vs SPY or QQQ
    SPY=-0.1397 · QQQ=-0.1888 OR > SPY=0 · QQQ=0
  • PASS
    Resistance quality
    distinct_touches=3 policy_and_minimum_touches min=2

Supporting evidence · 2/6 passed

  • PASS
    ATR compression
    current_atr_pct=0.0326 · median_previous_60_atr_pct=0.0378 · ratio=0.8619 < right_operand=median_previous_60_atr_pct
  • PASS
    Volume contraction
    recent_volume=128,305.7858 · baseline_volume=303,005.9745 · ratio=0.4234 < max=0.85
  • FAIL
    Higher lows
    low_1=250.68 · low_2=235.95 · low_3=216.75 low_3 > low_2 > low_1 required_pivots=3
  • FAIL
    Full MA alignment
    sma50=245.4244 · sma150=238.48 · sma200=248.9839 sma50 > sma150 > sma200
  • FAIL
    RS20 vs SPY positive
    SPY=-0.1397 > min=0
  • FAIL
    RS20 vs QQQ positive
    QQQ=-0.1888 > min=0

PRE_BREAKOUT_V1 · scan run 412 · session 2026-10-02 · evaluated as of 2026-10-04T13:22:43.415154Z. Supporting evidence never changes the trigger; UNKNOWN is never collapsed into false.

Intelligence timeline

1 canonical of 3 items in window · duplicates collapsed

canonical items of the last 10 sessions; analyst/industry/macro commentary and social sources excluded from the direction tally; gating uses tier 1-3 HIGH items within 3 (negative) / 2 (unknown direction) sessions

Catalysts and filings

No upcoming catalysts on record.

Options activity

MISSING_DATA · selected contracts, delayed

No options activity has been persisted for this symbol (MISSING_DATA).

Flow

Flow events—
Clusters—
Sweep candidates—
Block candidates—
Aggressor candidates—
Premium coverage—

Flow engine is ready. Trades and Quotes are not available with the current provider capabilities; this area populates automatically from the same M11 engine when real persisted facts exist. Synthetic fixture flow is never shown.

Evidence alerts

0 · ALERT_POLICY_V1

No active alerts for this symbol.

Decision trace

PRE_BREAKOUT_SWING_V1_1 · generated 2026-10-04 18:51 UTC · strategy 073b221a9cd0…
  1. setup_eligibleFAILNO_SETUP: failed distance_to_resistance, intermediate_trend, long_term_trend, relative_strength_20, rsi_bandfailed_conditions=distance_to_resistance, intermediate_trend, long_term_trend, relative_strength_20, rsi_band
  2. finalPASSAVOID

Actions are generated from the configured trading strategy and current available market/intelligence data. They are not guarantees of future performance.