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Research Hypotheses

WATCH / confirmation / concentration / episode reports

Population-level descriptive reports over the extracted M8 signals, independent of any single hypothesis.

WATCH_PATH_V1

touch: high ≥ R. close above: close > R (close == R is NOT close above). Incomplete windows stay explicit and are never coerced into a rate.

Horizon 1

Total 1 · complete 1 · incomplete 0

  • Touch: 1/1 (100.0%)
  • First close above: 0/1 (0.0%)
  • Never reached: 0
  • Close-back-below (crossed then closed back below): 0/1 (0.0%)
  • Next-session hold: 0/0 (unavailable)
  • Level held: 0/0 (unavailable)

Closes-above count distribution

closes above countunits
01

Horizon 3

Total 1 · complete 1 · incomplete 0

  • Touch: 1/1 (100.0%)
  • First close above: 0/1 (0.0%)
  • Never reached: 0
  • Close-back-below (crossed then closed back below): 0/1 (0.0%)
  • Next-session hold: 0/0 (unavailable)
  • Level held: 0/0 (unavailable)

Closes-above count distribution

closes above countunits
01

Horizon 5

Total 1 · complete 1 · incomplete 0

  • Touch: 1/1 (100.0%)
  • First close above: 0/1 (0.0%)
  • Never reached: 0
  • Close-back-below (crossed then closed back below): 0/1 (0.0%)
  • Next-session hold: 0/0 (unavailable)
  • Level held: 0/0 (unavailable)

Closes-above count distribution

closes above countunits
01

Horizon 10

Total 1 · complete 1 · incomplete 0

  • Touch: 1/1 (100.0%)
  • First close above: 0/1 (0.0%)
  • Never reached: 0
  • Close-back-below (crossed then closed back below): 0/1 (0.0%)
  • Next-session hold: 0/0 (unavailable)
  • Level held: 0/0 (unavailable)

Closes-above count distribution

closes above countunits
01

Horizon 20

Total 1 · complete 1 · incomplete 0

  • Touch: 1/1 (100.0%)
  • First close above: 0/1 (0.0%)
  • Never reached: 0
  • Close-back-below (crossed then closed back below): 0/1 (0.0%)
  • Next-session hold: 0/0 (unavailable)
  • Level held: 0/0 (unavailable)

Closes-above count distribution

closes above countunits
01

CONFIRMATION_ANCHOR_V1

NO_ENTRY is never shown as a 0% return: outcome statistics below cover only actual confirmation entries, with confirmed/NO_ENTRY/undetermined always reported explicitly.

WATCH window W=10

Total units 1 · CONFIRMED 0 · NO_ENTRY 1 · UNDETERMINED_INCOMPLETE_WINDOW 0

Confirmation rate: 0.0% (of confirmed + NO_ENTRY only)

Confirmation-entry outcome availability (COMPLETE count by horizon)

horizoncomplete outcomes
10
30
50
100
200

WATCH window W=5

Total units 1 · CONFIRMED 0 · NO_ENTRY 1 · UNDETERMINED_INCOMPLETE_WINDOW 0

Confirmation rate: 0.0% (of confirmed + NO_ENTRY only)

Confirmation-entry outcome availability (COMPLETE count by horizon)

horizoncomplete outcomes
10
30
50
100
200

WATCH window W=20

Total units 1 · CONFIRMED 0 · NO_ENTRY 1 · UNDETERMINED_INCOMPLETE_WINDOW 0

Confirmation rate: 0.0% (of confirmed + NO_ENTRY only)

Confirmation-entry outcome availability (COMPLETE count by horizon)

horizoncomplete outcomes
10
30
50
100
200

Concentration

Total signals 1 · total episodes 1

Symbols

keysignalsepisodessignal shareepisode share
XYZA1111

Months (episodes by first signal session)

keysignalsepisodessignal shareepisode share
2025-011111

Episodes

Total 1 · showing 1 (offset 0, limit 100)

episode idsymbolfirst sessionsignal count
CONSECUTIVE_EXCHANGE_SESSIONS_V1:XYZA:2025-01-16:0XYZA2025-01-161